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Joel Liu's Library tagged future →  View Popular, Search in Google

May
29
2010

  • John Doerr: Great question. I think we’re on the verge of a third great wave of innovation. The first was the microchip and the PC in the early 80s. The second wave was 1995: the Internet. Marc Andresseen brought Netscape Navigator to the world. Then Amazon came. Then in 1999 we saw the 15th search engine called “Google.”

     

    This third wave is social, mobile, new commerce. We don’t have a name for it yet. We could be on the verge of reinventing the web. It’s people, it’s places, it’s relationships. It’s exciting.

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  • John Doerr To Charlie Rose: I Use My iPad In Church
  • John Doerr To Charlie Rose: I Use My iPad In Church
  • John Doerr To Charlie Rose: I Use My iPad In Church
Jun
30
2009

  • Five years ago, most newspaper editors would have laughed at the idea that blogs might one day offer serious competition. The minicomputer companies laughed at the early personal computers. New technologies often don’t look very good in their early stages, and that means a straightup comparison of new to old is little help in recognizing impending dispruption. That’s a problem, though, because the best time to recognize disruption is in its early stages.
  • An early sign of impending disruption is when there’s a sudden flourishing of startup organizations serving an overlapping customer need (say, news), but whose organizational architecture is radically different to the conventional approach. That means many people outside the old industry (and thus not suffering from the blinders of an immune response) are willing to bet large sums of their own money on a new way of doing things. That’s exactly what we saw in the period 2000-2005, with organizations like Slashdot, Digg, Fark, Reddit, Talking Points Memo, and many others. Most such startups die. That’s okay: it’s how the new industry learns what organizational architectures work, and what don’t. But if even a few of the startups do okay, then the old players are in trouble, because the startups have far more room for improvement.
Nov
17
2008

    • Three levels, but only BOSS Custom has real potential for a highly differentiated service offering.

       

      There are three levels to the BOSS program, according to SearchEngineWatch:

       
      • self-service API
      • BOSS University for academics
      • BOSS Custom, designed for companies with their own ranking and/or presentation methodologies. Or alternative, companies with proprietary data that can help as an additional signal that factors into relevancy.
       

      I’ll go over all the aspects of the BOSS program below, and then come back to BOSS Custom as evidence that Yahoo! just might Use The Force. But the basic features looks like a free version of Google Custom Search Engine.

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Nov
8
2008

  • 1.      经济增长的引擎发生根本性变化：从国际市场的出口拉动转向国内市场的内需拉动；从政府基建拉动转向企业投资和居民消费拉动；从沿海和一线城市拉动转向内陆和二、三线城市以及城市化乡镇的拉动；
  • 2.      经济内核发生更本性变化：从“中国制造”转向 “中国设计”和“中国出品”； 从单纯模仿和为别人OEM走向自主创新和找别人OEM；从制造大国转向研发和服务大国。
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Oct
15
2008

  • Digest This Thought: The Answer to Information Overload Is to Produce More Information.

  • Education is one area ripe for Web innovation. Harley of WorldLearningTree recently submitted his suggestions on how to revolutionalize online education to Google's "Project10ToThe100" contest.

     

    Sandra Foyt is looking for a "better learning/connecting hub". She elaborates: "I want a command center where it's easy to share all kinds of digital media, while being able to chat or microblog. An all in one home base, with Twitter/Flock/Ning/Wiki/Flickr/YouTube elements."

     

    Influential VC Fred Wilson pointed to a post from his venture firm recently, which was on the theme of the Web shifting power to individuals. Fred noted that "we are particularly interested in "disrupting and improving" education and energy markets".

  • We think part of the problem (?) Web 2.0 creates is that it generates exponentially growing amounts of information, which becomes harder and harder to efficiently get off the screen and into our brains. Intermz is building an educational platform that will hopefully dramatically improve learning speed, retention, recollection, and understanding, to help handle the rising tide of Web 2.0 output. We hope it becomes an example of where Web 3.0 might go.
Sep
11
2008

  • We’re all familiar with 80-20 problems, where the last 20% of the solution is 80% of the work. Search is a 90-10 problem. Today, we have a 90% solution: I could answer all of my unanswered Saturday questions, not ideally or easily, but I could get it done with today’s search tool. (If you’re curious, the answers are below.) However, that remaining 10% of the problem really represents 90% (in fact, more than 90%) of the work. Coming up with elegant, fitting and relevant solutions to meet the challenges of mobility, modes, media, personalization, location, socialization, and language will take decades. Search is a science that will develop and advance over hundreds of years. Think of it like biology and physics in the 1500s or 1600s: it’s a new science where we make big and exciting breakthroughs all the time. However, it could be a hundred years or more before we have microscopes and an understanding of the proverbial molecules and atoms of search. Just like biology and physics several hundred years ago, the biggest advances are yet to come. That’s what makes the field of Internet search so exciting.
Oct
13
2007

  • Play to your strengths. That's the key to success in any industry. This is the week I promised to explain where I think Google is headed, and playing to the company's strengths is key if they are going to do what I think, which is effectively take over the Internet. Oh they won't steal it or strong-arm us. They'll seduce us into giving it to them. And I am not at all sure that's a bad thing.
Oct
3
2005

  • Thanks to software like ProTools and CakeWalk, the production of music is  heavily digital. Thanks to Napster and its heirs like Gnutella and Kazaa, the  reproduction and distribution of music is also digital. As usual, this  digitization has taken an enormous
  • The most important departments at a record label are Artists & Repertoire,  and Marketing. A&R's job is to find new talent, and Marketing's job is to  publicize it. These are both genuinely hard tasks, and unlike production or  distribution, there is no serious competition for those functions outside the  labels

  • In many Asian countries, access to very high speed broadband is more prolific -  as you may have read the US is falling way behind on this front. Also, as you  continue to read the insatiable thirst for learning in countries like China is  well above the Western world. In these areas, and for these reasons, you should  expect online learning to thrive - it will be huge. But it will be correlated  with broadband speed.
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