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Bland CBO Memo, or Smoking Gun?
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Crafting the private-sector mandates such that they fall just a hair short of CBO’s criteria for inclusion in the federal budget does not reduce their cost, nor does it make those mandates any less binding. But it dramatically reduces the apparent cost of the legislation. It is the reason we’re all talking about an $848 billion Reid bill, rather than a $2.1 trillion Reid bill.
If someone sold you a house, or a car, or a mutual fund this way, we would put them in jail.
How an Insurance Mandate Could Leave Many Worse Off
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The proposals now before Congress would require just about everyone to buy health insurance or to get it through their employers — which would generally result in lower wages. In other words, millions of people would be compelled to spend lots of money on something they previously did not want, at least not at prevailing prices.
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A subtler problem is what economists call “implicit marginal tax rates.”
The fiscal reality is that not all income groups can receive equal subsidies; as a family earns more, its subsidy would probably decrease, eventually falling to zero. But then we are taking money away from the poor as they climb into higher income categories. This is a disincentive to earn more, and the strength of the disincentive increases with our initial generosity.
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Mandatory Savings? Requiring people to buy medical insurance will fuel health care inflation.
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What industry
wouldn’t welcome a law that forces everyone to buy its product?
But the insurers also argue that a mandate will help
control costs, and the president agrees. Judging from the
experience in Massachusetts, which imposed its own insurance
requirement in 2006, they’re both wrong. -
There are several reasons why mandatory insurance, contrary to
Obama’s promises, has been accompanied by rapidly escalating
costs. First, when you subsidize something, people tend to
consume more of it. - 2 more annotations...
Coverage Story: Does the cost of uncompensated care justify forcing people to buy health insurance?
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the true annual cost per family is more like $200, with uncompensated care accounting for "less than one percent of private health insurance costs."
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What about the young and healthy (or middle-aged and wealthy) person who decides insurance is not worth his money but pays all his medical expenses out of his own pocket? His choice does not impose costs on anyone, but under Obama's plan he would still be punished for it.
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