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Greenhouse Gas Emissions Are Down in the Recession. So, Then, Is “Green GDP” Up? | Jeff Frankels Weblog | Views on the Economy and the World
"Alan Krueger, Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Affairs, suggested in a speech in October a useful metaphor to distinguish different kinds of economic indicators. Some indicators are like the gauges on the dashboard of the car — industrial production, unemployment, inflation and so on. "
Econbrowser: Current economic conditions
"The U.S. recovery is underway. But so far it doesn't look as strong as we had been hoping."
In the Battle for Stimulus Jobs, Shoe Store Owner Tells War Story - Washington Wire - WSJ
"How did Kentucky shoe store owner Buddy Moore save nine jobs with just $889.60 in federal stimulus money? He didn’t, and that’s turning into a big headache for him."
FT.com / Comment / Opinion - Mother of all carry trades faces an inevitable bust
"Since March there has been a massive rally in all sorts of risky assets – equities, oil, energy and commodity prices – a narrowing of high-yield and high-grade credit spreads, and an even bigger rally in emerging market asset classes (their stocks, bonds and currencies). At the same time, the dollar has weakened sharply , while government bond yields have gently increased but stayed low and stable. "
Greg Mankiw's Blog: Taking out the Trash
"I don't usually respond to illogical cheap shots from around the blogosphere (life is too short). But when the cheap shot comes from a Nobel prize winner in economics, I will make an exception."
FRBSF Economic Letter: Inflation Expectations and the Risk of Deflation (2009-34, 11/2/2009)
"Predicting the course of inflation is one of the most important challenges facing monetary policymakers. Useful aids to such prediction are the measures of expected future inflation obtained from prices in government bond markets. An examination of recent inflation-indexed and non-indexed U.S. Treasury bond yields suggests that financial market participants believe that the probability of prolonged deflation has become fairly small."
Edward Lazear: Stimulus and the Jobless Recovery - WSJ.com
"With the news that GDP grew at 3.5% in the third quarter, it seems apparent that economic recovery is underway. How much of this was a result of government programs? To evaluate this, it is important to understand what constitutes a recovery. There are three developments needed to restore the economy to its prior vibrancy. "
The recession probably ended in June | Free exchange | Economist.com
"ROBERT GORDON is an economist at Northwestern University, a longtime expert on business cycles, and a member of the committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research that declares when recessions begin and end. We asked him about the third quarter GDP release and the state of the American economy and though he was on his way to another city, he was kind enough to respond while on his way to the airport. Here is his answer, very lightly edited for clarity."
Econbrowser: A welcome GDP report
"The Commerce Department reported today that the seasonally adjusted real value of the nation's production of goods and services grew at a 3.5% annual rate during the third quarter, a little better than the 3.2% average seen since 1947."
My Way News - Stimulus jobs overstated by thousands
"WASHINGTON (AP) - An early progress report on President Barack Obama's economic recovery plan overstates by thousands the number of jobs created or saved through the stimulus program, a mistake that White House officials promise will be corrected in future reports."
Economic Roundup: G.D.P. Expands by 3.5% - Economix Blog - NYTimes.com
"In the three months that ended in September, the United States economy grew for the first time in more than a year, the Commerce Department said on Thursday. Here is how economists and other analysts reacted to the news:"
Q&A: Economist Woodford on Fed and Rate Expectations - Real Time Economics - WSJ
"The following is an interview with Michael Woodford, the John Bates Clark Professor of Political Economy at Columbia University and a member of an 18-member Monetary Policy Advisory Panel for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Woodford has no role on the decision-making Federal Open Market Committee. New York Fed President Bill Dudley is among the more dovish members of the FOMC."
Don’t Break Out the Champagne Yet: Cause for Concern in GDP - Real Time Economics - WSJ
"It’s great to be growing again, but two lines in Thursday’s GDP report have the potential to be temporary and warrant caution."
Economic Scene - $250 Checks for Social Security Recipients Overlook Reality - NYTimes.com
"If you wanted to help the economy and you had $14 billion to bestow on any group of people, which group would you choose:"
The Lessons of the Great Depression | Robert Barro | The Browser
"Robert Barro is a professor of economics at Harvard, and a commentator for The Wall Street Journal and Business Week. His critique of the Obama stimulus package provoked a sharp attack from Paul Krugman in The New York Times, which brought a spirited response from Barro. Basing his arguments on his empirical work, Barro takes issue with some common assumptions about the Great Depression, and how America got out of it."
Revealed: The ghost fleet of the recession anchored just east of Singapore | Mail Online
"The tropical waters that lap the jungle shores of southern Malaysia could not be described as a paradisical shimmering turquoise. They are more of a dark, soupy green. They also carry a suspicious smell. Not that this is of any concern to the lone Indian face that has just peeped anxiously down at me from the rusting deck of a towering container ship; he is more disturbed by the fact that I may be a pirate, which, right now, on top of everything else, is the last thing he needs. "
A four-year-old buys a house, and other first-time home-buyer tax credit tricks - The Curious Capitalist - TIME.com
"From a Treasury Inspector General's report to Congress:"
Experts see rebounding economy shedding jobs
"Forget a jobless recovery. The economy may be entering a recovery with job losses."
Antonio Fatas and Ilian Mihov on the Global Economy: Extending the (EMU) Stability and Growth Pact to take care of global imbalances
"Last week Eswar Prasad had an interesting article in the Financial Times on how to deal with global imabalances. As the G-20 seems to be taken the issue of global imbalances seriously, there is the question of how to make their commitment operational"
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