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30 Sep 09

Why banking will need to be made illegal (Martin Wolf, FT)

  • The most important point is that where we are now is intolerable. Today’s concentrations of state-insured private wealth and power must surely go. At present, the official sector believes tighter regulation, particularly higher capital requirements, can contain these risks. But this is likely to fail. If it does, we will need to be radical. Yet narrow banking would still not be enough. We would need to rule out quasi-banking. Otherwise, we would soon return to the world of fragility and bail-outs. Funds that repl
29 May 09

Measuring Worth - Annualized Growth Rate

  • Graphing Various Historical Economic Series
07 Mar 09

Reflections of a Newsosaur: How to charge for online content

  • If you happen to be a publisher wrestling with how to move from free to paid content, don’t let anyone tell you that you can’t charge for it. If it’s good enough, readers will pay. If you attract the right audience, advertisers will pay, too.
29 Dec 08

The Euro at ten: Why such small trade effects? | vox - Research-based policy analysis and commentary from leading economists

The euro has boosted trade, but by much less than history suggested it might

www.voxeu.org/index.php - Preview

economics euro

  • Thus none of the three explanations appears to explain the gap between the recent euro estimates and the historical estimates. Perhaps time will offer more evidence for one or more of the explanations in the future. For the moment, the gap remains something of a mystery. But promotion of trade must nevertheless be counted one of the successes of the euro. If Rose had come up with a 15% effect on trade from the beginning, that would have been considered important. Furthermore, there has been virtually no evidence of diversion of trade away from non-members, which is important for judging economic welfare.
03 Sep 08

danieldrezner.com :: Daniel W. Drezner :: Research

  • If you peruse my curriculum vita or my paper abstracts, you'll see that the key question underlying my scholarly research is, "To what extent does economic interdependence alter the patterns of world politics?" I've pursued the answer by studying the dynamics of economic statecraft, globalization, and global governance.
29 Jul 08

Why Lomborg is wrong, even if he's right (Paul Krugman (NYT Blog))

  • And here’s the thing: on any sort of expected-welfare calculation, the small probability of catastrophe dominates the expected loss. Suppose that there’s a 99% chance that Lomborg is right, but a 1% chance that catastrophic climate change will reduce world GDP by 90%. You might be tempted to disregard that small chance — but if you’re even moderately risk averse (say, relative risk aversion of 2 — econowonks know what I mean), you quickly find that the expected loss of welfare isn’t 0.5% of GDP, it’s 10% or more of GDP.
21 Jul 08

John Muellbauer: A housing-led recession is looking very likely (vox)

  • Looking ahead


    Looking forward, the research suggests a UK recession will be hard to avoid. Relative to mid-2007, the decline in the housing wealth to income ratio will soon reach 15%, which would eventually lower the consumption/income ratio by about 2.5 percentage points. But real household incomes are themselves falling, under pressure from oil and food prices. A further 1% or more fall in consumption is likely from the direct and interaction effects of the contraction of credit availability. On top of all that comes the effect of the fall in the stock market. The estimated adjustment speed in the model is 0.35 per quarter, so it takes several quarters for the full effects to show up.

01 Jul 08

Brad DeLong: The long history of economic growth theories

  • Nevertheless, a dispassionate observer might point out that for someone with limited resources and opportunities for policy reform to keep betting double-or-nothing on neo-liberalism is a strategy that has a well-deserved name: “Gambler’s Ruin.”
30 Jun 08

Fixing the global food crisis (Arvind Subramanian, VoxEU)

Tackling the challenges posed by the current food crises requires joint action by various members of the international community. Developed nations should take the leadership role. In the short run, Japan and China should allow their stocks of rice to be exported to those in need, and the United States should eliminate origin requirements on food aid. Over the medium run, we need collective action in the WTO to eliminate distortions in agriculture and agricultural trade, including the replacement of US and EU biofuel programs with green policies that do not actively pick the winners. Over the long run, we need to rally resources and revitalise institutions to boost agricultural research and productivity in developing countries, especially Africa.

www.VoxEU.org/index.php - Preview

food economics

28 Jun 08

Bosker & Buringh: 1000 years of urban history (VoxEU)

From Baghdad to London: Lessons from one thousand years of urbanisation in Europe and the Arab world

www.voxeu.org/index.php - Preview

cities growth economics

07 Apr 08

Paul Krugman: Grains Gone Wild

  • Since it takes about 700 calories’ worth of animal feed to produce
    a 100-calorie piece of beef, this change in diet increases the overall demand
    for grains.
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