This link has been bookmarked by 1 people . It was first bookmarked on 14 Nov 2009, by Dustin Burke.
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14 Nov 09
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“Where local officials sleep” is a good indicator to track progress. In the film, I Am Legend, Will Smith must get home before the vampires come out to feast. Similarly, in Afghanistan today some 70% of provincial governors sleep in Kabul instead of the provinces they govern. This is bad.
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“Where local officials sleep” is a good indicator to track progress. In the film, I Am Legend, Will Smith must get home before the vampires come out to feast. Similarly, in Afghanistan today some 70% of provincial governors sleep in Kabul instead of the provinces they govern. This is bad.
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Whenever we send more troops, violence will spike almost by definition. This is for two reasons: a) the observer effect, more troops on the ground means more eyes on the ground, means more incidents get reported; b) more combatants means more combat.
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Successful counterinsurgencies take 15-20 years. Unsuccessful ones take 9-11 years. Since 1816, 80% of counterinsurgencies have been successful, but when you control for whether those campaigns are being waged on domestic or foreign soil and whether the governments in question were willing to negotiate with the insurgents, the number can vary widely.
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