Yule Heibel's Library tagged → View Popular
Fine arts are in survival mode as funds dry up - USATODAY.com
"It's frightening," says Lockwood Hoehl, BCO's executive director. "We're unfortunately at the bottom of the food chain. The general thought about the arts in our society is it's expendable."
-
"It's frightening," says Lockwood Hoehl, BCO's executive director. "We're unfortunately at the bottom of the food chain. The general thought about the arts in our society is it's expendable."
-
"America is a practical nation that comes from very practical roots," says Robert Lynch of the advocacy group Americans for the Arts. "That practicality … is part of what we've had to overcome."
- 1 more annotations...
"Financial 9-1-1: Implications of the Economic Crisis - The UVic President's Panel on the Economy"
Podcast of the panel/symposium hosted by University of Victoria on 11/18/08 re. "Financial 9-1-1: Implications of the Economic Crisis - The UVic President's Panel on the Economy"
QUOTE
How might the current economic crisis affect your house, your job, your future? Gain insight and a fresh perspective on the global financial crisis from this panel discussion featuring business, economic, and financial experts from UVic and the community.
Speakers: Graham Voss, UVic, Associate Professor, Department of Economics
Basma Majerbi, UVic, Assistant Professor, Faculty of Business
Tom Siemens, RBC, Vice President Commercial Banking
Robert Jawl, Jawl Properties, Principal
Tony Gage, Head, JEA Pension System Solutions
UNQUOTE
Local perspective.
"Why home values may take decades to recover," by Dennis Cauchon (USAToday.com)
Quite a horrifying article about the depth (and breadth) housing's role in the financial crisis, and why the market is in the doldrums in a bad bad way.
QUOTE:
Home values have fallen before — during the Great Depression and in Texas after a 1980s oil boom, for example — but those drops were a response to other economic forces. This time, the housing price collapse is the cause of the nation's broad economic troubles, not just an effect.
UNQUOTE
-
More room to fall?
-
As painful as the decline has been, history suggests home values still may have a long way to drop and may take decades to return to the heights of 2½ years ago.
"We will never see these prices again in our lifetime, when you adjust for inflation," says Peter Schiff, president of investment firm Euro Pacific Capital of Darien, Conn. "These were lifetime peaks."
The boom in home prices — fueled by heavily leveraged loans built on low or even no down payments — made it easy to forget that housing values had been remarkably stable for a half-century after World War II, rising at roughly the same pace as income and inflation. Prices soared in most of the country — especially in Arizona, California, Florida and Nevada and metro areas of Washington, D.C., and New York — during a brief period of easy lending, especially from 2002 to 2006. That era's over.
- 7 more annotations...
Jim Rogers calls most big U.S. banks bankrupt | U.S. | Reuters
Not a pretty picture:
QUOTE
Jim Rogers, one of the world's most prominent international investors, on Thursday called most of the largest U.S. banks "totally bankrupt," and said government efforts to fix the sector are wrongheaded.
UNQUOTE
-
Jim Rogers, one of the world's most prominent international investors, on Thursday called most of the largest U.S. banks "totally bankrupt," and said government efforts to fix the sector are wrongheaded.
Speaking by teleconference at the Reuters Investment Outlook 2009 Summit, the co-founder with George Soros of the Quantum Fund, said the government's $700 billion rescue package for the sector doesn't address how banks manage their balance sheets, and instead rewards weaker lenders with new capital.
-
"What is outrageous economically and is outrageous morally is that normally in times like this, people who are competent and who saw it coming and who kept their powder dry go and take over the assets from the incompetent," he said. "What's happening this time is that the government is taking the assets from the competent people and giving them to the incompetent people and saying, now you can compete with the competent people. It is horrible economics."
Beyond the Bailout - New Thinking Required - Creative Class » Blog Archive »
Richard Florida makes the argument that Fordism -- or Fordist thinking -- lies behind some of our economic woes at present, and that we have to get past that paradigm. I left a comment re. this article ( http://www.wsoctv.com/automotive/17945476/detail.html#- ), "Falling Gas Prices Jump-Start GM SUV Sales; Automaker Puts Texas Plant On Overtime Amid Other Closures," published a week ago (11/10/08). The automobile industry shouldn't be bailed out without significant guarantees from the industry that it will embrace environmentally progressive goals.
The End of Wall Street's Boom, by Michael Lewis - Portfolio.com
Must-read expose/ explanation by Michael Lewis (author of Liar's Poker) of Wall Street's "doomsday machine," as Steve Eisman calls it. Not sure I understand completely all the ins and outs of "selling short" and "shorting," but Lewis articulates it well enough. The first passage I highlighted really captures the "sorcerer's apprentice gone mad" quality: There really weren't enough unqualified mortgage borrowers to satisfy investors' appetite for collateralized debt obligation (CDOs) packages, so "shorts" step in to create a kind of magic alternate -- like the splinters of wood when the apprentice tries to chop the enchanted broom into bits, and thereby just creates more brooms.... So in the end, you have more losses than loans.
-
That’s when Eisman finally got it. Here he’d been making these side bets with Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank on the fate of the BBB tranche without fully understanding why those firms were so eager to make the bets. Now he saw. There weren’t enough Americans with shitty credit taking out loans to satisfy investors’ appetite for the end product. The firms used Eisman’s bet to synthesize more of them. Here, then, was the difference between fantasy finance and fantasy football: When a fantasy player drafts Peyton Manning, he doesn’t create a second Peyton Manning to inflate the league’s stats. But when Eisman bought a credit-default swap, he enabled Deutsche Bank to create another bond identical in every respect but one to the original. The only difference was that there was no actual homebuyer or borrower. The only assets backing the bonds were the side bets Eisman and others made with firms like Goldman Sachs. Eisman, in effect, was paying to Goldman the interest on a subprime mortgage. In fact, there was no mortgage at all. “They weren’t satisfied getting lots of unqualified borrowers to borrow money to buy a house they couldn’t afford,” Eisman says. “They were creating them out of whole cloth. One hundred times over! That’s why the losses are so much greater than the loans. But that’s when I realized they needed us to keep the machine running. I was like, This is allowed?”
-
Not long after that, FrontPoint had a visit from Sanford C. Bernstein’s Brad Hintz, a prominent analyst who covered Wall Street firms. Hintz wanted to know what Eisman was up to. “We just shorted Merrill Lynch,” Eisman told him.
“Why?” asked Hintz.
“We have a simple thesis,” Eisman explained. “There is going to be a calamity, and whenever there is a calamity, Merrill is there.” When it came time to bankrupt Orange County with bad advice, Merrill was there. When the internet went bust, Merrill was there. Way back in the 1980s, when the first bond trader was let off his leash and lost hundreds of millions of dollars, Merrill was there to take the hit. That was Eisman’s logic—the logic of Wall Street’s pecking order. Goldman Sachs was the big kid who ran the games in this neighborhood. Merrill Lynch was the little fat kid assigned the least pleasant roles, just happy to be a part of things. The game, as Eisman saw it, was Crack the Whip. He assumed Merrill Lynch had taken its assigned place at the end of the chain.
Creative Class » Blog Archive » The Nature of This Crisis Matters - Creative Class
A sobering assessment of current bail-out strategies and why they could well fail, by Martin Kenney.
-
when the Treasury/Fed say they will bail out banks, they only mean a few key banks and leave the rest to their own devices (there is evidence for this suspicion as the large regional banks such as Sun Trust and Zion did not participate in the huge rally on Monday). So, which banks will be bailed out? My guess is Goldman Sachs (Paulson and Robert Rubin’s ex-employer), Citi, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and a few others (did Wells Fargo buy Wachovia so that it could enter this charmed circle?). P.S. - We now have confirmation of which firms are being bailed out: JPMorgan, Goldman, Citi, BoA, Wells Fargo, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, State Street Bank [thank you Barney Frank], Bank of NY Mellon [thank you Hillary and Schumer].
-
The forces of globalization are still underway and, as many of have been saying, they are putting downward pressure on incomes in the developed nations, which, of course, are the consumers of the products of the developing nations. A small telltale of this, IBM announced dramatically increased profits on only slightly higher sales. My guess is that these profits were made by substituting low-cost developing world service providers for their high-cost developing nation employees. This dynamic will continue putting pressure on wages in the developed nations and contributing to a deflationary dynamic.
- 2 more annotations...
The New Investment Rules For China | The China Vortex
A fascinating article that makes me think about cultures (in the sense of how Ali Dastmalchian talked about global cultures at his presentation on 10/6/08), and how in turn different cultures will react to crisis and/ or enable some strategies while frustrating others.
-
As I have said earlier, China and the US are two sides to the same coin, and it pays to look at them as one economy, as this Newsweek article does. It goes without saying that this crisis will have a profound effect on China, and I’m not optimistic about the capability of the Chinese central government in Beijing to deal with it as quickly as it should.
-
Add Sticky NoteThere is a simple reason for this: stimulating consumer spending depends, to a large extent, on the rollout of a national healthcare system; this is something which Beijing has tried to do since the early 90s, all without success. When it comes to the lack of a national healthcare system, the US and China are in the same boat, and the national governments are equally ineffective.
- That's the first time I've heard / read this: interesting idea, that lack of national health care is a retardant to consumer spending stimulus... Of course one could argue that investing in national health care is ...well, *investing*, and that w/out investment, a country goes to hell. - on 2008-10-08
- 9 more annotations...
"I Purchase, Therefore I Am," by Richard Florida - Creative Class blog
Great entry by Richard Florida, which underscores the connection between suburbanization, reliance on cheap gasoline, consumption, and using housing/ real estate as a "piggy bank" that one could always raid to get money to buy more stuff. See entry, and annotations/ highlights.
I added a comment, in response to an existing comment by Wendy Waters, and then a second one in response to Kwende Kefentse.
-
Most experts agree this is the worst financial meltdown since the Great Depression. The stock market is down almost 25 percent so far this year. Housing prices in the United States are off more than 20 per cent since their peak in 2006. Manufacturing output is falling and consumer confidence has slipped.
<!-- /Summary -->Martin Feldstein, former head of the National Bureau of Economic Research, past chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers and a Harvard economics professor - usually a voice of calming reassurance - wrote in The Wall Street Journal: “Sliding into recession, monetary policy already at maximum easing, and fiscal transfers impotent … an unenviable situation, to say the least, for any incoming president.”
-
Where did this financial mess come from? And what does it mean?
- 8 more annotations...
Selected Tags
Related Tags
Sponsored Links
Top Contributors
Groups interested in financia...
-
Higher Ed and the Economy
Articles about the impact o...
Items: 91 | Visits: 3
Created by: Kay Cunningham
Diigo is about better ways to research, share and collaborate on information. Learn more »
Join Diigo
