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Clay Burell's Library tagged global_warming   View Popular

12 Jul 09

Health, food and water | Greenpeace International

  • Disappearing
    glaciers, increasing droughts and salt-water intrusion will greatly
    worsen our world's current fresh water shortage. The IPCC estimates 3
    billion or more additional people will be at risk of water shortage due
    to climate change.  The Stockholm Environment Institute estimates
    that, using only a moderate projection of climate change, 63 percent of
    the global population will live in countries of significant water
    stress by 2025. 

RealClimate: Tipping Points

  • What is clear is that uncontrolled emissions will very soon put us in range of temperatures that have been unseen since the Eemian/Stage 5e period (about 120,000 years ago) when temperatures may have been a degree or so warmer than now but where sea level was 4 to 6m higher (see this recent discussion the possible sensitivities of the ice sheets to warming and the large uncertainties involved). In 10 years time CO2 levels will likely be greater than 400 ppm and the additional forcing combined with the inertia of the system will be make it increasingly unlikely that we will avoid a further 1 deg C or more warming. While the ‘10 years’ shouldn’t be read as an exact timetable, it is surely in the right ballpark. 30 more years of business-as-usual will make it impossible to keep temperatures from rising beyond Eemian levels (see here for some discussion of stabilisation scenarios), and decisions (on infrastructure, power stations, R&D, etc.) that are being made now will determine the emissions for decades to come.

Climate change, water shortages conspire to create 21st century Dust Bowl - NYTimes.com

  • Other options, including those aimed more directly at water supply, are to seed clouds with the hopes of increasing snow volumes in the high-elevation mountains. Local governments and power companies spend tens of millions of dollars a year on such seeding projects that have been shown to increase snowpack.


    But, experts say, such efforts are increasingly undermined by dust and soot accumulations that increase the melt rate of snowpacks, regardless of their depth.


    And the problems will persist as long as the Western climate continues to warm, perhaps by as much as 7 degrees Fahrenheit over the next 90 years, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.


    If such conditions persist, Painter said this year's dust storm intensity and early snowmelt could become the norm across the region.


    Belnap, the USGS research ecologist, said focused attention could help reverse the trend, but it will take more effort on the part of government and landowners.


    "We do not manage for dust. We don't even think about it," she said. "I think the time is coming where we are going to have to decide we need to think about dust."

Sea level rise: It's worse than we thought - environment - 01 July 2009 - New Scientist

  • What it all means







    If a 1 metre rise in sea level doesn't sound like much, consider this: about 60 million people live within 1 metre of mean sea level, a number expected to grow to about 130 million by 2100.








    Much of this population lives in the nine major river deltas in south and southeast Asia. Parts of countries such as Bangladesh, along with some island nations like the MaldivesMovie Camera, will simply be submerged.










    According to a 2005 report, a 1-metre rise in sea level will affect 13 million people in five European countries and destroy property worth $600 billion, with the Netherlands the worst affected. In the UK, existing defences are insufficient to protect parts of the east and south coast, including the cities of Hull and Portsmouth.









    Besides inundation, higher seas raise the risk of severe storm surges and dangerous flooding. The entire Atlantic seaboard of North America, including New York, Boston and Washington DC, and the Gulf coast will become more vulnerable to hurricanes. Today's 100-year storm floods might occur as often as every four years - in which case it will make more sense to abandon devastated regions and towns than to keep rebuilding them.

10 Jul 09

Dr. James Hansen: G-8 Failure Reflects U.S. Failure on Climate Change

  • With a workable climate bill in his pocket, President Obama might have been able to begin building that global consensus in Italy. Instead, it looks as if the delegates from other nations may have done what 219 U.S. House members who voted up Waxman-Markey last month did not: critically read the 1,400-page American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 and deduce that it's no more fit to rescue our climate than a V-2 rocket was to land a man on the moon.



    I share that conclusion, and have explained why to members of Congress before and will again at a Capitol Hill briefing on July 13. Science has exposed the climate threat and revealed this inconvenient truth: If we burn even half of Earth's remaining fossil fuels we will destroy the planet as humanity knows it. The added emissions of heat-trapping carbon dioxide will set our Earth irreversibly onto a course toward an ice-free state, a course that will initiate a chain reaction of irreversible and catastrophic climate changes.

  • The concentration of CO2 in our atmosphere now stands at 387 parts per million, the highest level in 600,000 years and more than 100 ppm higher than the amount at the dawn of the Industrial Revolution. Burning just the oil and gas sitting in known fields will drive atmospheric CO2 well over 400 ppm and ignite a devil's cauldron of melted icecaps, bubbling permafrost, and combustible forests from which there will be no turning back. But if we cut off the largest source of carbon dioxide, coal, we have a chance to bring CO2 back to 350 ppm and still lower through agricultural and forestry practices that increase carbon storage in trees and soil.



    The essential step, then, is to phase out coal emissions over the next two decades. And to declare off limits artificial high-carbon fuels such as tar sands and shale while moving to phase out dependence on conventional petroleum as well.

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One last chance to save mankind - environment - 23 January 2009 - New Scientist

  • It's a depressing outlook.












    Not necessarily. I don't think 9 billion is better than 1 billion. I see humans as rather like the first photosynthesisers, which when they first appeared on the planet caused enormous damage by releasing oxygen - a nasty, poisonous gas. It took a long time, but it turned out in the end to be of enormous benefit. I look on humans in much the same light. For the first time in its 3.5 billion years of existence, the planet has an intelligent, communicating species that can consider the whole system and even do things about it. They are not yet bright enough, they have still to evolve quite a way, but they could become a very positive contributor to planetary welfare.

30 Jun 09

Betraying the Planet | CommonDreams.org

  • The fact is that the planet is changing faster than even pessimists
    expected: ice caps are shrinking, arid zones spreading, at a terrifying
    rate. And according to a number of recent studies, catastrophe - a rise
    in temperature so large as to be almost unthinkable - can no longer be
    considered a mere possibility. It is, instead, the most likely outcome
    if we continue along our present course.


    Thus researchers at M.I.T., who were previously predicting a
    temperature rise of a little more than 4 degrees by the end of this
    century, are now predicting a rise of more than 9 degrees. Why? Global
    greenhouse gas emissions are rising faster than expected; some
    mitigating factors, like absorption of carbon dioxide by the oceans,
    are turning out to be weaker than hoped; and there's growing evidence
    that climate change is self-reinforcing - that, for example, rising
    temperatures will cause some arctic tundra to defrost, releasing even
    more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

  • As a recent authoritative U.S. government report points
    out, by the end of this century New Hampshire may well have the climate
    of North Carolina today, Illinois may have the climate of East Texas,
    and across the country extreme, deadly heat waves - the kind that
    traditionally occur only once in a generation - may become annual or
    biannual events.


    In other words, we're facing a clear and present danger to our way
    of life, perhaps even to civilization itself. How can anyone justify
    failing to act?

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09 Nov 08

Salon.com | Bush's seven deadly environmental sins

Short, useful list of Bush's transgressions and steps Obama should take to show American leadership on climate change and environmentalism.

www.salon.com/...print.html - Preview

globalwarming global_warming environment politics elections08 obama bush

  • Bush's myriad environmental sins could have him serving penance for years. But we decided to highlight seven of his most deadly. We also invited leading environmentalists to outline Barack Obama's mission for cleaning up the nation's land, water and air.
  • Bush Sin 1: Blew hot air on global warming

    By refusing to agree to mandatory greenhouse gas emission reductions, the Bush administration gave major developing nations, such as China and India, carte blanche to do the same. After all, why should these growing economies do anything about global warming when the one of the world's biggest greenhouse gas polluters and richest nations couldn't be bothered?




    "The most shameful thing we've done of all is to walk away from the international debate on climate, which has crippled the debate and caused everyone else in the world to think that we're hypocritical and deluded," says Bill McKibben, author and climate activist. "The Chinese have all the coal they need to destroy the atmosphere by themselves to get rich, and we have no moral objection as to why they shouldn't just go ahead and burn it, because that's precisely what we did."




    They don't call it global warming for nothing. The result: eight precious years wasted in the fight against global warming as we watched carbon-dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere shoot up, while scientists' predictions about the speed and severity of global warming became increasingly dire.




    Obama mission

    Signal that the United States will change its shameful record on global warming -- even before taking office. Attend the international climate talks in Poznan, Poland, this December, and electrify the rest of the world with a promise that the U.S. is serious about reducing greenhouse gases. That could set the stage for the major climate negotiations to come in Copenhagen, Demark, in December 2009, when a climate treaty to succeed Kyoto needs to be hammered out.

15 Jun 08

Project Global Cooling Concert | a moment of clarity.

  • Last Saturday, I went to a concert by a club called Project Global Cooling (PGC). Under the guidance of Clay Burell, its advisor, PGC is a global club held in 6 other countries around the world. The PGC concert was not only held in Korea, but in other countries, all dedicated to stopping global warming, and encourage “global cooling” (Hence, the name). It was held at a place called The Spot in a place near Hongik University in central Seoul. The lineup consisted of Rated-E, Jeong Joo, Poppa Midnight, Kong 151, E.X.Plosive, Dog Soup, and ABC Analysis.


    ABC Analysis (top) and Jeong Joo (bottom) performing.

    Photo credits to Annie Park


    Though there were many students and people that attended the crowd, the crowd was seemed mainly indifferent most of the concert, as the concert attendance was mainly supplied by the incentive of extra credit, instead of passion and fervor for music.

  • Next, featured Dog Soup, which is another one of Bushnell’s bands. At this point, I couldn’t really listen to music properly, as the members in the PGC club were limited, so I went to the back of the club to help the other members of the undermanned PGC club. Patrick Nam looked especially tired. But from what I heard, Dog Soup exhibited the same style of music as Poppa Midnight, with some extra members included. The generation gap was sealed again by Bushnell, and the night’s surprise came when Clay Burell (advisor of PGC) came up to the stage to sing the last song himself. Though not the type to sing any song at all, Burell surprised everyone in the whole club with his surprising singing skills, and his appearance really fired up the crowd. In terms of musical technicality and talent, Poppa Midnight and Dog Soup probably comes out on top, as they get paid to perform in clubs in Itaewon during weekends.
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