This link has been bookmarked by 26 people . It was first bookmarked on 28 May 2009, by Andrew Murphie.
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30 Sep 09
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03 Sep 09
Gosia StergiosGood overview of forecasting methods/approaches that can be applied to any subject area. Scenarios, prediction markets, Delphi method, environmental scan and other method are compared.
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18 Aug 09
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29 Jul 09
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07 Jul 09
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This article will introduce and explore methods for apprehending the future as it applies to the world of higher education and information technology.2 These are not hypothetical approaches; they are realized, documented, and applied methods. There is no perfect method; nor has any one approach emerged to overshadow the others.
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- Mobiles (time-to-adoption: one year or less)
- Cloud computing (time-to-adoption: one year or less)
- Geo-Everything (time-to-adoption: two to three years)
- The Personal Web (time-to-adoption: two to three years)
- Semantic-Aware Applications (time-to-adoption: four to five years)
- Smart Objects (time-to-adoption: four to five years)8
January 2009 report identified the following technologies:
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- The mobile device will be the primary connection tool to the Internet for most people in the world in 2020.
- The transparency of people and organizations will increase, but that will not necessarily yield more personal integrity, social tolerance, or forgiveness.
- Talk and touch user-interfaces with the Internet will be more prevalent and accepted by 2020.
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- Creating learning environments that promote active learning, critical thinking, collaborative learning, and knowledge creation
- Developing 21st-century literacies (information, digital, and visual) among students and faculty
- Reaching and engaging today's learner
- Encouraging faculty adoption and innovation in teaching and learning with IT
- Advancing innovation in teaching and learning with technology in an era of budget cuts
professional challenges:
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- Augmented Reality: The gap is closing between the Web and the world. Services that know where you are and adapt accordingly will become commonplace. The web becomes fully integrated into every physical environment.
- Data Abundance: There's more data available to us all the time—both the data we produce intentionally and the data we throw off as a by-product of other activities. The web will play a key role in how people access, manage, and make sense of all that data.
- Virtual Identity: People are increasingly expected to have a digital presence as well as a physical one. We inhabit spaces online, but we also create them through our personal expression and participation in the digital realm19
three major trends that we thought would have the biggest impact on the web:
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04 Jul 09
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29 Jun 09
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24 Jun 09
Kay Cunningham'But trying to grapple with what comes next is a deep problem. Doing so is partly a matter of science fiction, which consists, after all, of the stories we tell about the future. Doing so is also an issue of complexity, since each practice, or device, or network, or application comes embedded in a nest of other practices, or devices, or networks, or applications. Emerging technologies are a matter not only of qualitative challenge but also of sheer quantitative overload. Web 2.0, gaming, wireless and mobile devices, virtual worlds, even Web 3.0 in all its unrealized potential—each churns out new developments daily and connects with other domains to ramp up the problem still further.'
change web_2.0 web_3.0 web_apps technological_change technology education
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12 Jun 09
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cross-population campus group, perhaps organized by a computing committee or the library
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10 Jun 09
Will StewartHow can those of us in higher education best understand new technologies? The phrases "emerging technologies" and "evolving technologies" remind us that the digital world is largely in flux. New devices, altered applications, and shifting practices keep crossing over the horizon—or quietly appearing in our midst.
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05 Jun 09
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02 Jun 09
Lyn ParkerHow can those of us in higher education best understand new technologies?
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31 May 09
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or quietly appearing in our midst.
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Deciding which technologies to support for teaching and learning—and how to support them—depends, first, on our ability to learn about each emerging development.
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If William Gibson was right—"the street finds its own uses for things"—then academic computing needs to be sure of its "street smarts."1
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Doing so is partly a matter of science fiction, which consists, after all, of the stories we tell about the future. Doing so is also an issue of complexity, since each practice, or device, or network, or application comes embedded in a nest of other practices, or devices, or networks, or applications.
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introduce and explore methods for apprehending the future as it applies to the world of higher education and information technology.
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help academics understand the future as it hits the present
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survey that horizon,
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29 May 09
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28 May 09
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