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dan maertens
  • and that the phrase instead referred to "a system in which politics serves economic interests".

      

  • Albanese also faced calls for resignations over the past week by the German and Italian foreign ministers over the same remarks. 

      

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Michel Bauwens

(4) Indy Johar | Civilizational Optioneering - YouTube

" to reimagine civilization as a planetary project.

As climate and ecological instability creates extreme whiplash effects, we will find it increasingly difficult to predict, prepare, or govern at a global scale. And as artificial intelligence reshapes labor and value, Johar urged us all to reevaluate what it means to be human. So what does that require in a time of such intense, cascading volatility?

Indy’s answer is civilizational optionality: the breathing room that keeps futures open when shocks compound and our fates are systematically coupled.

As humans, we can't know everything — it's a cognitive impossibility. “But there is a beautiful liberation in accepting our partial knowing,” he said. Reframing this limitation as possibility opens us up to more curiosity and “ways of being that are about tenderness, tentativeness, and care.”

Johar imagines a future that leverages human–machine systems that expand our civilizational capacity for complex discourse and problem solving. Intelligence, in this view, is a conversational field: a meta-capacity for coordination, dialogue, and collective sense-making across sectors, species, and systems.

Climate cascades will not be local; our planetary fates are entangled. Meeting this reality demands an approach to civilization that is capable of responding to volatility and holding uncertainty.
"

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Michel Bauwens

Sick Man Europe - Cliodynamica by Peter Turchin

"Does Cliodynamics offer any insights on this reversal? In fact, yes, and this is the topic of today’s post."

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Michel Bauwens

China will clinch the AI race

"China will clinch the AI race "

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Michel Bauwens

Moiza - Are the US and China Heading Toward Mutual Stagnation?

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Are the US and China Heading Toward Mutual Stagnation?
4 days ago
2026-02-10 - 2027-02-01

Are the US and China Heading Toward Mutual Stagnation?

TAEJAE’s Insight

At the end of 2025, WIRED magazine ran a provocative cover: “So Long, GPT-5. Hello, Qwen.” While OpenAI maintains closed technology and proprietary advantage, Alibaba’s Qwen is pursuing an open-source strategy. This signals a potential shift in global AI competition.

These contrasting strategies reveal that AI competition between the United States and China is more a reflection of institutional conditions than technological choices. OpenAI chooses a closed model and monopolistic advantage to accumulate results, whereas Qwen prioritizes openness to expand its applications and build ecosystems. In Frey’s framework, the former represents short-term stability through the strengthening of incumbents, while the latter explores long-term innovation by widening the space in which to explore. Paradoxically, Chinese firms have adopted more open strategies due to structural pressures. When autonomous experimentation faces institutional constraints, it becomes difficult to survive without support from external ecosystems.

China’s state-led AI development has rapidly expanded both the number of enterprises and the domains of application. Yet it fails to accommodate exploratory innovation premised on failure tolerance. Relentless pressure to demonstrate results leads to resources concentrating around validated models. Consequently, many Chinese AI startups seek better business environments and experimental freedom abroad. Meanwhile, America possesses a decentralized innovation infrastructure, yet industry concentration, monopoly consolidation, and accumulating regulatory costs are gradually eroding the nation’s hallmark dynamism.

US-China AI competition thus emerges not as a simple technological race but as a structural problem. Each side’s approach to institutions and civilization generates technological stagnation and strategic miscalculation. China was able to secure resource concentration and speed by setting objectives in advance, but this constrains exploration and tolerance for failure. America has achieved innovation through distributed experimentation and competition, yet openness is waning in the face of growing monopoly power and incumbent capture."

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Michel Bauwens

Belief as Economic Infrastructure - by Chor Pharn

"Endgame narratives proliferate: civilisational revival, national greatness, technological transcendence, moral purification, spiritual war. These are not fringe phenomena or cultural regressions. They are doing economic work.

They allow people to remain invested in systems that no longer promise improvement.

Belief absorbs frustration that cannot be resolved materially. It reframes stagnation as sacrifice, delay as destiny, endurance as virtue. It converts blocked futures into meaningful waiting.

This is not irrationality.
It is adaptation.

In financial terms, belief has become a form of liquidity.

When markets cannot clear through growth, they clear through expectation. When institutions cannot deliver outcomes, they deliver narratives. When systems cannot promise improvement, they promise significance.

This is why belief intensifies precisely when material conditions flatten.

People do not turn to grand stories because they misunderstand reality. They do so because reality no longer offers a usable horizon. Belief supplies one."

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dan maertens
  • This instalment inverts the usual dynamic. It is not another Western commentary on Ukraine. It is the verdict of Ukrainian and Russian socialists on a Western left that claimed to speak in their name while functionally abandoning them to partition between empires. These are not victims pleading for sympathy. They are political actors, organisers and theorists fighting a war on two fronts simultaneously, and their judgement is devastating.

      

  • The first thing the Western “proxy war” left never understood, or never wanted to understand, is that Ukrainian socialists are not Zelensky cheerleaders. They never were. From the earliest weeks of the invasion, organisations like Sotsialnyi Rukh (Social Movement) articulated what they call the “two-front” struggle: against Russian military aggression and against the Zelensky government’s wartime assault on workers’ rights. This distinction matters enormously, because it demolishes the campist alibi. You cannot claim to reject “both sides” when the people you’re refusing to support are already fighting both sides.

      

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