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Nov
8
2010
Are the global imbalances in trade all China's fault?
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Before the financial crisis, some advanced countries (led by the United States) were overspending, and some poorer countries (led by China) were oversaving. The two offset each other. The big spenders ran large trade deficits, and the big savers ran large trade surpluses.
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In practice, it may boil down to this: Will China change?
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Dec
2
2009
Pressure is on China to revalue the RMB, but it's unlikely to happen anytime soon. Why? Read to find out...
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China allowed the yuan to rise by 21% against the dollar in the three years to July 2008, but since then it has more or less kept the rate fixed. As a result, the yuan’s trade-weighted value has been dragged down this year by the sickly dollar, while many other currencies have soared. Since March the Brazilian real and the South Korean won have gained 42% and 36% respectively against the yuan, seriously eroding those countries’ competitiveness.
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exchange-rate policy is decided by the State Council, not the central bank. And many policymakers, notably in the Ministry of Commerce, do not favour a revaluation right now.
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May
11
2008
Weak dollar, rising unemployment and falling incomes in the states lead to weak demand for imports from abroad, shifting the US balance of trade away from deficit towards surplus. Here's the Balance of Payment in action!
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