seeks to understand what is likely to continue, what is likely to change, and what is novel.
seeks a systematic and pattern-based understanding
futurology studies a much bigger and more complex world system
includes analyzing the sources, patterns, and causes of change and stability in an attempt to develop foresight and to map possible futures
futuribles (which, in France, is also the name of the important 20th century foresight journal
coined by German professor Ossip K. Flechtheim in the mid-1940s
modern practitioners stress the importance of alternative and plural futures, rather than one monolithic future, and the limitations of prediction and probability, versus the creation of possible and preferable futures.
Such markets, which may be operated publicly or as an internal market, are just one of several promising frontiers in predictive futures research
Such improvements in the predictability of individual events do not though, from a complexity theory viewpoint, address the unpredictability inherent in dealing with entire systems, which emerge from the interaction between multiple individual events
on-going effort to analyze alternative futures. This effort includes collecting quantitative and qualitative data about the possibility, probability, and desirability of change
historical decisions from more than a century ago can have unexpected consequences today — all because of a frequency mismatch. Chalk it up to path dependency
Membership required the fulfilling of certain criteria, such as professional experience in the field, relevant academic qualifications, and/or recently published work
doing good, respected work (and marketing yourself well to peers and potential clients)
working with people to use information, ideas and hopes/fears about the future to start thinking long term in their decision making processes
formal training in the field
demonstrate practical outcomes I've achieved through my work