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02 Nov 09

Bob Sutton: Intuition vs. Data-Driven Decision-Making: Some Rough Ideas

  • The trouble with intuition is that we now have a HUGE
    pile of research on cognitive biases and related flaws in decision-making that
    show "gut feelings" are highly suspect.  Look-up confirmation bias --- people have a
    very hard time believing and remember evidence that contradicts their beliefs. There
    is also the fallacy of centrality, a lot more obscure, but important in that
    people -- especially those in authority -- believe that if something important
    happens, they will know about it.     
  • when people have the mindset to "act on their beliefs, while
    doubting what they know," so that they are always looking for
    contradictory evidence, encouraging those around them to challenge what they
    believe, and constantly updating (but always moving forward), then I think that
    intuition -- or acting on incomplete information, hunches, conclusions -- is
    right.
06 Aug 09

Tracking News Life Cycles With Systems Like Media Cloud - NYTimes.com

  • but a comprehensive and reliable database that could track the daily rhythm of the news cycle over time and was available for public use didn’t exist. So Mr. Zuckerman and others at Berkman decided to create one.
  • The result is Media Cloud, a system that tracks hundreds of newspapers and thousands of Web sites and blogs, and archives the information in a searchable form. The database, at mediacloud.org, will eventually enable researchers to search for key people, places and events — from Michael Jackson to the Iranian elections — and find out precisely when, where and how frequently they are covered
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How Andrew Stott is setting Whitehall a-Twitter | Technology | The Guardian

  • In his task of opening up public information, Stott faces an obstacle identified by Guardian Technology's Free our Data campaign – the anomalous position of government-owned trading funds such as Ordnance Survey.

    Earlier this year, the Power of Information taskforce urged that freeing up geospatial data should be a priority – a recommendation accepted "in principle" by the government.

  • He says that there is a legitimate role for Twitter in drawing attention to announcements, and for answering frequently asked questions.
23 Jul 09

Michael Cross: Are local solutions the future for government IT? | Technology | The Guardian

  • So, that's it sorted, then. We cancel big government IT projects, kick out the consultancies and bring in Google, and let citizens manage their own data. Result: more responsive services, less public spending on computers and more privacy for citizens. And a final goodbye to the long, painful saga of public sector IT fiascos.

    This, roughly, is the picture of the future of government IT emerging from the Conservative party and associated thinktanks.

  • Philosophers will recognise in this debate a contest between negative and positive liberty, with the government trying to enforce freedoms, such as automatic enrollment for free school meals, whether we want them or not. Such a debate about transformational government's underlying philosophy is welcome. It's also long overdue - as Green tacitly admitted in his speech, the Tories initially missed the significance of the programme "which has understandably not grabbed the tabloid headlines" in the four years since its launch.
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15 Jul 09

Dave Gray » Toward a theory of information relativity

  • Before you can undertake any kind of visualization exercise, you need to know what question you want to answer, and for whom.
  • Every observation and fact has a margin of error, which is directly related to the observer’s background, beliefs, culture and limitations. It is written in the Talmud, “We see things not as they are, but as we are.”1
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