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YouTube - Authors@Google: Philip Tetlock
How well do experts actually predict the future? Very poorly. Only two factors affect their accuracy, and even then they are worse than simple extrapolation models.
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Exercise | Brain Rules
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Brain Rules: 12 Principles for Surviving and Thriving at Work, Home, and School | Brain Rules |
John Medina's book on rules that should be taken into account when working with your brain.
in list: Studying
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