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Scenarios are silly syllogisms
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But scenarios have little value in public prognostications of future cyber attacks.
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Pundits extrapolate from the current state of vulnerability of most systems to predictions of massive power outages, financial collapse, and loss of command and control are falling into the scenario syllogism trap.
Posing scenarios to support your anti-cyber war position can be just as dangerous. - 1 more annotations...
Vast spy data center in Salt Lake City -- too much stuff to digest?
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The facility could consume as much power as every home in Salt Lake City as it processes information collected in an effort to prevent attacks on the nation's cyber networks.
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And his Senate colleague, Orrin Hatch, agreed. "As the longest serving member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, I can confirm without equivocation that the threats to our nation's digital infrastructure are real and growing," he said. "Cyber attacks are being utilized by sophisticated, organized crime networks and have even become the instruments of war."
How to short-circuit the US power grid - tech - 11 September 2009 - New Scientist
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Wang and colleagues at Dalian University of Technology in the Chinese province of Liaoning modelled the US's west-coast grid using publicly available data on how it, and its subnetworks, are connected (Safety Science, DOI: 10.1016/j.ssci.2009.02.002).
Their aim was to examine the potential for cascade failures, where a major power outage in a subnetwork results in power being dumped into an adjacent subnetwork, causing a chain reaction of failures. Where, they wondered, were the weak spots?
China Expands Cyberspying in U.S., Report Says
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The Chinese government is ratcheting up its cyberspying operations against the U.S., a congressional advisory panel found, citing an example of a carefully orchestrated campaign against one U.S. company that appears to have been sponsored by Beijing.
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according to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission report
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Global cyberwar: Installed in your PC at home, the office and government
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Today it’s no longer 1 PC versus 1 PC or 100 v. 100. Now it scales into the millions with command and control from a BlackBerry. This time, somebody is going to get hurt.
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8-state Cyber Consortium gets $2.7 million grant
It's interesting that cyberattack and loss of hi-tech jobs are being articulated in this article, both as security threats of course. During the late 1990s, many argued that what was required to promote biosecurity constituted good pubic health policy anyway. Are we seeing a similar pattern with cybersecurity and hi-tech economy?
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The National Science Foundation has awarded a $2.7 million grant to an eight-state consortium of technology centers and community colleges that is working to block cyber attacks and stop the loss of high-tech jobs in the U.S., officials said Wednesday.
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The three-year grant to the Cyber Security Education Consortium will help train a new generation of cyber warriors whose job it will be to prevent potentially crippling Internet-based attacks and stop the drain of knowledge and jobs to nations such as China and India, where 2 million technological workers have U.S.-related jobs, the officials said.
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Who Should Command the Cybersecurity Battle?
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Many power plant networks and other essential pieces of America’s infrastructure are owned, operated and protected by corporations.
Some say security of these vital networks should be the sole domain of the federal government because it is a national security concern. Critics say government monitoring of Internet usage -- even for malicious programming -- is a slippery slope toward Big Brother-style surveillance, and private industry can better secure their own networks.
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President Barack Obama declared in May that cyber security would be a national priority, creating a cybersecurity czar in the process. But it’s unclear how far that position’s authority will extend once the slot is filled.
In announcing the czar, Obama pledged the government wouldn’t monitor the Internet or mandate security standards to the private sector.
But the Cyber Security Act of 2009 -- currently being debated in Congress -- would give the president authority to shut down certain private networks in the event of a big attack.
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SecDev.cyber
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It is sometimes claimed that security has to come at the expense of human rights. At SecDev.cyber, we believe this to be a false trade-off.
US tells Europe: Defend your Cyberspace or we will do it for you at IntelFusion
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The US is mixing its signals and missing an opportunity to help solve the European Cyber-dilemma, which in turn could help untangle the US policy mess.
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Add Sticky NoteThis is especially problematic as a number of recent conferences and meetings have had American officials “privately” telling Europeans the same thing: “Defend your Cyberspace or we will do it for you.” One American official put it even more graphically: “If we are under attack by a (hijacked) server in an European country, we will turn it off. One way, or the other.” While the idea of the US Tomahawking a friendly European nation in order to shut down a hostile server remains absurd, the possibility of the US launching Cyberweapons, or even an armed CIA squad at such a target is a real possibility. In other words European nations who fail to maintain the proper Cybersecurity structures (such as CERTs) and legal frameworks risk becoming collateral damage if and when the US hits back. In effect, it is the Bush Doctrine, alive and well: those who harbour terrorists are the same as terrorists. Even, apparently, if it is unintentional harbouring, say due to nice long holiday, or a 32 hour week.
- There are several issues of concernt here. While the idea of the U.S. "Tomahawking" someone to shut down a hostile server does seem "absurd," current policy documents imply that the U.S. retains the right to do just that, which is indeed absurd...absurd to imply as much, in part because it is viewed as absurd, as something we wouldn't actually do, and hence serves no deterrent purpose. Second, there are those who wish to define cyberattack as "armed attack" under international law. So, even if we did not launch missiles in reply, if we did use cyberweapons to take out a hostile server in another country, by our own definition, we would be engaging in "armed attack," presumably in "self defense." Nonetheless, before the cyber-dust settles, if the country we attacked views us as the aggressor, does not have the means to respond in-kind with only cyberweapons, and agrees with our definition of cyberattack as "armed attack," then wouldn't the country we attacked be justified in launching a kinetic, physical-world attack in reponse? - on 2009-10-16
Terrorists may be able to launch cyberattacks in near future -- Government Computer News
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Although most terrorist organizations lack the programming skills to launch significant cyber attacks, they could acquire the necessary expertise by purchasing black market software programs from cyber criminals that would enable them to mount debilitating cyber attacks against U.S. infrastructure, the report noted.
The White House - Blog Post - Cybersecurity Awareness Month Part II
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A key theme for this month is that cybersecurity is "our shared responsibility." Each one of us must take the time to increase our awareness of the cyber risks that are present every time we turn on our computers.
Just the other day, the media was breaking a story about the latest generation of malicious software designed to steal money from bank accounts.
The White House - Blog Post - National Cybersecurity Awareness Month
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Today, per a Presidential Proclamation and a Senate Resolution, marks the start of the sixth annual National Cybersecurity Awareness Month. As stated in the President’s Cyberspace Policy Review, cybersecurity is a national priority and is vital to our economy and the security of our nation.
Cyber threat calls for flexibility in command model, general says
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Add Sticky NoteTechnology's dark side has created a new battlefield in cyberspace, and that brings new considerations to the way military commands should be structured, according to Lt. Gen. William Lord, chief of warfighting integration and chief information officer of the Office of the Secretary of the Air Force.
- A nice little bit of tech determinism there. - on 2009-09-22
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Add Sticky NoteTo be successful in such a domain, the U.S. Cyber Command and any other military force that deals with the cyber threat must develop a command structure that can be flexible, Lord said. Although the structure should be based on a traditional command model, it needs to incorporate some non-traditional elements, he said. “We need to operate without heavy restrictions. There are enormous restrictions in the offensive domain. The biggest problem isn’t the enemy, the biggest problem is us."
- Sounds like a "don't ask, don't tell" policy on offense in cyberspace. Cyberwar is so dangerous and so fast, that there's no time for oversight. Just let us do our thing; we promise we'll be good. No thanks. - on 2009-09-22
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Lockheed Martin: The Mover from Reactive to Predictive
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The threat has reached such a pitch that Barack Obama, the US president, has made it a policy priority. McAfee, the IT security specialist, estimates that 8,000 variants of malicious software are created every day, double the rate seen last year.
Market estimates of how much the US plans to spend in this area vary widely, though the highest predicts it could reach $55bn in the next six years.
Lockheed has been increasing its research and development spending to deal with the threat.
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“There is a tremendous burden on the defender,” he says. “We are thinking about how to deal with unknown things: how do you defend against the unknown threat, how do you go from reactive to predictive?”
New systems will need to rely on artificial intelligence to seek out automatically the most subtle changes in data patterns and “take the human out of the loop”.
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