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German politicians, media warn about the next global financial crisis
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Schäuble compared the present financial crisis with the fall of the Berlin Wall twenty years earlier. “The financial crisis will change the world as powerfully as did the fall of the [Berlin] Wall. The balance between America, Asia and Europe is shifting dramatically,”
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According to the magazine, the price-earnings ratio—comparing the market value per share to the annual earnings per share of the respective enterprise—has reached a historic maximum of 133. A price-earnings ratio of 14 or more is considered to mean shares are valued excessively.
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Politics and History - Civil Society and Democratic Culture - Goethe-Institut
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It is difficult to say, because the people I talked to were all very different. The thing they almost all had in common, however, was that they and their parents had decided to pursue a particular educational path, and that this education was worth a great deal of money to them.
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An understanding of how other people live. The future elite live in relatively closed societies, where hardly any of their fellow students have an unemployed father or parents who have immigrated from Turkey. In their lives, the other people – over whose lives they will later decide – are conspicuously absent. - 2 more annotations...
UTV News - Brazil crime wars: Spiderman's story of drugs and Jesus in Rio's slums
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One local NGO, the Observatório de Favelas, estimates that there will be another 40,000 homicides in Rio state before 2016.
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In the public imagination, the drug lords are often seen as wealthy mafiosos, surrounded by fast-cars, beautiful women and stacks of money. Travel into their territories, lives and homes, however, and it becomes clear that Rio's underworld is a place of solitude, paranoia and relentless violence.
Curious Meeting at Treasury Department « naked capitalism
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My bottom line is that the people we met are very cognitively captured, assuming one can take their remarks at face value. Although they kept stressing all the things that had changed or they were planning to change, the polite pushback from pretty all the attendees was that what Treasury thought of as major progress was insufficient.
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But the other fact is that these guys are very smooth, very smart, and seemed quite sincere, which made it difficult to discern how much they really did believe and how much of what they said they had to say because they need to defend official policy and maintain confidence.
Asia Times Online :: Asian news and current affairs
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Bernankeism is a form of voodoo economics. It assumes that the economy is
constantly suffering demand deficiencies, in relation to supplies of basic
products such as oil and food commodities, and that the remedy is sheer "money
helicoptering". This is different from the thinking of John Maynard Keynes, who
called for infrastructure spending to stimulate the economy and discarded money
injection into banks that can create a liquidity trap, or monetizing record
fiscal deficits on current expenditure that cannot be rolled back later for
political reasons. -
Bernanke has constantly denied any link between monetary policy and commodity
prices, even though all money injection was going straight to speculation in
stocks and commodities. - 1 more annotations...
Asia Times Online :: Asian news and current affairs
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This raises a
serious intellectual question of why any investor would even bother thinking
about the equity analysts who failed to say anything useful about the stock
markets from 2005 to 2007, and then consistently lagged the market through the
course of 2008. -
If there is one thing everyone has learned since 2007, it
is that the single-best path to economic ruin is to buy something because (and
only because) it is being chased by fiat liquidity.
FusterClucked Again: The Commercial Real Estate Crash Is On - By Mr. Walker - The eXiled
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With the shorter term financing used on the commercial real estate world, Paulie needs his principal back a lot sooner.
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That article states that $400 billion of such loans are coming due in 2009 and that between now and 2012 the total will be $1.8 trillion, roughly half of which are owned by banks. Delinquency rates have doubled in the past year and the values of the underlying properties are, obviously, in freefall.
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Kurt Andersen and Douglas Rushkoff: Part I: Change Observer: Design Observer
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1. People seemed incapable of recognizing that the money they were using was just one kind of money, with very particular biases. -
they seemed completely unaware of how money loaned into existence by a central bank demands that businesses and the economy grow at the rate of interest rather than some connection to supply and demand.
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Bad news: What if the money's not coming back?
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Recession wasn’t stalking the land. Instead, the company misinterpreted the signs of permanent structural change.
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In every big discussion about the future of media, the Cyclists argue in opposition to the Structuralists, who typically see factors looming on the horizon that are far more significant than a few quarters of interrupted economic growth. - 1 more annotations...
The Escapist : The Downside of Direct Downloads
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if you care about things like games staying affordable and having some choice as a consumer, you might want to start worrying right about now.
At its core, the movement from standard methods of content delivery to virtual ones is just a big, crazy chase for dollars. This shift will have a major impact on the whole supply chain from console-makers to software publishers and retailers.
Edge: MONEY, DESIRE, PLEASURE, PAIN By Emanuel Derman
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Fiat money incorporates only two of the three primitives, pleasure and desire. Genuine money should always involve the recollected pain involved in creating it.
Asia Times Online :: Asian news and current affairs
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In fact, speaking of taxes, it makes your hat fly up comically off your head in
astonishment when you realize that total income and corporate taxes are less
than this year’s federal budget deficit alone! And then you really start
screaming your guts out in anger when you then realize that the total federal
budget is 400% of total federal revenues! They are spending four times as much
as they take in! Four times as much!
Myron Scholes: Nobel Prize Winner, Con Man And High Priest of Derivative Divinity - By Mr. Walker - The eXiled
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After years as an econ professor he was invited along with a number of other finance nerds to build their very own hedge fund, the spectacularly misnamed Long Term Capital Management (LTCM for those in the know), which was founded in 1994 and went bust four years later. LTCM was initially famous for spectacular returns and legendary secrecy about their trades, using multiple brokers to hide their methods even from the people accessing the markets for them.
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he Cliffs Notes version is that a combination of slavish devotion to risk models, massive leverage (before the meltdown LTCM intentionally maintained 20-1 leverage or greater), off-balance sheet exposure (with derivatives, the firm was often levered well over 200-1), derivatives, and near zero transparency to outsiders or regulators, the same factors that took us to the brink of collapse last year. The fact that Mr. Scholes was a decade ahead of the rest of his peers shows why he needed to be recognized for his pioneering investment strategies.
US-Europe tensions erupt on eve of G20 summit
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Merkel and Sarkozy bluntly rejected US calls for the major European countries to expand their stimulus programs and instead urged Obama and other G20 leaders to focus on stronger and more internationally supervised regulation of financial institutions, including hedge funds and similar unregulated firms, laying down this and other "red lines" as a condition for achieving unity at today's summit.
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"We decided in Washington that no place, no institution and no product should be left without control and adequate transparency. And if we want that, then that means there must be a list of places that do not want to be regulated."
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The Big Takeover : Rolling Stone
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in the end, our government had
no mechanism for searching the balance sheets of companies that
held life-or-death power over our society and was unable to spot
holes in the national economy the size of Libya (whose entire GDP
last year was smaller than AIG's 2008 losses). -
Liddy made AIG sound like an orphan begging in a soup line,
hungry and sick from being left out in someone else's financial
weather. He conveniently forgot to mention that AIG had spent more
than a decade systematically scheming to evade U.S. and
international regulators, or that one of the causes of its
"pneumonia" was making colossal, world-sinking $500 billion bets
with money it didn't have, in a toxic and completely unregulated
derivatives market. - 14 more annotations...
EXILED ONLINE - MANKIND’S ONLY ALTERNATIVE » BETSY MCCAUGHEY WANTS TO KILL AMERICANS ON BEHALF OF HER PLUTOCRAT FRIENDS, BUT ARE AMERICANS TOO SLAVE-LIKE TO DEFEND THEMSELVES? - By Mark Ames
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If you cannot afford the very best health insurance plan in this country—and chances are, you’re not one of the 10% of this country who can—then what this means is that BETSY MCCAUGHEY WANTS TO KILL YOU IN ORDER TO ENRICH HERSELF. Do you get that?
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