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04 Nov 08

Here’s my Senate prediction. I already did my Presidential election prediction. The colors ARE switched from what the normal media colors, so sorry about that, but that’s the way the website I use does it. The maps are courtesy of Dave Leip’s U.S. Election Atlas, and my most current prediction can always be found here. On to the predictions…

01 Nov 08

Here’s my Senate prediction. I already did my Presidential election prediction. The colors ARE switched from what the normal media colors, so sorry about that, but that’s the way the website I use does it. The maps are courtesy of Dave Leip’s U.S. Election Atlas, and my most current prediction can always be found here. On to the predictions…

22 Oct 08

Well, just like the Presidential prediction, here are my predictions for the Senate races (percentages is the first map, with confidence being the second map). The colors ARE switched from what the normal media colors, so sorry about that, but that’s the way the website I use does it. The maps are courtesy of Dave Leip’s U.S. Election Atlas, and my most current prediction can always be found here. On to the predictions…

10 Sep 08

OK, so I’m sure that many of you have heard accusations that Barack Obama said the phrase “lipstick on a pig,” referring to Sarah Palin. Let’s put that phrase into context. This is from an Obama speech in Virginia on Tuesday:

03 Apr 08

So, I’m writing this post as somewhat of a follow up to my post about the 9 3rd graders who plotted to injure/kill their teacher. After I wrote the post, Observations by the Bay wrote a comment, where he asked how I felt about this story, where a kid was consistently bullied in middle and high school. He said, “Should these boys assaulting Eric Wolfe be given the death penalty as well,”

16 Feb 08

OK, now that all of the data is finally in, and I have free time, I can give all the final numbers from Super Tuesday for the Republicans (Democrats will be the next post) (a note, if you’re viewing this on the main page, click this post’s title so that the numbers won’t overlap onto the sidebar text) (also, Tom Tancredo is included in the category of “Other” unless he was the only other, then he is listed as his own name. The number int the parenthesis indicates the number of other candidates):

06 Feb 08

05 Feb 08

I had to do a lot less calculating for this one, but I was able to clear all of the states out of the tossup category.
Here’s my prediction based on percentages:

Alright, after calculating states with a couple of formulas, I finally have a good map. I can confidently predict all of the states except Arizona. Although Obama has never led in a poll there, he is trending toward a win, so I decided to give it to him, but I’m going to keep it in the tossup category, because according to my formula, the difference was just over a quarter of a percent.

OK, here are my preliminary predictions for the Super Tuesday primaries and caucuses. Here’s the map of my prediction, although at this point there are a LOT of undecided states that I may switch before morning (for some reason I can’t get rid of the 0 for Michigan and Florida):

Super Tuesday: Part II: Preliminary Republican Predictions:
OK, here’s a map of my preliminary predictions for Super Tuesday (I’ll update this at least once more after the Zogby polls come out, unless I remain confident in this one). The first number indicates the amount of delegates awarded and the second is the total number of that state’s delegates. If all are awarded, there is only one number (Delaware awards all 18 and California awards 170):

04 Feb 08

Super Tuesday: Part I: General Information and Timeline:
OK, so on Tuesday, February 5th, 24 Democratic and 21 Republican elections.
Here’s a map of the times that the results should be available based on Eastern Standard Time (a “*” indicates a caucus and I estimated that caucuses would last approximately 2 hours before results begin coming in. The Alaska Democratic caucus ends at midnight, and the Repubublican caucus ends a half an hour later. Also, the Washington, D.C. box represents the American Samoa Democratic caucus. The Democrats Abroad are not included on the map, since there’s no set ending time. Red indicates Republican elections, Blue indicates Democrats, and purple indicates both.):