Freedman, et al 2003 (textbook p 261)
~68 min, Kahneman begins at about 6:50 in.
From NAS Conference on "The Science of Science Communication," May 2012
The feeling of knowing comes with assumption of correctness.
When we believe in a conclusion, we believe arguments that support the conclusion, even if they are not valid.
Differences between associations and inferences: order is key to inferences, but many associations are symmetric w/r/t order.
The basis of belief for many people is that we believe people that we like and trust; we are less likely to believe people we dislike.
Correlation between attitudes towards gay marriage and global warming. Why? Opinion leaders have attitudes that couple these, so people tend to believe attitudes of people they follow.
Bat and ball problem: people who do not check themselves are less likely to delay gratification.
~near end, 50?:To be effective in communication, speak to system 1 - stories, concrete events; it is bound more by coherence of story than by evidence behind it. The source of the message is extremely important - liked an d trusted. Messages about abstract, distant threats are likely to be disregarded; concrete, nearby threats will be perceived as real.
Are naive misconceptions replaced with more sophisticated understanding ("facts" and explanations), or do they persist and occasionally interfere with later-acquired knowledge?
Describes how knowledge already acquired (through experience, reading, study) helps to take in new information, speed up reading, improve memory, solve problems.
Season 2 Episode 6 - on the illusion of knowledge, on being wrong, on believing you know something you don't
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