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09 Jun 09

Henry A. Kissinger - North Korea's Nuclear Program Cannot Be Stopped by America Alone

www.washingtonpost.com/...AR2009060702097.html - Preview

WMD nukes proliferation

De facto acquiescence in a North Korean nuclear program would require a reconsideration of U.S. strategic planning. More emphasis would need to be given to missile defense. It would be essential to redesign the American deterrent strategy in a world of multiple nuclear powers -- a challenge unprecedented in our experience. The enhanced role of non-state actors with respect to terrorism would have to be addressed. The concepts of deterrence against state actors are familiar, though not in a world of multiple nuclear powers. They have little or no relevance to non-state actors operating by stealth.
De facto acquiescence in a North Korean nuclear program would require a reconsideration of U.S. strategic planning. More emphasis would need to be given to missile defense. It would be essential to redesign the American deterrent strategy in a world of multiple nuclear powers -- a challenge unprecedented in our experience. The enhanced role of non-state actors with respect to terrorism would have to be addressed. The concepts of deterrence against state actors are familiar, though not in a world of multiple nuclear powers. They have little or no relevance to non-state actors operating by stealth.
- Unfortunately, it appears that we lack the resolve to do anything other than acquiesce. At the same time, Gates has cancelled missile defense and all major weapon modernization efforts (e.g. FCS, F-22, strategic bomber, etc.) under the assumption that state-level warfare is a thing of the past. The international threat environment and our force planning seem to be diverging rapidly, with threats heading in a direction that would suggest the possibility of state-level conflict while we build forces to optimized to re-fight the Iraqi and Afghan insurgencies. - on 2009-06-09
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07 Apr 09

How Israel Foiled an Arms Convoy Bound for Hamas

www.time.com/...0,8599,1888352,00.html - Preview

israel iran proliferation WMD

Israeli fighter-bombers, backed by unmanned drones, were responsible for a mid-January attack on a 23-truck convoy in the Sudanese desert carrying arms to Hamas militants, two highly placed Israeli security sources revealed to TIME. The attack was a warning to Iran and other adversaries, showing Israel's intelligence capability and its willingness to mount operations far beyond its borders in order to defend itself from gathering threats.
During the 1,750-mile (2,800 km) journey to Sudan and back, the Israeli aircraft refueled in midair over the Red Sea.
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- The bombing raid came after an intelligence tip-off. In early January, at the height of Israel's assault on Gaza, Israel's foreign-intelligence agency, Mossad, was told by an informant that Iran was planning a major delivery of 120 tons of arms and explosives to Gaza, including antitank rockets and Fajir rockets with a 25-mile (40 km) range and a 99-lb. (45 kg) warhead. With little time to plan the operation, naval vessels and helicopters were rushed to the Red Sea in case Israel had to rescue a downed pilot, and the plan was hurried through. "The Israelis had less than a week to pull this all together," a source said.