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03 Dec 09

On Obama, survey shows yawning gap between foreign-policy elite and general public | The Cable

  • Are you a fan of Barack
    Obama
    's handling of major foreign-policy issues so far? If so, there's a
    greater chance that you are a member of the Council on Foreign Relations than a
    member of the general public.
  • On issues ranging from terrorism to climate change, Iran, Iraq, China, Guantánamo,
    even immigration, CFR members surveyed overwhelmingly approved of the
    president's actions so far. Joe Sixpack? Not so much.
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26 Nov 09

Running the Table | Foreign Policy

  • We need a surge in Afghanistan. It worked in Iraq!
  • Afghanistan is Obama's Vietnam!
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25 Nov 09

Last words on Obama and China | The Progressive Realist

  • And yet...  my favorite newspaper of all, the (state-controlled) China Daily, has just indicated in its November 25 edition that China's recent year-long freeze on the value of the RMB may be about to end. (Thanks to my friend Jeremy Goldkorn, of Danwei.org in Beijing, for the tip.) If Obama had "demanded" this in public, or insisted that it be announced while he was standing next to Hu Jintao in Beijing, his "toughness" might have received better one-day coverage in the U.S. press or on SNL.  But the chances of his getting what he was after would be nil. Of course, the chances are still uncertain. But this was the major item on the economic-rebalancing agenda; and the Administration's argument all along was that influencing China's behavior was a long game. This news story is not conclusive but does support rather than weaken the long-game approach.
  • But remember the moment when Obama turned to Ambassador Jon Hunstman and said more or less, "Jon, did any questions come in via the internet?" I now have heard from enough different informed sources to be comfortable saying that the Chinese government did not know this was coming, and that the ensuing discussion about the Great Firewall was not at all according to their script. Jeremy Goldkorn adds a note about that question -- whose answer, as I mentioned earlier, has the potential to resonate within China. Goldkorn says:



    "The Great FireWall question at the Shanghai town hall came directly from the blogger briefing arranged by the Embassy and consulates in Shanghai and Guangzhou.


    "I attended the briefing and live tweeted it. The bloggers included Anti and Bei Feng, two of the loudest voices calling for open media in China at the moment, but also Rao Jin from AntiCNN.com. The most common question, asked several times by different bloggers, was if Obama knew about the Great FireWall and if he would do something about it."

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24 Nov 09

Manufactured failure #4: more on Obama's trip - James Fallows

  • 2A) As a bonus, here is what the Post's page showed yesterday for discussion of Obama's trip: was it a success or "an embarrassment"?

    obamaasiaWP.jpg
  • obamaasiaWP.jpg
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Manufactured failure #3: insider's view of the Obama trip - James Fallows

  • I got a call from a government official who had been on the trip.
  • She agreed to have her views conveyed "on background," which I'll do here and in a few more installments over the next two or three days. Obviously these are the views of an interested party, who was involved in planning the trip and believes it should be seen as a success.
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17 Nov 09

The Department of State's Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review

    • The Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review (QDDR) will provide the short-, medium-, and long-term blueprint for our diplomatic and development efforts. Our goal is to use this process to guide us to agile, responsive, and effective institutions of diplomacy and development, including how to transition from approaches no longer commensurate with current challenges. It will offer guidance on how we develop policies; how we allocate our resources; how we deploy our staff; and how we exercise our authorities. Specifically, the final report of the QDDR will lay out:
      • The baseline: An assessment of (1) the range of global threats, challenges and opportunities both today and over the next two decades that should inform our diplomatic and development strategies; and (2) the current status of our approaches to diplomacy and development, with emphasis on the relationship between diplomacy and development in our existing policies and structures.
      • The ends: A clear statement of our overarching foreign policy and development objectives, our specific policy priorities, and our expected results, with an emphasis on the achievable and not merely the desirable.
      • The ways: A set of recommendations on the strategies needed to achieve these results, including the timing and sequencing of decisions and implementation.
      • The means: A set of recommendations on (1) the tools and resources needed to implement the strategy; and (2) management and organizational reforms that will improve outcomes and efficiency.
      • The metrics: A set of recommendations on performance measures to assess outcomes, and--where feasible--impacts.
      • The links: An assessment of how the results and recommendations of this review fit into broader interagency, whole-of-government approaches, and into the Administration’s larger foreign policy framework.
      • The QDDR will be managed by a senior leadership team under the direction of the Secretary of State and led by the Deputy Secretary for Management and Resources, with the Administrator of USAID and the Director of the Policy Planning serving as co-chairs. The QDDR leadership team will include senior representation from State, USAID and MCC, and will engage with Congress, Cabinet agencies, and seek input from non-government experts. Findings and recommendations of the QDDR will contribute to an interagency process aimed at developing a whole-of-government approach. The final report will be presented to the President and Congress and be made available to the public.
16 Nov 09

Matthew Yglesias » Anne-Marie Slaughter on Increasing USAID Capacity

  • But it’s been a twenty, twenty-five year process where the number of employees that AID has has steadily decreased, the number of contract that AID manages has steadily increased. So instead of having an agency that has a whole set of knowledge experts and experts in the field and then also contracts that it manages, you’ve got a small number of people managing a very large number of contracts just without the number of people or the resources that it needs to be the world class development agency we want it to be. So we’re looking very specificially at what AID is going to need in terms of specific sectors in terms of, again, how does it lead whole of governmnet projects both on the grounds but also in Washington.
13 Nov 09

Hitting Bottom in Foggy Bottom | Foreign Policy

  • The most pressing
    issues are stateless: pandemics, recession, terrorism, poverty, proliferation, and
    conflict. But as report after report, investigation after investigation, has
    highlighted, the State Department is broken and paralyzed, unable to respond to
    the new 21st-century paradigm.
  • for example, the Government Accountability Office (gao) found that the department completely
    failed in its now
    four-year-old attempt to reorganize its nonproliferation bureau (a bureau that remains
    leaderless). Besides failing to address mission overlap, low morale, and lack
    of career opportunities, the failed reorganization caused a significant drop in
    expertise in offices focused on proliferation issues -- including "today's
    threats posted by Iran, North Korea, and Syria," the gao's report said -- and coordination
    with bodies like the International Atomic Energy Agency.
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30 Oct 09

'Alternative energy peace corps' on the way | The Cable

  • "This bill will create an alternative energy Peace Corps, as called for 31 years ago by the Nuclear Nonproliferation Act of 1978," former senators Bob Graham and Jim Talent, the chairs of the WMD commission, testified before the Senate Homeland Security committee last month, "As our report recommended, this bill would help reduce the further spread of nuclear technologies ostensibly for civilian purposes."
  • The energy development legislation has widespread support in Congress and the nonproliferation community. Congressman Jeff Fortenberry, R-NE, has a companion measure in the House.
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The J Street dinner | Michael Tomasky | Comment is free | guardian.co.uk

  • In other words, ex-dir Jeremy Ben-Ami has succeeded in creating (despite many right-wing and neocon attacks and constant monitoring) a credible and safe place for people who want change and progress toward peace to congregate and make their case. Given the lock Aipac has been thought to have on this town, it's quite an accomplishment. As one group leader put it to me that night, the feeling could be summed up in one word – 1,500 people saying collectively, "finally."
28 Oct 09

Stimson - Publications - A Foreign Affairs Budget for the Future

  • "Our diplomatic leaders - be they in ambassadors' suites or on the State Department's seventh floor - must have the resources and political support needed to fully exercise their statutory responsibilities in leading American foreign policy."

                                                       - Defense Secretary Robert Gates, July 2008

  • Increased diplomatic needs in Iraq, Afghanistan, and "the next" crisis area, as well as global challenges in finance, the environment, terrorism and other areas have not been supported by increased staffing. Those positions that do exist have vacancy rates approaching 15% at our Embasssies and Consulates abroad and at the State Department in Washington, DC. USAID's situation is even more dire. Today, significant portions of the nation's foreign affairs business simply are not accomplished. The work migrates by default to the military that does not have the necessary people and funding but neither sufficent experience or knowledge.
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26 Oct 09

Foreign Policy: Inside the Ivory Tower

  • 1,743 scholars
  • Most revealing? Nearly 40 percent of respondents reported that these scholars have “no impact” on foreign policy or even the public discourse about it. Indeed, the only academics judged less effectual in the policy realm were historians.
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21 Oct 09

The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan

  • Critics like Iranian dissident and journalist Akbar Ganji have maintained that the program made virtually all Iranian NGOs targets of the hardline government in Iran:

    "The US democracy fund was severely counterproductive. None of the human right activists and members of opposition in Iran had any interest in using such funds, but we were all accused by Iran's government of being American spies because a few groups in America used these funds."

    The secretiveness around the program - the recipients of the funds remain classified - has added to the dilemma, Iranian human rights groups maintain. They say it has enabled the Iranian authorities to accuse any Iranian NGO of having received funds from the US government.
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