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27 Jul 09

Obama Admin Crushes F-22 Supporters

  • “At a time when we’re fighting two wars and facing a serious deficit, this would have been an inexcusable waste of money. Every dollar of waste in our defense budget is a dollar we can’t spend to support our troops, or prepare for future threats, or protect the American people. Our budget is a zero-sum game, and if more money goes to F-22s, it is our troops and citizens who lose,” Obama said.
    • 1) So, buying military aircraft during a time of war is a wate of money, but trillions of dollars for "stimulus," health care, and on and on, is not? 2) Future threats. Assumption: Future threats won't require air superiority of the kind provided by the F-22. 3) Zero-sum budget. So then trillions on stimulus and health care will be "dollar[s] we can't spend to support our troops, prepare for future threats, or protect the American people," right? - on 2009-07-27
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Obsolete? Pilots Face a UAV Future

  • Already, though, some are envisioning the end of the Air Force as we know it.


    Peter Singer, director of the 21st Century Defense Initiative at the Brookings Institution, one of Washington's oldest and most respected think tanks, predicts a vast array of missions for unmanned craft, from stealth bombing to electronic warfare -- even dogfights.


    "It's not just intelligence and bomber pilots who will be replaced with machines," said a recent article by Singer, a campaign adviser on defense policy to President Obama.


    "Planning is proceeding on UCAVs, unmanned combat aerial vehicles, which will replace fighter jocks, too." Last manned fighter?


    Defense Secretary Robert Gates is among those gazing into the future.

    • Well there you have it. I've said again and again that Gates intends to gut the Air Force. Several people have thought I'm crazy. But this is the second major influence leading him in that direction: the promise of UAVs. The first is faith in the theory of fourth-generation warfare, or at least the assumption that nation-state-level warfare is obsolete. These are two very big and, at least where the latter is concerned, dubious assumptions. Are we certain enough in our ability to predict both the future of global conflict and technological development to consciously choose to give up our greatest military advantage, advantages no one else has but many desperately seek? Are we certain enough to give up one of, if not the biggest enabler of U.S. military superiority--i.e. the proven ability to dominate the air domain--in favor of gambling on a very new, largely unproven technology? - on 2009-07-27
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  • Already, though, some are envisioning the end of the Air Force as we know it.


    Peter Singer, director of the 21st Century Defense Initiative at the Brookings Institution, one of Washington's oldest and most respected think tanks, predicts a vast array of missions for unmanned craft, from stealth bombing to electronic warfare -- even dogfights.


    "It's not just intelligence and bomber pilots who will be replaced with machines," said a recent article by Singer, a campaign adviser on defense policy to President Obama.


    "Planning is proceeding on UCAVs, unmanned combat aerial vehicles, which will replace fighter jocks, too."

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10 Mar 09

Obama Seeks to Delay Tanker, Cancel Bomber

Add this to the fact that SecDef Gates wants to cancel the F-22 and slow the buying of C-17s and one begins to wonder if he is not overseeing the dismantling of the Air Force entirely. No new fighters, no new bombers, no new tankers, no new transports. At this rate, in 10 years the Air Force will have gone extinct.

www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm - Preview

airpower air_force procurement

  • The White House has given the Pentagon guidance to delay procurement of aerial refueling tankers by five years and cancel plans for a new long-range bomber, according to three sources close to the discussions.
  • Air power advocates and military officials contend that the moves, if enacted, would hurt U.S. strategic might and put at risk missions that depend on the aging tanker and bomber fleets.


    “The Air Force needs a new tanker desperately,” said retired Air Force Lt. Gen. Michael Dunn, president of the Air Force Association. “The KC-135 tanker averages over 47 years old, and the B-52 bomber is almost as old.”

07 Mar 09

Desolation Row

This is a great chart illustrating the problems faced by the Air Force. After fifteen years of neglect, the average age of fighters in the Air Force fleet has risen to just over 20 years, double the previous highest average. And with SecDef Gates and President Obama sending signals that the F-22's days are numbered, the problem will only get worse.

www.airforce-magazine.com/...DesolationRow.aspx - Preview

air_force airpower F-22 F-35

  • February 5, 2009— If you want to know why USAF fighters are so old, look no further. In the Sixties, Seventies, and Eighties, fighter purchases (vertical bars) generally oscillated between 150 and 400 a year. Turnover was heavy, so average age (red line) hovered around 10 years. Then, in 1992, came the crash. Fighter purchases fell to almost nothing and have stayed in that desolate spot through three presidencies. With no replacements, fighters have stayed in service, growing long in the tooth. The average fighter is now an unprecedented 21 years old.



    Artwork by Heather Lewis











06 Mar 09

The Last Ace

An excellent argument by Mark Bowden, author of Black Hawk Down, in favor of the F-22. Considering that Somalia is so often used as evidence in favor of the 4GW school of thought (which rejects technology like the F-22), it is interesting to see Bowden take this position.

www.theatlantic.com/...air-force - Preview

future war airpower air_force F-22

  • American air superiority has been so complete for so long that we take it for granted. For more than half a century, we’ve made only rare use of the aerial-combat skills of a man like Cesar Rodriguez, who retired two years ago with more air-to-air kills than any other active-duty fighter pilot. But our technological edge is eroding—Russia, China, India, North Korea, and Pakistan all now fly fighter jets with capabilities equal or superior to those of the F-15, the backbone of American air power since the Carter era. Now we have a choice. We can stock the Air Force with the expensive, cutting-edge F‑22—maintaining our technological superiority at great expense to our Treasury. Or we can go back to a time when the cost of air supremacy was paid in the blood of men like Rodriguez.
  • American pilots haven’t shot down many enemy jets in modern times, because few nations have dared rise to the challenge of trying to fight them. The F‑15, the backbone of America’s air power for more than a quarter century, may just be the most successful weapon in history. It is certainly the most successful fighter jet. In combat, its kill ratio over more than 30 years is 107 to zero. Zero. In three decades of flying, no F‑15 has ever been shot down by an enemy plane—and that includes F‑15s flown by air forces other than America’s. Rival fighters rarely test those odds. Many of Saddam Hussein’s MiGs fled into Iran when the U.S. attacked during the Gulf War. Of those who did fight the F-15, like the unfortunate pilot framed on Rodriguez’s wall, every last one was shot down. The lesson was remembered. When the U.S. invaded Iraq in 2003, Saddam didn’t just ground his air force, he buried it.



    That complete dominance is eroding. Some foreign-built fighters can now match or best the F‑15 in aerial combat, and given the changing nature of the threats our country is facing and the dizzying costs of maintaining our advantage, America is choosing to give up some of the edge we’ve long enjoyed, rather than pay the price to preserve it. The next great fighter, the F‑22 Raptor, is every bit as much a marvel today as the F‑15 was 25 years ago, and if we produced the F-22 in sufficient numbers we could move the goalposts out of reach again. But we are building fewer than a third of the number needed to replace the older fighters in service.

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27 Feb 09

Air Force seeks airborne tagging technology

A great big folksonomy system in the sky anyone? That's what the Air Force seems to be looking into these days.

fcw.com/...rborne-tagging-technology.aspx - Preview

airpower air_force C4ISR

  • Air Force officials want to learn about technology that makes it possible for aircraft to remotely tag and track vehicles on the ground
  • The technology should make it possible to apply tags to a variety of vehicles from aircraft that are 3 kilometers or more away from a target, and the tags should be capable of being sensed and tracked for at least a few hours. Eventually, Air Force officials want the tags to last for a few days, according to the announcement. 
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U.S. Military: The War Within

Like Charles Dunlap, Jr., Mr. Weinberger criticizes SecDef Gate's short-sighted policies of seeing Iraq, Afghanistan, and COIN as the basis upon which to plan future forces, with the result that the Air Force is being systematically ignored, even slowly dismantled. Dunlap cites this piece by Weinberger. Both make very strong arguments about what's wrong with the dominant assumptions that underlay current DoD policies.

www.humanevents.com/article.php - Preview

airpower air_force procurement future war military theory military_reform iraq coin

06 Feb 09

Air Force neglects domestic mission, faces shortfall of fighters, GAO finds

  • The Air Force may face severe aircraft and personnel shortfalls in the near future that could present significant challenges to its ability to protect domestic airspace, a government watchdog agency has found.

    The little-publicized findings by the Government Accountability Office (GAO) will likely stir a tug-of-war between the Air Force and a number of factions in Congress over whether the Air Force should buy cutting-edge — but expensive — fighter jets, such as the F-22 Raptor and the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, or continue buying and modernizing older aircraft, such as F-15s or F-16s.

  • The Air Force may face severe aircraft and personnel shortfalls in the near future that could present significant challenges to its ability to protect domestic airspace, a government watchdog agency has found.

    The little-publicized findings by the Government Accountability Office (GAO) will likely stir a tug-of-war between the Air Force and a number of factions in Congress over whether the Air Force should buy cutting-edge — but expensive — fighter jets, such as the F-22 Raptor and the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, or continue buying and modernizing older aircraft, such as F-15s or F-16s.

    • It's amazing to me that these ridiculous arguments persist even in the face of such dire circumstances. We are literally on the verge of not having a viable Air Force, and part of the reason is that the paralysis that comes with these kinds of never-ending, ridiculous arguments keeps us from buying the necesary replacement aircraft. It is only "cheaper" to buy the older aircraft if money had never been spent for a replacement. But that's not reality. The reality is that if you don't buy the replacement, you really have wasted all the money you spent on its development, because you didn't get anything for that money. You also have to spend more development money on a new replacement. That is, if not the F-22 or F-35, then what? F-15s and F-16s won't last forever. They will be replaced. But by what? By the thing we've already paid to develop? Or some other thing that we have yet to pay, but inevitably will pay, to develop? - on 2009-02-06
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15 Nov 08

US DoD Releases Additional F-22 Funding

  • The US Department of Defense has released funding to build an additional four F-22 Raptor fighter jets beyond the 183 already
    purchased.
  • US lawmakers have called on the Pentagon to release USD140 million in advanced procurement funds that have already been appropriated
    to pave the way for the purchase of an additional 20 F-22s.


    They - along with some US Air Force (<script language="JavaScript1.2">
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    USAF) officials - have argued that failing to robustly fund the F-22 would lead to the
    shut-down of the world's only fully operational fifth-generation fighter production line.


    However, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates and Pentagon officials have until now resisted efforts to fund the F-22 beyond
    the 183 already purchased, preferring to focus funding on the F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter.

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14 Nov 08

Opinion: Joint Strike Fighter - The Latest Hotspot in the U.S. Defense Meltdown

An opinion piece from Janes Defence Weekly from early September written by two Boyd acolytes and 1980s "reformers," Pierre Sprey and Winslow Wheeler. The two trot out the typical "reformer" arguments used against every system they dislike: It's too expensive; it doesn't work now; it will never work; smaller, cheaper, low-tech is inherently and inevitably better; etc. Their piece is followed by a reply from those invovled in the F-35 program. Again, as usual, they make it clear that Sprey and Wheeler's arguments are based on inaccuracies, distortions, and over simplifications, basically the same tactics they used in the "reform" debates of the 1970s and 1980s.

www4.janes.com/...doc_view.jsp - Preview

airpower air_force F-35

USAF Moves to Address Future Force Conundrum

  • the USAF has been criticised for spending its strained budget on programmes that have little or no relevance
    to events on the ground in Afghanistan and Iraq. Lockheed Martin's costly F-22 Raptor fighter aircraft has often been used
    as an example of this procurement strategy with the number to be acquired reduced from 381 to 183 as a result of political
    and budgetary pressures.


    Opponents of the programme suggest that this advanced air superiority fighter is a legacy of the Cold War and a classic example
    of a military propensity to prepare for the last war. It has been argued in Washington that money could be better spent on
    platforms with more immediate applications, particularly with regard to intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance assets.



    However, Russia's invasion of Georgia in support of the breakaway region of South Ossetia may have strengthened the position
    of those advocating a renewed emphasis on preparing to fight future conventional wars. The case for extending the procurement
    of the F-22 has seemingly been strengthened by events in the Caucasus, even if conflict in Georgia may not establish a firm
    requirement for additional Raptors.

  • The F-22
    represents the technological pinnacle of the USAF's air-to-air combat capability; the F-35 does not.
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Sortie Surge: USAF Takes Technology to its Targets

For all those who think airpower is irrelevant to counterinsurgency and to the current war, if it's so irrelevant to the "boots on the grund," why are the boots on the ground making so much use of it?

www4.janes.com/...doc_view.jsp - Preview

airpower air_force coin

  • The US Air Force (USAF) has seen a huge increase in the number of bombing missions it has carried out over Iraq since the
    United States' troop 'surge' began. The service's role is poised to expand even as ground forces withdraw, according to current
    and former defence officials.


    Former Secretary of the Air Force Michael Wynne said that the USAF's breakthroughs in targeting technology and tactics have
    led to a 400 per cent increase in the amount of ordnance being dropped by the service's aircraft in Iraq since the surge was
    launched in February 2007.

  • One key technology breakthrough in close air support has been the USAF-developed ROVER (Remotely Operated Video Enhanced Receiver),
    a laptop that can exchange live video imagery with pilots in the cockpit.


    The system can be linked to targeting pods on fighter aircraft so that everyone in the targeting loop can see the same things
    at the same time.

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04 Oct 08

Two decades of decay

A little dated at this point, but still a timely issue that has not gone away. It may be one of the first times that I have agreed with a piece I've read by Loren Thompson. I think he's right on target with this one, though. The Air Force was getting flak, but not modernization dollars, from both sides: Hardcore NCW advocates, though they saw the value of airpower, focused on networks instead of platforms. But they could do so only by taking platforms for granted, as a given. Increasingly, though, in the Air Force they are not givens. Second, the boots-on-the-ground, counterinsurgency, 4GW types often seemed to have no use for airpower at all. And since they often argued that what we're doing now is all we'll even be doing, they also did not support Air Force modernization.

www.armedforcesjournal.com/...2923793 - Preview

airpower air_force

  • The Air Force begins its sixth decade in circumstances that aviators elsewhere might consider enviable: unrivaled for global air dominance. But that is not the way Air Force leaders view their situation. They see a decrepit air fleet in which the average aircraft is older than the average Navy warship and which is rapidly approaching a breaking point as a result of continuous use in the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    Every category of airframe operating in Iraq and Afghanistan is suffering from metal fatigue, corrosion, parts obsolescence and other age-related maladies that diminish readiness and raise safety concerns. And yet, timely replacement is not assured.

    How did the air fleet fall into such a state of disrepair that only 60 percent of the planes could be airborne quickly in a national emergency?

  • The problem, it seems, is that at precisely the moment when fleet modernization became urgent, a new crop of policymakers appeared who didn't share Air Force views about the future of warfare.
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07 Aug 08

Aging Array of American Aircraft Attracting Attention

  • The current US Air Force fleet, whose planes are more than 23 years old on average, is the oldest in USAF history. It won’t keep that title for very long. Many transport aircraft and aerial refueling tankers are more than 40 years old – and under current plans, some may be as many as 70-80 years old before they retire. Since the price for next-generation planes has risen faster than inflation, average aircraft age will climb even if the US military gets every plane it asks for in its future plans. Nor is the USA the only country facing this problem.
  • “The B-52H with tail number LA1023 was built in 1961…. It is the first of 18 B-52Hs selected by Air Combat Command to retire. Every two weeks a B-52H will be retired, alternating between here and the 2nd BW in an effort to maximize funding for the aging assets. “It is easier and cheaper to modify and maintain 76 planes, than to keep all 94 up and running,” said Master Sgt. Curtis Jensen, 5th Aircraft Maintenance Squadron production superintendent.”
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