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Wade Ren's List: iphone research

    • In a tear-down analysis conducted over the weekend and reported on Tuesday, iSuppli said that hardware and manufacturing costs of Apple's latest phone amount to $265.83, generating a margin in excess of 55 percent on each 8Gbyte iPhone sold at $600.

      The costs did not include royalties or other logistics, the firm said.
      • Let's put an estimate for the licensing component

    • ased electronics company Samsung was the biggest winner, however.

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    • up 5% at $137.26 after the company reported a fiscal third-quarter profit increase of 73% to $818 million, or 92 cents a share. Revenue rose nearly 24% to $5.41 billion from $4.37 billion. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial forecast Apple to earn 72 cents a share on $5.29 billion in sales.
      • Maggie's estimate is right on target. Excellent

    • that expects to have sold 1 million iPhones by the end of its fiscal fourth quarter. See full story.
    • APPLE INC (NasdaqGS:AAPL) Edit
      After Hours: 149.06 Up 11.80 (8.60%) as of 5:41PM ET on 07/25/07
      Last Trade:137.26
      Trade Time:4:00PM ET
      Change:Up 2.37 (1.76%)
      Prev Close:134.89
      Bid:149.00 x 3100
      Ask:149.01 x 100
      1y Target Est:142.57
      Day's Range:135.00 - 138.36
      52wk Range:72.60 - 145.22
      Avg Vol (3m):35,185,700
      Market Cap:118.72B
      P/E (ttm):43.42
      EPS (ttm):3.16
      Div & Yield:N/A (N/A)
    • only 4% of that 15% say they will get it as soon as it becomes available.
      • More than one-quarter (27%) of online males ages 13 to 17 years and one-fifth (20%) of online females ages 13 to 17 years say they are at least somewhat likely to buy the iPhone

    • Marvell Technology Group (MRVL  : 
      marvell technology group ltd ord
          Last: 18.78-0.04-0.21%
      5:28pm 07/25/2007
      Delayed quote data
      Sponsored by:
      18.78-0.04-0.2%  ) 
      , with its Wi-Fi baseband chip; CSR PLC, which provides the iPhone's Bluetooth technology; and Wolfson Microelectronics, which makes the audio-processing chip.
      • We should do more research on Marvell - Iris, can you report back in our next meeting?

    • iSuppli, which found after taking apart an 8-gigabyte iPhone that producing the device costs Apple about $266 for the hardware.
      • contrast margin for RRMI and other devices

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    • RIMM is trading up 18% from yesterday's close and is now outperforming AAPL by a considerable margin since the unveiling of the iPhone (+49% vs. +31%) on January 9th.
      • There's plenty of room for more than one successful smartphone maker - iPhone won't make a dent in BB sales for a while. Just look at the distribution issue Apple faces right now. They are launching on 1 carrier in 1 country. RIM added 20 carriers last quarter alone and now distributes through 300 carriers worldwide (but had over 750 carriers at WES - so there's room to grow). In 5 years, BB will have many more subscribers and be even more entrenched in enterprise with their PBX integration suite that provides full pbx functionality on the BB and gives workers one telephone number that rings at the desktop and mobile. Add the consumer push, and this story should have legs for a while. Business that is still accelerating. I am long both AAPL and RIMM and it will stay that way for a while.

    • aapl vs. rimm
    • This data in summary shows an average of 274,000 iPhone searches per week since the beginning of the year.
    • through June 24 nearly 6.9 million searches were conducted which include the term “iPhone.” The most commonly searched for related topics included iPhone price and iPhone release date.

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    • BULLISHConfirmation - at support
      BEARISHProbability - Intermediate trend bearish, Unsustainable uptrend, may turn sideways.
      Probability - Mild bearish 3 day chart pattern with Extreme 3 day distribution.
      Probability - Strong Up trend (1 month), may start to turn sideways.
       ----  -2, 
      1 bullish confirmation indicators. Neutral, short term (1-6 wks)
      3 bearish probability indicators. 40%, Bullish
       ---- 60%, Bearish
      RALLIES/PULLBACKSTypical: 11.7% (16.06 pts) stock price move occurs 25% of the time.
      ** Current price areaExtreme: 15.2% (20.88 pts) stock price move occurs 5% of the time.



    • wned subsidiaries (“Apple” or the “Company”) designs, manufactures, and  markets personal computers and related software, services, peripherals, and  networking solutions. The Company also designs, develops, and markets a line of  portable digital music players along with related accessories and services  including the online sale of third-party audio and video products. The Company  also plans to begin selling the iPhone, a handheld device that combines in a  single product a mobile phone, a widescreen iPod with touch controls, and an  Internet communications device, which is expected to begin shipping in the U.S.  in late June 2007. The Company sells its products worldwide through its online  stores, its retail stores, its direct sales force, and third-party wholes
      • good stuff

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