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Robert Maguire's Library tagged War   View Popular

11 Nov 09

» A Sixty-Eight Year Old Code - Entropic Memes

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Educate boys, or they'll go to war | FP Passport

  • A World Bank research
    paper
    posted today finds that countries with a high proportion of young
    males with low levels of secondary education are significantly more conflict-prone.
  • "youth bulges"
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02 Nov 09

David Ignatius - David Ignatius on mixing hard and soft tactics in Afghanistan - washingtonpost.com

  • Hikmatullah, a tall Pashtun farmer dressed in turban and white cloak, looks slightly bewildered as a U.S. Army officer offers him tea and bread and questions him about what he wants from life.
  • Can these pleasant, tea-drinking American soldiers really be the same people who are assaulting Taliban fighters in this region of eastern Afghanistan?
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29 Oct 09

Global Warming Could Create a Legion of 'Climate Terrorists' : TreeHugger

  • One man who has made such a consideration is Dr. Greg Austin. The provocative piece he wrote for New Europe called Climate Terrorists: They Will Come is especially foreboding. Austin notes that 40% of the world lives in tropical areas, where even incremental rises in temperatures can have disastrous effects.
  • Developing nations comprise the vast majority of these tropical states, many of which have exploding populations, a growing youth bulge, and increasing problems with hunger and health.
26 Oct 09

Climate change and warfare: Cool heads or heated conflicts? | The Economist

  • The chart shows the correlation between the number of conflicts and the average temperature during most of the second half of the millennium, the period for which the data are best. Until the mid-18th century, this correlation is continuously and significantly negative (the line remains close to the 95% confidence level, suggesting there is only one chance in 20 that it is an accidental, random effect). In other words, lower temperatures mean more wars. Then, suddenly, the negative correlation vanishes. The line goes into positive territory, but not enough to be statistically meaningful. The inverted correlation between temperature and conflict has therefore disappeared.
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23 Oct 09

On Drones | Center for a New American Security

  • I really think drone strike can be part of an effective, integrated CT and COIN strategy, but they cannot substitute for such a strategy, and I worry that the CIA is carrying out their own campaign in part because a) it's been getting kicked around so much since 9/11 that it is now overly focused on killing high-level al-Qaeda targets rather than gathering intelligence and that b) it's trying to justify and defend its budget through what it can claim is a successful program.
  • My worries have always centered around how the attacks are perceived on the ground, so it has been frustrating to read careless readers of our argument mistakenly assume we agree with open-source reporting out of Pakistan. To the contrary. I focus on Pakistani press reports because, in a war of perceptions, I am less concerned with how many civilians we are actually killing and more concerned with how many civilians the neutral population thinks we are killing.
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22 Oct 09

The risks of the C.I.A.’s Predator drones : The New Yorker

  • The C.I.A. remotely launched two Hellfire missiles from the Predator, and Mehsud and eleven others died. There was no controversy when, a few days after the missile strike, CNN reported that President Barack Obama had authorized it. However, there was widespread anger after the Wall Street Journal revealed, at about the same time, that during the Bush Administration the C.I.A. had considered setting up hit squads to capture or kill Al Qaeda operatives around the world.
  • The Predator program, as it happens, also uses private contractors for a variety of tasks, including “flying” the drones. The U.S. government runs two drone programs. The military’s version, which is publicly acknowledged, operates in the recognized war zones of Afghanistan and Iraq, and targets combatants in support of U.S. troops stationed there. The C.I.A.’s program is aimed at terror suspects around the world, including in places where U.S. troops are not based. The program is classified as covert, and the C.I.A. declines to provide any information to the public about where it operates, how it selects targets, who is in charge, or how many people have been killed.
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21 Oct 09

Matthew Yglesias » Health Care vs Terrorism

  • Even if we want to go with the Institute of Medicine’s lower number, that’s still around 18,000 excess deaths per year. That’s three 9/11s. If we had a terrorism-related death rate anywhere even vaguely in that neighborhood, people would be freaking out.
18 Oct 09

Print The Secret History of the Impending War with Iran That the White House Doesn't Want You to Know

  • But it wasn't her sister, it was a senior Iranian diplomat. To protect him from reprisals from the Iranian government, she doesn't want to name him, but she describes him as a cultured man in his fifties with salt-and-pepper hair. Since early spring, they had been meeting secretly in a small conference room at the UN.


    "Are you all right?" he asked.


    Yes, she said, she was fine.


    The attack was a terrible tragedy, he said, doubtless the work of Al Qaeda.


    "I hope that we can still work together," he said.

  • Months before September 11, Mann had been negotiating with the Iranian diplomat at the UN. After the attacks, the meetings continued, sometimes alone and sometimes with their Russian counterpart sitting in.
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09 Oct 09

Under the Banner of the 'War' on Terror

  • deranged society's normal processes and purposes with a brilliantly seductive political message: Terror pre-empts everything else.
  • restart the cold war
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The redefinition of air power (Thomas P.M. Barnett :: Weblog)

  • Key points: no personnel lost and drones deliver great results at about 1/20th the cost of jets, according to the Israelis.
  • The spectacular benefit is the loitering capacity ("persistent stare" means you can find needles in haystacks because you can watch them being built) yielding real-time operational intell.
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05 Oct 09

Pentagon auditor deemed serial failure - Washington Times

  • In one case, DCAA officials had attempted an audit of a major U.S. defense contractor doing reconstruction work in Iraq. The contractor was not named in the report, but a person familiar with the investigation told The Washington Times that it was Parsons Corp., a Pasadena, Calif.-based engineering firm whose work in the past has been criticized as shoddy.
  • The GAO report said the firm did almost $900 million of U.S. government contracting in 2004, the year the audit started, a quarter-billion dollars worth of it in Iraq.
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