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The Future of the Internet III | Pew Internet & American Life Project
Overview
A survey of internet leaders, activists and analysts shows they expect major tech advances as the phone becomes a primary device for online access, voice-recognition improves, artificial and virtual reality become more embedded in everyday life, and the architecture of the internet itself improves.
They disagree about whether this will lead to more social tolerance, more forgiving human relations, or better home lives.
Here are the key findings on the survey of experts by the Pew Internet & American Life Project that asked respondents to assess predictions about technology and its roles in the year 2020:
# The mobile device will be the primary connection tool to the internet for most people in the world in 2020.
# The transparency of people and organizations will increase, but that will not necessarily yield more personal integrity, social tolerance, or forgiveness.
# Voice recognition and touch user-interfaces with the internet will be more prevalent and accepted by 2020.
# Those working to enforce intellectual property law and copyright protection will remain in a continuing arms race, with the crackers who will find ways to copy and share content without payment.
# The divisions between personal time and work time and between physical and virtual reality will be further erased for everyone who is connected, and the results will be mixed in their impact on basic social relations.
# Next-generation engineering of the network to improve the current internet architecture is more likely than an effort to rebuild the architecture from scratch.
Top News - Will Wikipedia's new rules garner more trust?
Eight years after Wikipedia's launch, professors such as Lyubansky have come to accept the free online encyclopedia--which can be edited by any registered user with web access--as a legitimate research tool for students, especially after the site announced changes last month to its editing policies.
Entries written by new Wikipedia users now will be edited by regular contributors, and changes to the biographies of celebrities or controversial figures will be reviewed before they go live on the site, said Erik Moeller, deputy director of the Wikimedia Foundation, adding in a blog post that "false information can do the most serious harm to an individual."
RSS - The New York Times
RSS (Really Simple Syndication) feeds offer another way to get NYTimes.com content. Subscribe to our feeds to get the latest headlines, summaries and links back to full articles - formatted for your favorite feed reader and updated throughout the day.
Top News - Experts debate relevance of 'social search'
Researchers attending a conference on internet searching were divided on the use of social networking for serious research, with some saying traditional search engines are the more practical choice. Others, however, said social media can be effective tools for specific research tasks, such as conducting a survey or taking a snapshot of people's interests.
How companies are benefiting from Web 2.0 - McKinsey Quarterly - Business Technology - Strategy
The heaviest users of Web 2.0 applications are also enjoying benefits such as increased knowledge sharing and more effective marketing. These benefits often have a measurable effect on the business.
The Myth about IT as a Utility (Educause July/August 2007)
Brian L. Hawkins and Diana G. Oblinger\n\nInformation technology is just a utility-like water or electricity. We'd all like that statement to be true. When we want to connect to the Internet, we want it to be there-instantly. And most of the time, it
Making it happen.(Making it happen)(practicing e-government in Washington, D.C.).
Bookmarked in the UD subscription database, Academic OneFile
The Economist, Feb 8, 2009
Basics - The Social Network as a Career Safety Net - NYTimes.com
IF you have avoided social-networking sites like LinkedIn and Facebook with the excuse that they are the domain of desperate job hunters or attention-seeking teenagers, it's time to reconsider.
Common Project Management Metrics Doom IT Departments to Failure - CIO.com - Business Technology Leadership
The metrics organizations commonly use to determine whether an IT project is a success or a failure-whether the project is completed on time, on budget, and delivered the initial requirements-do more harm than good for IT departments, according to a new report from Forrester Research.
Digital Renderings: The Z Curve and IT Investment
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In particular, it’s easy to see that all the things that push a new technology up the S Curve toward ubiquity—heavy investment, standardization, homogenization, price deflation, best practice diffusion, consolidation of the vendor base—also erode its ability to distinguish one company from others. As ubiquity grows, strategic potential shrinks. This relationship can be illustrated graphically by adding another line to the S Curve chart—what I call a Z Curve—that plots the technology’s potential for providing competitive advantage. Here’s what that looks like:
This pattern of evolution can, furthermore, be usefully divided into three stages:
Digital Renderings: Enough Already: IT's Decreasing Returns
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It is, in fact, a hallmark of information systems in general. The big economic returns come relatively early after the introduction of a new system – when a labor-intensive manual process is first automated – and then the returns from successive technology investments steadily decline, eventually turning negative. As the distinguished Northwestern University economist Robert Gordon argued in a 2000 article published in the Journal of Economic Perspectives, “a second distinguishing feature of the development of the computer industry, after the decline in price, is the unprecedented speed with which diminishing returns set in.”
How the E-Book Will Change the Way We Read and Write - WSJ.com
Fascinating article hypothesizing on the many ways eBooks will change how we read, consume books and consume information.
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