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09 Sep 07
When will computer hardware match the human brain? by Hans Moravec
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The processing power and memory
capacity necessary to match general intellectual performance
of the human brain are estimated. Based on extrapolation of
past trends and on examination of technologies under
development, it is predicted that the required hardware will
be available in cheap machines in the 2020s. -
Programs need memory as well as processing speed to do
their work. The ratio of memory to speed has remained
constant during computing history. - 15 more annotations...
Peek at 1998 Moravec book - Chapter 3. Power and Presence
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Information handling capacity in computers has been growing about ten
million times faster than it did in nervous systems during our
evolution. The power doubled every two years in the 1950s, 1960s and
1970s, doubled every 18 months in the 1980s, and is now doubling each
year. - 3 more annotations...
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