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17 Aug 09

Ben Casnocha: The Blog: Jack Welch: Least Helpful Predecessor

ben.casnocha.com/...jack-welch-leas.html - Preview

idea decision mentee

find someone who is doing a little bit better than you (ie, 3-5 years ahead in terms of progress), and study that person.

18 Jun 09

When therapy causes harm - Vol. 21, Part 1 ( January 2008)

www.thepsychologist.org.uk/...1-editionID_155-ArticleID_1290 - Preview

medjournals attitude idea

10 per cent of clients actually get worse after starting therapy.
treatments that potentially cause harm ‘should be avoided, or in the case of treatments that yield both positive and negative effects, implemented only with caution’.

Among the treatments Lilienfeld listed are critical incident stress debriefing, facilitated communication, recovered-memory techniques, boot camps for conduct disorder (see box 1), attachment therapy, dissociative identity disorder-oriented psychotherapy, grief counselling for normal bereavement and expressive-experiential psychotherapies.
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- Some cases will be obvious. But then there are cases where, even if a client shows improvement after starting psychotherapy, it is possible they would have recovered more quickly if they had participated in a different, more effective, treatment approach. In that sense, their current therapy has been harmful because it has slowed down their progress.
- ‘you’ve got to be very, very careful that you specify in what groups a treatment is causing harm, and that the trial this is based on was as rigorously carried out as it would be for evidence-based treatments’.
- much of the psychological research on treatment efficacy has looked at short-term treatments, where the trial therapists are told to stick to a specific ‘manualised’ way of conducting therapy. ‘I think it’s a little bit like how you perform when you do your driving test and somebody is watching you compared with how you drive normally,’
- before each session, ask clients a few brief questions about how they are feeling and how they feel the course of therapy is going. These days, it can even be done on a palmtop
  
  at reception while they are waiting to see their therapist. By comparing a client’s answers to the average progress made by similar clients at that stage – that is, clients who had similar problems, of similar severity, at treatment outset – Lambert’s algorithms are able to say whether a client is ‘on track’ or ‘off track’. This information can then be fed back to the therapist.
- After a client is identified as off-track, Lambert’s system then gives a follow-up questionnaire to the client with the aim of identifying where things have gone wrong – looking at issues such as the rapport they have with their therapist, their motivation and social support.
- We’re just trying to present practitioners with a vital sign like blood pressure. It’s simply a mental health vital sign – it says whether it’s going in the right direction or it’s not and you’re going to get weekly fluctuations and so you have to be going in the wrong direction for quite a bit before we say this is alarming, this is not satisfactory.’
- outcomes have more to do with the therapist than with the treatment approach they use, and in that sense his programme of research is inconsistent with Lilienfeld’s call for a list of potentially harmful treatments.
- it might be easier to ban harmful treatments than it is to prohibit poor therapists
- the answer lies with spending as much time teaching students critical thinking skills as teaching them the facts about conditions like schizophrenia and depression. Students need to be taught how to think about the evidence, he says, ‘to understand the basic biases and heuristics that can impact our judgement and lead us to believe that certain techniques or treatments work even when they don’t.’
- It isn’t just individual psychotherapy that can be associated with negative outcomes. Several group interventions for problem behaviour in young people have also been found to make things worse. These include the Cambridge-Somerville Study implemented in the 1940s, The Adolescent Transition Programme (ATP) and the Drug Abuse Resistance Education (DARE) prevention programme.
- by bringing misbehaving youngsters together, the interventions unintentionally led to antisocial behaviour appearing ‘normal’ and widespread.
- participants actually achieved lower grades than controls and showed a trend towards being more likely to drop out of school.
- cause harm by using techniques that lack empirical support is in assessment. Many feel that projective techniques like the Rorschach inkblot test and the Thematic Apperception Test are particularly problematic.
- the most serious problem with the Rorschach is not that it is invalid – that it doesn’t measure what it is supposed to be measuring – but that its norms and decision rules grossly pathologise normal, healthy people. In fact, Wood says, studies show that 70 per cent of people with no psychopathology will come out according to the Rorschach as if they are seriously disturbed. This can have dire real-life consequences in contexts such as custody cases.

28 May 09

Success & Motivation « blog maverick

blogmaverick.com/...success-motivation - Preview

entrepreneur idea

I worked jobs I didn’t like. I worked jobs I loved, but had no chance of being a career. I worked jobs that barely paid the rent. I had so many jobs my parents wondered if I would be stable. Most of them aren’t on my resume anymore because I was there so short a time or they were so stupid I was embarrassed.
In every job, I would justify it in my mind whether I loved it or hated it that I was getting paid to learn and every experience would be of value when I figured out what I wanted to do when I grew up.
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- I hoped to run my own business some day. It’s exactly what I told myself every day. In reality, I had as much doubt as confidence. I was just hoping the confidence would win over the doubt and it would all work out for the best.
- I was motivated to do something I loved. I just wasn’t sure what it was. I made a list of all the different jobs I would love to do. (I still have it.) The problem was that I wasn’t qualified for any of them. But I needed to pay the bills.
  
  I finally got a job working as a bartender at a club. A start, but it wasn’t a career. I had to keep on looking during the day.
  
  About a week later I answered a want ad out of the newspaper
- In reality, not many had applied for the job and the agency wanted the fee so they would have sent anyone over to interview. I didn’t care.
- I was fired up. It was my shot to get into the computer business, one of the industries I had put on my list!
- using code phrases like “I care about the customer”, “I promise to work really, really hard” and “I will do whatever it takes to be successful”. Unfortunately, I was getting that “well if no one else applies for the job, maybe” look from Michael.
  
  Finally, Doug spoke up. He asked me. “What do you do if a customer has a question about a software package and you don’t know the answer?”
- we literally would agree that none of us would bring more than 20 bucks for a weekend night out. This way we all could pace each other. At least that was the way it was supposed to work, and it did until we figured out the key to having a great night out on the cheap. They key was buying a bottle of cheap, cheap champagne.
- Because I have never worked with an IBM PC in my life. Not a single time, and I’m going to be selling software for it. So what do I do? I do what everyone does: I rationalize. I tell myself that the people walking in the door know as little as I do, so if I just started doing what I told my boss I would do, read the manuals, I would be ahead of the curve. That’s what I did. Every night I would take home a different software manual, and I would read them.
- Turns out not a lot of people ever bothered to RTFM (read the frickin’ manual), so people started really thinking I knew my stuff. As more people came in, because I knew all the different software packages we offered, I could offer honest comparisons and customers respected that.
  
  Within about 6 months, I was building a clientele and because I had also spent time on the store’s computers learning how to install, configure and run the software, I started having customers ask me to install the software at their offices. That meant I got to charge for consulting help: 25 bucks an hour that I split with the store. That turned into a couple hundred extra bucks per month and growing. I was raking it in, enough that I could move from the Hotel (that was what we called our apartment) where the 6 of us lived, into a 3 bedroom apartment
- I was getting referrals. I was on the phone cold calling companies to get new business. I even worked out a deal with a local consultant who paid me referral fees
- That was a special moment believe or not, and what did I do to celebrate? Nope
- I was building my customer base, really starting to understand all the technology, and really establishing myself as someone who understood the software. More importantly no, most importantly I realized that I loved working with PCs. I had never done it before.
- It’s always the little decisions that have the biggest impact. We all have to make that “make or break” call to follow orders or do what you know is right. I followed my first instinct: close the sale. I guess I could have rescheduled the appointment, but I rationalized that you never turn your back on a closed deal. So I called one of my coworkers to come in and open up, and closed the deal. Next day I came in check in hand from a new customer and Michael fired me.
- Fortunately the hangover didn’t last too long, and I realized I had to get off my ass and make something happen.
- Now came the hard part. I had to call all the people I had done business with at my last company, and let them know that I had been shitcanned and ask them if they would come do business with me
- I offered to refund 100 pct of their money if the software didn’t work for them, and I wouldn’t charge them for my time for installing and helping them. In return, they would put up the 500 bucks it would take for me to buy the software from the publisher, and I could use them as a reference. This was my “no money down” approach to start a business. They said yes. I had a business.
- They were small companies that I got to know very well. People that took me under their wing and trusted me, not because I was the most knowledgeable about computers, but because they knew I would do whatever it took to get the job done. People trusted me with keys to their offices. They would find me there when they got in in the morning and I was there when they left.
- I had to sell Scott on how it wouldn’t be hard to learn how to hook a parallel cable to a pc and printer, and how learning all of this would be a career move compared to working at the steakhouse. Unfortunately, I couldn’t pay him as much as the steakhouse. My good fortune was that Scott worked nights and weekends and decided to take some time in the afternoons to help me out. Not long after that, he was working fulltime
- While I covered my mistakes by throwing time and effort at the problem, Martin was so detail oriented, he had to make sure things were perfect so problems could never happen. We could drive each other crazy. He would give me incredible amounts of shit about how sloppy I was. I would give him the same amount back because he was so anal he was missing huge opportunities. We complemented each other perfectly. It would only be a matter of time before we both knew we had to be partners and work together instead of separately.
- I remember sitting in that little office till 10pm and then still being so pumped up, I would drive over to the gym I belonged to and run 5 to 10 miles on the treadmill going through
  
  that day, and the next in my head.Other days I would get so involved with learning a new piece of software that I would forget to eat and look up at the clock thinking it was 6 or 7pm and see that it was 1am or 2am. Time
  
  would fly by.
- Martin had done a great job of setting up our accounting software and systems. I got monthly P&L statements. I got weekly journals of everything coming in and everything going out,
  
  payables and receivables. We had a very conservative process where Martin would check the payables, authorize them and then use the software to cut the checks. I would then go through the list, sign the checks
- one of the tellers who he would see every day dropping of our deposits asked him to wait a second. She comes back and shows him a check that had the payee of a vendor, WHITED OUT and Renee Hardy, our secretary’s name typed over it. Turns out that in the course of a single week, our secretary had pulled this same trick on 83k of our 85k in the bank. As Martin delived the news, I obviously was pissed. I was pissed at Renee, I was pissed at the bank, I was pissed at myself for letting it happen.
- That worrying about revenge, getting pissed at the
  
  bank, all those “I’m going to get even and kick your ass thoughts”were basically just a waste of energy. No one was going to cover my obligations but me. I had to get my ass back to work, and do so quickly. That’s exactly what I did.
- never quite know in business if what you are doing is the right or wrong thing. Unfortunately, by the time you know the answer, someone has beaten you to it and you are out of business. I used to tell myself that it was ok to make little mistakes, just don’t make the big ones. I would continuously search for new ideas. I read every book and magazine I could. Heck, 3 bucks for a magazine, 20 bucks for a book. One good idea that lead to a customer or solution and it paid for itself many times over. Some of the ideas i read were good, some not.
- I expected the ongoing response of “Oh yeah, I read that too in such-and-such.” That’s not what happened. They hadn’t read it then, and they haven’t started reading yet.
  
  Most people won’t put in the time to get a knowledge advantage. Sure, there were folks that worked hard at picking up every bit of information that they could, but we were few and far between. To this day, I feel like if I put in enough time consuming all the information available, particularly with the net making it so readily available, I can get an advantage in any technology business. Of course my wife hates that I read more than 3 hours almost every day, but it gives me a level of comfort and confidence in my businesses.
- I learned from magazines and books, but I also learned from watching what some of the up and coming technology companies of the day were doing. Its funny how the companies that I thought were brilliant then, are still racking it up today.
- Put aside how he killed IBM at their own game by licensing PC DOS to anyone that wanted it. What MicroSoft did to knock Lotus 1-2-3 and WordPerfect off their thrones was literally business at its best.
- Microsoft decided to go against industry protocol and package those 3 programs as a suite and offer them as an upgrade to competitors’ products for the low, low price of 99 dollars. Of course you needed to have and use Windows for it to work
- Always ask yourself how someone could preempt your products or service. How can they put you out of business? Is it price? Is it service? Is it ease of use? No product is perfect and if there are good competitors in your market, they will figure out how to abuse you. It’s always better if you are honest with yourself and anticipate where the problems will come from.
- always run your business like you are going to be competing with Microsoft. They may not be your direct competitor. They may be a vendor. They may be a direct competitor and a vendor. Whatever they may be to your business, if you are in the technology business, you have to anticipate that you will in some way have to compete with Microsoft at some point. I ask myself every week what I would do if they entered any of my businesses. If you are ready to compete with Microsoft, you are ready to compete with anyone else.
- EVERYONE has ideas. The hard part is doing the homework to know if the idea could work in an industry, then doing the preparation to be able to execute on the idea.
- Willingness to learn, to be able to focus, to absorb information, and to always realize that business is a 24 x 7 job where someone is always out there to kick your ass.
- I knew I would end up owning my own business someday, so I figured my challenge was to learn as much as anyone about every and all businesses. [I believed] that every job I took was really me getting paid to learn about a new industry.
- combine information in ways most people hadn’t considered. They aren’t new ideas, it’s just that most people don’t do their homework about their businesses and industry, so there is usually a place to sneak in and do something a little different. You just have to make sure what you want to do can sustain a business and make it profitable rather than be a niche that can be crushed [by the competition].
- There are no shortcuts. You have to work hard, and try to put yourself in a position where if luck strikes, you can see the opportunity and take advantage of it. I would also say it’s hard not to fool yourself.
- Try to find an area with something you love to do and do it. It’s a lot easier to work hard and prepare
- afraid of failing. It’s great motivation to work harder.
- Do your homework and know your business better than anyone. Otherwise, someone who knows more and works harder will kick your ass.
- you have to sacrifice your personal life in order to become a business success
- Put it in the bank. The idiots that tell you to put your money in the market because eventually it will go up need to tell you that because they are trying to sell you something. The stock market is probably the worst investment vehicle out there. If you won’t put your money in the bank, NEVER put your money in something where you don’t have an information advantage.
- In business, to be a success, you only have to be right once.
  
  One single solitary time and you are set for life. That’s the beauty of the business world.
- at age 12, selling garbage bags. No one ever has asked if I was any good or made money at it. I was, and I did…enough to buy some tennis shoes
- They don’t ask me about working as a bartender at night at Elans when I first got to Dallas, or getting fired from my job at Your Business Software for wanting to close a sale rather than sweeping the floor and opening up the store.
  
  No ever asked me about what it was like when I started MicroSolutions and how I used to count the months I was in business, hoping to outlast my previous endeavors and make this one a success.
- With every effort, I learned a lot. With every mistake and failure, not only mine, but of those around me, I learned what not to do. I also got to study the success of those I did business with as well. I had more than a healthy dose of fear, and an unlimited amount of hope, and more importantly, no limit on time and effort.
- I remember vividly being told how lucky I was to have expertise in such a hot area, as technology stocks started to trade up.
  
  Of course, no one wanted to comment on how lucky I was to spend time reading software manuals,
- The point of all this is that it doesn’t matter how many times you fail. It doesn’t matter how many times you almost get it right. No one is going to know or care about your failures, and either should you. All you have to do is learn from them and those around you because…
  
  All that matters in business is that you get it right once.
- one single thing that I took to heart. I reminded myself of it while it was in school at Indiana. I reminded myself of it when I failed. I reminded myself of it before any of the many businesses I have started I will continue to remind myself before any of my endeavors going forward. Its also the best advice I’ve been able to give people of any age who ask me for advice.
  
  Its also the characteristic I look for when choosing a partner or hiring. I saw it in Avery Johnson. Ive seen it in Phil Garvin. It was obvious in Todd Wagner and Martin Woodall and many, many others that have put me in a position to succeed.
  
  You said, and Im paraphrasing: “Everyone has got the will to win, its only those with the will to prepare that do win”
- Very often, along with some success comes the feeling of invincibility. I have been in situations where I have told myself that Im smart, I know what Im doing, that I will figure things out as I go, so its OK to take on this new opportunity.
  
  Those were usually the times I made mistakes.
- A lot people think that if they are picking stocks that keep on going up, its because they are smart. They fail to notice that EVERYONE is able to pick winning stocks when all stocks are going up
- Entrepreneurs have to be brutally honest with themselves and recognize where they have added value and where they have gone along for the ride. There is nothing wrong with going along for the ride and making money at it, but it will catch up with you if you lie to yourself and give yourself the credit for the ride.
- much of our past increases in revenues were the result of industry trends as much as our efforts. We have to make sure to do whatever we can to focus on winning the battles in case the bullmarket does not continue.
- draw an audience and make our advertisers happy. I cant control how a game on the court goes
- how to keep on raising the bar and find or create programming that our subscribers feel committed to and take ownership of
- watch a game you have a great time doing it
- They arent issues that just popped up. THey have been challenges in these businesses for years and present a moving target that require my ongoing and continuing focus
- In my past, I would have taken on everything and anything that I thought could add value to. I had to be in the middle of everything. No longer. Ive learned to hire people that I can build trust in and let them take the ball and run with it.
- If you are the main engine behind your company, taking on new challenges will only dilute your ability to win the wars you are in and of course increase the risk of injuring your primary business or core competencies.
- Its not that I think there is no opportunity internationally , there is. The problem is that the “CEO” of the NBA is in the front and middle of every effort. His efforts are diluted on both fronts and we risk losing multiple important battles. If the metrics for the lines of our business that drive 75pct or more of our business were skyrocketing, thats one thing. But we aren’t winning the battles we are in. We aren’t losing, we just aren’t winning, we are treading water.
- Trying to use one person as the leader for both is a huge mistake that is not worth the risk fto lack of execution it exposes us to.
- dealing with the rest of the world takes a lot of time and focus. It takes going out and hiring people to run it, and training them and then being available to help support their efforts on an ongoing business. Every minute that i spend, or our top people spend dealing with the rest of the world is a minute not spent fighting the battle to make HDNet and HDNet Movies the best networks they can be here in the US. We are not a business that has maximized our growth here, we are just starting to accelerate. Taking any resources away from that battle would be a huge mistake.
- Win the battles you are in first, then worry about expansion internationally or into new businesses. You do not have unlimited time and/or attention. You may work 24 hours a day, but those 24 hours spent winning your core business will pay offer far more. It might cost you some longer term upside, but it will allow you to be the best business you can be. To use a sports metaphor, get the fundamentals right and then add to your fundamental skills before you try to take on the trick shots.
- Don’t fall to the temptation. As an entreprenuer you have to know what the core competencies of your business are and make sure that your company focuses on being the absolutely best it can be at executing them. Bottom line is this. If you are adding new things when your core businesses are struggling rather than facing the challenge, you are either running away or giving up.
- realize that there are “Rules of Success” that I saw in companies that excelled. Where companies failed to follow those rules, inevitably, they failed. I found myself checking with “My Rules” before I made decisions. When I traded stocks or considered investments in companies, I applied The Rules to their business before I made a decision.
- So, if you are a middle level manager in a Fortune 500 company, these rules may not help you manage your department. If you are the CEO of a Fortune 500 company with tens of thousands of employees, some rules will apply, some won’t, but where they will help you is to know how little guys coming out of nowhere are going to disrupt your business.
  
  Where The Rules will help you is if you are considering starting, or currently run your own business. There are always exceptions to any rules, but I can assure you that those exceptions will be rare. Entrepreneurs that don’t follow the rules are far more likely to fail. There is no doubt about it.
- Once I could put the idea on paper, I gave the company a name. From there, I took the most important steps: I tried to find people to shoot holes in it.
- Each step cost me next to nothing to get great feedback. Each enabled me to check the foundation of my business idea to see if it was easy to shoot holes in it, and most importantly, they all served as sales calls. Each company eventually became a customer of ours.
- many entrepreneurs think the next step is to take all this feedback, update their 100 page business plans and go out and raise money. It’s as if the missing link for success in a business is cash to get started. It’s not. Far more often than not, raising cash is the biggest mistake you can make.
- These investors, including myself, know what you don’t, and they are not telling you. The minute you ask for money, you are playing in their game, they aren’t playing in yours. You are at a huge disadvantage, and it’s only going to get worse if you take their money. The minute you take money, the leverage completely flips to the investor. They control the destiny of your dreams, not you.
- There is a reason why venture capitalists are often referred to as Vulture Capitalists. The minute you slide off course from the promises you made to get the money, your dreams fall in jeopardy. You will find yourself making promises to keep investors at bay. You will find yourself avoiding your investors. Then you will find yourself on the outside looking in. The reality of taking money from non family members is that they are doing it for only one reason, to make more money. If you can’t deliver on that promise, you are out. You will be removed from the company you started. You will find someone else running your dream company.
- Could you imagine the eternal grief and guilt from your mom, dad, uncle or aunt because you blew your nephews college money or the money for grandmas last vacation… I cant.
- You shouldn’t have to take money from anyone. Businesses don’t have to start big. The best ones start small enough to suit the circumstances of their founders.
- It’s ok to grow slow. As much as you want to think that all things would change if you only had more cash available, they probably won’t.
  
  The reality is that for most businesses, they don’t need more cash, they need more brains.
- It’s mentally and physically exhausting if you are at the top of the game, but it still pails at the effort required to be successful in business.
  
  The sport of business isnt divided into games. It’s not defined by practices. It doesn’t have set rules that everyone plays by.
  
  The sport of business is the ultimate competition. It’s 7×24×365xforever.
- I may be sitting in front of the TV, but I’m not watching it unless I think there is something I can learn from it. I’m thinking about things I can use in my business and the TV is just there.
  
  I could take the time to read a fiction book, but I don’t. I would rather read websites, newspapers, magazines, looking for ideas and concepts that I can use. I spend time in bookstores because 1 idea from a book or magazine can make me money.
  
  I’m not going to go to dinner with you just to chat. I’m not going to give you a call to see how you are. Unless you want to talk business. Other guys play fantasy sports. I fire the synapses to get an edge.
  
  That’s what success is all about. I’ts about the edge.
- It’s not who you know. It’s not how much money you have. It’s very simple. It’s whether or not you have the edge and have the guts to use it.
  
  The edge is getting so jazzed about what you do, you just spent 24 hours straight working on a project and you thought it was a couple hours.
  
  The edge is knowing that you have to be the smartest guy in the room when you have your meeting and you are going to put in the effort to learn whatever you need to learn to get there.
  
  The edge is knowing is knowing that when the 4 girlfriends you have had in the last couple years asked you which was more important, them or your business, you gave the right answer.
  
  The edge is knowing that you can fail and learn from it, and just get back up and in the game.
  
  The edge is knowing that people think your crazy, and they are right, but you don’t care what they think.
  
  The edge is knowing how to blow off steam a couple times a week, just so you can refocus on business
  
  The edge is knowing that you are getting to your goals and treating people right along the way because as good as you can be, you are so focused that you need regular people around you to balance you and help you.
  
  The edge is being able to call out someone on a business issue because you know you have done your homework.
  
  The edge is recognizing when you are wrong, and working harder to make sure it doesn’t happen again.
  
  The edge is being able to drill down and identify issues and problems and solve them before anyone knows they are there.
  
  The edge is knowing that while everyone else is talking about nonsense like the will to win, and how they know they can be successful, you are preparing yourself to compete so that you will be successful.
- My ability to execute on an idea vs yours. My ability to subvert your businessvs your ability to keep it going. My ability to create ways to remove any reason for your business to exist vs your ability to do the same to me. My ability to know what you are going to do, before you do it. Who gets there first? Best of all, this game doesn’t have a time limit. It’s forever.

20 May 09

Understanding how you process information to help you get organized, part 2 | Unclutterer

unclutterer.com/...-help-you-get-organized-part-2 - Preview

idea

Scheduling programs like Google Calenda
displaying your next day’s outfit
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- cell phone with a camera in it with you at all times so that you can take images of things you need to remember.
- setting timers or audio reminders
- record a message to yourself. Most cell phones also have this ability
- files in alphabetical order
- adjustable height table
- few objects on your desk as possible so that you’re not tempted to pick them up when you need to concentrate. However, you should also have a stress ball quickly available to squeeze when mulling over ideas or talking on the phone.

22 Feb 09

10 Tips For Dealing With Stress

stress busters: sleep-write todo list-what is the single next action step towards your goal food-yoghurt,nuts,fruit exercise-lunch walk, laugh, do sth new

www.anthonyfernando.com/...dealing-with-stress - Preview

feel idea starred

pack some fruit, nuts and yoghurt
comfortable clothes
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- brisk walk at lunchtime. The exercise and change of environment will help keep you fresh.
- have a good laugh
- When you get a break, make the most of it by doing something special
- Before you go to sleep, prepare for the following day by writing down a To Do list. Once you have thought about everything you have to do and got it down on paper you can forget about it and go to sleep. This will help you avoid the endless tossing and turning that often occurs when you are unable to stop thinking about what you need to do.

20 Jan 09

Overcoming Bias: The Comedy of Behaviorism

www.overcomingbias.com/...behaviorism.html - Preview

idea

"the subject is angry" as a hypothesis relating the output of two black boxes, one of which happens to be located inside your own brain.
whatever they do next, will do something similar to this 'anger' black box. This 'anger' box happens to be located inside you, but is nonetheless opaque, and yet still seems to have a strong, observable correspondence to the other 'anger' box.
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- If two black boxes often have the same output, this is an observable thing; it can be described by probability theory.
- since all the black boxes are noisy and have poorly controlled environments, we use multiple 'anger' boxes
- empathic black box was contained in the concept of revenge, that you can recognize, but which you could not write a program to recognize.
- So empathic cognitive hypotheses, as opposed to algorithmic cognitive hypotheses, are indeed special. They require special handling in experimental procedure; they cannot qualify as final theories.
- Behaviorism stands beside Objectivism as one of the great historical lessons against rationalism.

16 Jan 09

Overcoming Bias: Seduced by Specific Stories

www.overcomingbias.com/...souleating-dreams.html - Preview

idea

it's probably wiser to compare yourself to Earth's past, so you can see how far we've come, and how much better we're doing. Rather than comparing your life to an imagined future, and thinking about how awful you've got it Now.
- You find yourself thinking of it more and more often.
- The actual challenges of your current existence start to seem less interesting, less compelling; you think of them less and less.
- Comparing everything to your imagined perfect world heightens your annoyances and diminishes your pleasures.
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- You start wanting the exact specific Paradise you imagined, and worrying about the disappointment if you don't get that exact thing.
- when you most need
  hope to keep you going - that's also when the real world seems most
  painful, and the world of imagination becomes most seductive.
- One needs enough Fun Theory to truly and legitimately justify hope in the future. But not a detailed vision so seductive that it steals emotional energy from the real life and real challenge of creating that future. You need "a light at the end of the secular rationalist tunnel" as Roko put it, but you don't want people to drift away from their bodies into that light.

Scott H Young » Weight, Traffic and Grades Aren’t That Important

www.scotthyoung.com/...nd-grades-arent-that-important - Preview

to-do idea

When you don’t measure anything, you’ve cut off your ability to experiment, and learn from mistakes. When everything looks the same, improvement is just superstitions and guesswork, not skill.
I think the solution to the measuring paradox is, ironically, more measurement. More importantly, measuring more than just one number.
1 more annotations...
- get some other rulers to make sure you aren’t missing out on what really matters.

27 Nov 08

Scott H Young » Boost Productivity With a To-Don’t List

www.scotthyoung.com/...oductivity-with-a-to-dont-list - Preview

idea

The work that is harder to stop is work that has some value, in the short-term, but won’t help you reach your final goal
- Working a 9-5 when you really want a business.
- Tasks that can’t scale. (Consulting doesn’t scale, creating a product can)
- Reading somewhat useful books.
- Spending time with friends you don’t share values with.
1 more annotations...
- But the time to remove a to-don’t item is as soon as you can tolerate the temporary dip, not just when you find something better.

20 Nov 08

Overcoming Bias: Conformity Shows Loyalty

rational choice if it is not to avoid/stick with someone. ITS YOU ALONE.

www.overcomingbias.com/...conformity-show.html - Preview

idea feel decision starred

if this belief gave me no pleasure of rebelling against some folks or identifying with others, if it was just me alone choosing, would my best evidence suggest that this belief is true?

How To Beat Self Sabotage

you are not weak......your dream is weak.........so keep it in your focus so it becomes stronger.

www.anthonyfernando.com/...how-to-beat-self-sabotage - Preview

feel idea starred

(2) Place a picture of your dream on the back of your bathroom door.
Keep a journal - Record your experiences in a journal or a blog. The more you write, the stronger your dream becomes.

(9) Associate your dream with a song that you find particularly inspirational. When you are tempted to give in to temptation, listen to your song to rekindle your passion for your dream.

(10) When you're face-to-face with temptation, ask yourself what you really want. For example, "What do I want more, this cake or to fit into my new dress?"
2 more annotations...
- (8) Keep a journal - Record your experiences in a journal or a blog. The more you write, the stronger your dream becomes.
  
  (9) Associate your dream with a song that you find particularly inspirational. When you are tempted to give in to temptation, listen to your song to rekindle your passion for your dream.
  
  (10) When you're face-to-face with temptation, ask yourself what you really want. For example, "What do I want more, this cake or to fit into my new dress?"
- The more you focus on your dream, the stronger it becomes. And the stronger the pull of your dream, the less likely you'll be to succumb to self sabotage.
  
  This Week's Action Steps:
  
  (1) Understand that self sabotage occurs not because you are weak, but rather, because your dream is weak.

19 Nov 08

Study Hacks » Blog Archive » Are You Effective or Just Busy? Calculate Your Churn Rate to Find Out

list 4-8 imp+nonurgent projects of 1-2wks = after 3wks calculate churn rate for productivity= completed projects/days taken *100.
non-deadline=30-40 [2-3 projects/wk]
deadline projects/small tasks=15-25 [1-1.5 projects/wk]
if ti is less-increase projects.

calnewport.com/...te-your-churn-rate-to-find-out - Preview

idea

Scott H Young » How to Know When to Take a Break

STRATEGIC RESTING: to allay stress+procrastination

#timer to check work progress=15-30min.
#conditions to quit for day=[later part of the day] +[ deadline is after 3days] + [reworked to-dos to achievable level]

www.scotthyoung.com/...w-to-know-when-to-take-a-break - Preview

idea productive

When the amount of work you have to do is nearing or currently exceeding your “burnout” threshold, this formula is dangerous.
Strategic resting works better when the “rest when finished” approach is driving you insane, but the “rest when tired” approach just means procrastination.
3 more annotations...
- Whenever I hit a roadblock in my energy and can’t accomplish anything, I set myself a timer for 15-30 minutes. My goal is to keep working throughout this time. Once the timer is done, I see if I’ve made any progress. If I haven’t, I know it’s time to take a break.
- if you’ve misjudged what you can do in one day, it’s better to change your list than give up.
  
  If it’s later in the day, you’ve taken short breaks and still can’t recover your energy and your deadline isn’t for a few days, that’s a better time to call it quits.
- Go to sleep early.
  Be in a relaxing environment. Don’t just sit in a state of passive stress.
  Spend time outlining your plan of attack for tomorrow.

11 Nov 08

The Key To Eliminating Your Problems

put your frustrations in a system to eliminate forever=target the radical problem

www.anthonyfernando.com/...y-to-eliminating-your-problems - Preview

productive idea

Whenever you encounter a problem, instead of focusing on just solving the problem try and put in place a system that will eliminate the problem in the future.
take note of any situation in which you feel frustrated. Instead of just solving your problems, take action to eliminate them forever by improving your systems.

Overcoming Procrastination

stop looking up at the mountain and start looking down at your wheel barrow=focus on a task you can complete in 1hr.

www.anthonyfernando.com/...overcoming-procrastination - Preview

feel idea

Stop thinking about the overall task you need to complete.

(2) Instead, focus on a small component of the task that you know you can achieve.
Forget about everything else other than working hard for 1 hour.

(5) At the end of the hour, ask yourself the same question again.

The Truth About Persistence

fail faster=planned persistence=note things to try & monitor feedback to find what works. don't try out of gut feeling stubborn on one approach. don't try randomly without noting the inputs & outputs.

www.anthonyfernando.com/...the-truth-about-persistence - Preview

think idea

blind persistence approach is to decide that you know for a fact that the combination is
after a few attempts, you won't remember which combinations you've tried and which you haven't.
1 more annotations...
- (1) Decide on your goal and stick with it.
  
  (2) Understand that to achieve your goal you need to use 'planned persistence' which involves carefully planned experimentation.
  
  (3) Create a written plan of action of things to try.
  
  (4) Try different techniques and monitor your results carefully.
  
  (5) Discard what doesn't work and move on to your next experiment until you find the combination that unlocks your dreams.

Seeds Of Wealth

analogy-each ruppee you spend is the seed of a money tree.
~visualiz : money tree,majestic lion, what done looks like

www.anthonyfernando.com/...seeds-of-wealth - Preview

think idea

Each time you spend a dollar, you are not only losing that dollar but also all the dollars it could have produced for you in the future if you had invested it.

Compound Time

Spend the first hour of your day working on your personal goals and dreams
Schedule a small amount of time each day or week to devote to your goal
anchor by finding an activity that you already do regularly to act as a trigger for your new activity.

i'm using it for:keybr
i've to use for: reading overcoming bias, blogging,spreed

www.anthonyfernando.com/...compound-time - Preview

idea

small amounts of time invested on a regular basis can have an incredible impact on making your dreams a reality.
A great way to make sure you follow through on your goal is to link your new activity to something you already do every day. For example, with my typing - I do my lesson straight after checking my email which is something I already do every day.

Study Hacks » Blog Archive » Does Being Exceptional Require an Exceptional Amount of Work?

practice the activity as a challenge to upgrade.work on weak points.put up with the mental agony to stick with guns.invest your brain matter.
repeat till you can wing it very casually.
get mentors criticisms.

deliberate practice to-dos of mine:
hle techniques-speedread,flow notes,metaphor.
overcoming bias posts
keybr

calnewport.com/...-an-exceptional-amount-of-work - Preview

idea starred think academics

- It is designed specifically to improve performance.
  
  “The essence of deliberate practice is continually stretching an individual just beyond his or her current abilities. That may sound obvious, but most of us don’t do it in the activities we think of as practice. At the driving range or at the piano, most of us are just doing what we’ve done before and hoping to maintain the level of performance that we probably reached long ago.”
- It can be repeated a lot.
  
  “Top performers repeat their practice activities to stultifying extent.”
- Feedback on results is continuously available.
  
  “[Y]ou may believe you played that bar of the Brahms violin concerto perfectly, but can you really trust your own judgment? In many important situations, a teacher, coach, or mentor is vital for providing crucial feedback.”
- It is highly demanding mentally.
  
  “Continually seeking exactly those elements of performance that are unsatisfactory and then trying one’s hardest to make them better places enormous strains on anyone’s mental abilities…no one can sustain it for very long.”
- It’s hard.
  
  “Doing things we know how to do well is enjoyable, and that’s exactly the opposite of what deliberate practice demands.”
“Practice with your fingers, and you need all day. Practice with your mind, and you will do as much in 1-1/2 hours.” What Auer didn’t add is that it’s a good thing 1-1/2 hours are enough, because if you’re truly practicing with your mind, you couldn’t possibly keep it up all day.

How to Write First Thing in the Morning | Write to Done

save research& outline, day before & write next day in quietitude.
get yourself sth to eat: nuts,yoghurt,coffee,fruit,sweetpotato,cucumber

writetodone.com/...ite-first-thing-in-the-morning - Preview

idea feel

When we write, we are speaking with a voice in our heads
The more noise that’s around us, the more difficult it is to hear our voice.
3 more annotations...
- Don’t wake up in the morning with no idea what you’re going to write about. Have your topic chosen and give it a little thought the night before. It’s great to sleep on it anyway — let your subconscious do the work for you.
- Do your research the afternoon or evening before. That way, you’re ready to write and don’t have to be distracted by going online to look something up. Just look everything up the day before, and save it all to a text file, so you can write without having to go online.
- Get a glass of water or coffee

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