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What If Housing Crashed?

A call made too early?

Tags: Housing, Bubble on 2008-06-06 -All Annotations (0) -About

more fromwww.forbes.com

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Where Home Prices Are Holding Up - WSJ.com

Tags: Housing on 2008-05-20 -All Annotations (0) -About

more fromonline.wsj.com

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Be It Ever So Illogical: Homeowners Who Won’t Cut the Price - New York Times

Robert Glinert, a real estate agent in the Los Angeles area, said he has recently been saying no to almost half the sellers who have asked him to represent them. Their initial asking price is just too unrealistic.

Tags: Housing, Real_Estate on 2008-03-27 -All Annotations (0) -About

more fromwww.nytimes.com

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Equity Loans as Next Round in Credit Crisis - New York Times

The result is a nation that only half-owns its homes. While homeownership climbed to record heights in recent years, home equity — the value of the properties minus the mortgages against them — has fallen below 50 percent for the first time, according to the Federal Reserve.

Tags: Housing, Economics on 2008-03-27 -All Annotations (0) -About

more fromwww.nytimes.com

How a Bubble Stayed Under the Radar - New York Times

Tags: Behavior_Finance, Bubble, Housing on 2008-03-02 -All Annotations (0) -About

more fromwww.nytimes.com

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Some Cities Are Spared the Slide in Housing - New York Times

Tags: Housing, Real_Estate on 2008-02-15 -All Annotations (0) -About

more fromwww.nytimes.com

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Housing Meltdown

Tags: Housing, Economics on 2008-02-01 -All Annotations (0) -About

more fromwww.businessweek.com

Shocking though it might seem, a decline of 25% from here would merely reverse the market's spectacular appreciation during the boom. It would put the national price level right back on its long-term growth trend line, a surprisingly modest 0.4% a year after inflation.
So far, the amount of equity being withdrawn has remained surprisingly strong—$700 billion at an annual rate in the third quarter.
Starting in 2000, prices crossed above their trend line and just kept going up. The spike had never happened in modern U.S. history, according to data dating back to 1890 that Shiller painstakingly compiled for the second edition of his book Irrational Exuberance in 2005.
Homebuilders also are doing their bit to support prices: They've cut production so drastically that even though home sales fell more than expected in December, the backlog of unsold new homes shrank slightly. Douglas Duncan, chief economist of the Mortgage Bankers Assn., predicts existing home prices will slip less than 2% this year before beginning to rebound in 2009.
or a truer picture of the market, look at sales by banks and builders, which don't have the luxury to wait things out because they have to worry about cash flow.
That's capitulation, and it's likely to occur more often as sellers get the idea that waiting won't solve their problems.
Almost the only mortgages being securitized successfully are the ones bought by Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE), the private companies with implicit government backing. They accounted for about 87% of mortgage securitizations in December, vs. fewer than half in 2005 and 2006
At some point, death or illness will cause baby boomers' houses to come onto the market