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tony curzon price's Library tagged subprime   View Popular

09 May 08

Ethical finance

  • Investors need to be given a sense of what action is being taken to correct the situation. Financial services and banking should set the very highest standards for ethical behaviour. Ethics is not only a question of acting correctly. It is a matter of not trying to avoid regulation even if one thinks one can get away with it.

    This must be taught at a very early stage and demonstrated in the way a firm is managed. I passionately believe that this is something that has deteriorated in the past few years.

05 May 08

Krugman: Success Breeds Failure - New York Times

  • We now know that things that aren’t called banks can nonetheless generate banking crises, and that the Fed needs to carry out bank-type rescues on their behalf. It follows that hedge funds, special investment vehicles and so on need bank-type regulation. In particular, they need to be required to have adequate capital.

    But while our out-of-control financial system has been bad for the country, it has been very good for wheeler-dealers, who collect huge fees when things seem to be going well, then get to walk away unscathed — indeed, often with large severance packages — when things go wrong. They don’t want regulations that would stabilize the economy but cramp their style.

01 May 08

Roubini: Bad News on US economy

  • The official headline for U.S. Q1 GDP growth says a positive 0.6% growth but the details are ugly and confirm that we are in a recession.



10 Apr 08

FT.com - Off balance-sheet liabilities have not been accounted for correctly

  • Rules regarding how banks account for off-balance sheet interests are “irretrievably broken”, a senior group of international rulemakers has warned.

FT.com: Banks own up, hope to get off lightly

01 Apr 08

Frankel - US $ position in world economy

  • Jeffrey Frankel, 18 March 2008

    One of the world’s leading international economists explains how the euro could surpass the dollar as the premier international currency and examines the geopolitical implications of such a shift.

30 Mar 08

Understand subprime in 2 sentences. Easy, high-level, clear

Brad de Long give a high-level view of what the finance sector is going through that makes real sense of it all. And he points to what the real worry might be. It is there, and the Central Banks have to be alert to it.

delong.typepad.com/...hedge-fund-scha.html - Preview

subprime

  • What's really going on? What's going on is that perhaps $6T of mortgages with a duration of a decade that had been priced at a 1% per year chance of default (with a 1/3 value haircut in the event of default) are now being priced at a 4% per year chance of default. That's a loss of $600B in market value--and if your share of that $600B is greater than your capital, or is thought to be greater than your capital and so impedes your operations, you are gone.
24 Mar 08

It’s Hard to Thaw a Frozen Market - New York Times

In the shorter run, economists are generally in three camps when it comes to strategies for recovery.

The fundamentalists argue that housing prices need to fall, and rapidly, so that mortgage-backed securities can be valued more accurately. Then trading can resume and financial gridlock will be undone. Advocates of a bailout, by contrast, argue that this process would be a disaster. In their view, the solvency problems are too great and the market is too skittish for the foreseeable future, so the government needs to buy up mortgage securities to prevent catastrophe.

The third group, the “wait and see” faction, finds the first two alternatives unpalatable. This group hopes that if the Fed pumps enough liquidity into banks, the passage of time will improve market information, ease worries and lead to a resumption in asset trading.

www.nytimes.com/...23view.html - Preview

subprime

23 Mar 08

FT.com / Comment & analysis / Comment - Beware a regulatory backlash against banks

  • Separately, bankers’ remuneration could become a target for regulatory moves in the UK and the US. Although it is difficult to see how governments could get involved in the intricacies of tying reward to risk, that does not make it impossible in a heavily regulated industry dependent on government goodwill in countless ways.

    Spectacles such as that of Stan O’Neal, former Merrill Lynch chief executive, at a hearing in Congress in March excusing his $161m retirement package as “deferred compensation, stock and options that I earned during the years prior to 2007” provide politicians with ammunition.

  • Getting banks to agree on measures that will forestall politicians is almost impossible, because banks that are less exposed see no need to make common cause with those that have problems.
22 Mar 08

In Washington, a Split Over Regulation of Wall Street - New York Times

The lobby is out already to stop regulation ...

www.nytimes.com/...23regulate.html - Preview

regulation subprime

  • “If we don’t tread very carefully on restructuring a very complex financial system, we might stifle the necessary animal instincts of a free market,” said Mark A. Bloomfield, president of the American Council for Capital Formation, a business advocacy group. “Every day, the cries of populism grow stronger and could trample good economic policy.”
  • “What we’re looking at in our blueprint is how to make our regulatory structure more efficient, less duplicative and more in line with today’s capital markets,” said David G. Nason, assistant secretary of the Treasury for financial institutions. “We’ve got five regulatory agencies focused on depository institutions. We’re one of the only countries in the world that separates securities from futures, and our regulation of insurance is solely at the state level.”

Hiding behind the invisible hand - Paul Krugman - Op-Ed Columnist - New York Times Blog

  • Consider the press conference held on June 3, 2003 — just about the time subprime lending was starting to go wild — to announce a new initiative aimed at reducing the regulatory burden on banks. Representatives of four of the five government agencies responsible for financial supervision used tree shears to attack a stack of paper representing bank regulations. The fifth representative, James Gilleran of the Office of Thrift Supervision, wielded a chainsaw.



Macro and Other Market Musings: What Many of the Great Depression Comparisons Miss

  • There seems to be a pattern doesn't there: regulation is introduced in response to a financial crisis; the economy evolves and the regulatory framework is seen as outmoded and inefficient and the "regulatory dialectic" plays itself out; financial liberalization occurs and financial entrepreneurs push their new freedom to its limits, resulting in a crash....and so it goes on. Cycles are endogenous to capitalism.
    But we have at least learned something from the Great Depression:we seem better able to insulate the real economy from the pathologies of the financial sector, through automatic stabilizers and discretionary policy.
21 Mar 08

White, Selgin, Why Private Banks and Not Central Banks Should Issue Currency, Especially in Less Developed Countries: Library of Economics and Liberty

The origin of the "greenback": ciil war finance, when you couldn't tax your opponent

www.econlib.org/...feature3.html - Preview

subprime

  • If state bank notes weren't really so bad, why were they taxed out of existence? To finance the Civil War, the Congress first empowered the Union's Treasury Department to issue over $400 million worth of U.S. Notes or "greenbacks." Congress then went on to establish a new system of federally chartered banks, which were authorized to issue another $300 million of National Bank notes provided they purchased federal bonds as backing. The Treasury realized that all this new currency threatened to cause a substantial increase in prices, but was unwilling to deny itself the fiscal advantages that the new currency would provide. Instead of issuing fewer greenbacks or further limiting the stock of National Bank notes, it made the state banks into scapegoats, forcing them to retire all $200 million of their notes, including some of the best currency the nation had ever known.5

A Bief Description

  • The Millennium Dollars® are issued by Virtualmoney, Inc., a Minnesota corporation, in return for
    securities from the sponsor that are backed by inflation-adjusted assets. The inflationary
    adjustment is then stripped off monthly and sold.

A Privatised Money Supply: Modern Banking and the Fractional Reserve System

  • I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to
    our liberties than standing armies.  Already they have raised up
    a monied aristocracy that has set the Government at
    defiance.  The issuing power should be taken from the banks and
    restored to the people to whom it properly belongs.



    Thomas Jefferson





    Until the control of the issue of currency and credit is
    restored to government and recognized as its most
    conspicuous and sacred responsibility, all talk of
    sovereignty of Parliament and of democracy is idle and
    futile... Once a nation parts with control of its credit, it
    matters not who makes the nation's laws... Usury once in control
    will wreck any nation.

    William Lyon Mackenzie King



    Banking was conceived in iniquity and born in sin...
    Bankers own the earth.  Take it away from them but leave them the
    power to create money, and, with a flick of the pen, they
    will create enough money to buy it back again... Take this great
    power away from them and all the great fortunes like mine will
    disappear and they ought to disappear, for then this
    would be a better and happier world to live in... But, if you
    want to be the slaves of the bankers and pay the cost of your own
    slavery, then let bankers continue to create money and
    control credit.

    Sir Josiah Stamp


    (Governor of the Bank of England in the 1920s)

BBC NEWS | Business | Financial crises: Lessons from history

Lender of last resort means regulator/bank collusion. It is a system designed to fill smokey rooms.

news.bbc.co.uk/...6958091.stm - Preview

economics subprime


  • Secret negotiations by the Bank and London financiers led to the creation of an £18m rescue fund in November 1890, before the extent of Barings' losses became publicly known.

FT.com | Willem Buiter’s Maverecon | I HATE MOM! (and the government, too)

  • Alas, it is a safe bet that a year or so after the federal “Mom” will have brought succor to these swash-buckling free-enterprisers, they once again will sit in their offices, clubs and golf carts, cursing the government and its “mindless regulation.” And therein lies the essential difference between teenagers and the adults on Wall Street. Eventually teenagers learn to appreciate their Moms.

FT.com / Home UK / UK - We will never have a perfect model of risk

  • Those of us who look to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholder equity have to be in a state of shocked disbelief. But I hope that one of the casualties will not be reliance on counterparty surveillance, and more generally financial self-regulation, as the fundamental balance mechanism for global finance.

The Bubble Economy | The American Prospect

But during the past quarter-century, as deregulation has turned the economy into a casino, the Federal Reserve has had to mount major rescues at least six times. In the early 1980s, it bailed out the big New York banks, some of which lost more than the total amount of their capital in failed speculative third world loans; the money-center banks would have been adjudged insolvent if the Fed hadn't bent its usual capital-adequacy rules. Next, the Fed poured huge quantities of liquidity into financial markets after the stock market crash of 1987, in which the market lost more than 20 percent of its value in a single day. The Fed intervened again on several occasions after speculators destabilized several third world currencies and economies from Mexico to Malaysia. The Fed cleaned up after the aforementioned Long Term Capital Management collapse. It flooded markets with money after the dot-com crash and the attacks of September 11, and most recently in the credit crunch of summer 2007.

www.prospect.org/...articles - Preview

banking history subprime

  • The point is not that the Fed should turn its back when financial markets are on the verge of replicating the Great Crash. The point is that the Fed has become the chief enabler of a dangerously speculative economy. It is simply not possible to get the right balance of financial prudence and financial liquidity using monetary policy alone. That's why we once had a more carefully regulated economy.


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