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Philip Rothman

Philip Rothman's Public Library

21 Dec 09

Data and the Financial Crisis: How Might We Do Better Next Time? (PDF)

"To set the stage, let me define what I mean by financial-crisis-related data needs. I am referring to the need for data that speak to the following three questions: 1. How do we anticipate possible adverse financial developments? 2. How do we recognize and respond to such developments once they are underway? 3. How do we avoid or at least respond more effectively to the next (possible) crisis?"

www.brookings.edu/...1218_financial_data_dynan.pdf - Preview

Financial Crisis

Economic Activity Improved in November (PDF)

Led by improvements in production-related and employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index increased to –0.32 in November, up
sharply from –1.02 in October. Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index improved, although only the production and income category made a positive contribution.

www.chicagofed.org/...cfnai_december2009.pdf - Preview

Recession

Uneasy Engagement - China’s Export of Labor Faces Scorn - Series - NYTimes.com

"TRUNG SON, Vietnam — It seemed as if this village in northern Vietnam had struck gold when a Chinese and a Japanese company arrived to jointly build a coal-fired power plant. Thousands of jobs would start flowing in, or so the residents hoped."

www.nytimes.com/...21china.html - Preview

China

TIPS Give Way to Inflation as Deflation Yields Drop (Update1) - Bloomberg.com

"Dec. 21 (Bloomberg) -- The market for Treasury inflation protected securities is showing Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke won the battle with deflation, paving the way to start withdrawing cash pumped into the economy since 2007."

www.bloomberg.com/...news - Preview

Yield Curve Inflation

Treasury Yield Curve Steepens to Record Amid Growth Outlook - Bloomberg.com

"Dec. 21 (Bloomberg) -- The difference between 2- and 10- year Treasury notes widened to a record as investors bet an accelerating economic recovery will fuel inflation and damp demand for government debt as the U.S. borrows record amounts. "

www.bloomberg.com/...news - Preview

Recession Fiscal Policy Monetary Policy Yield Curve Inflation

Medical Progress Today | Spotlight: Impermissible Ratemaking in Health-Insurance Reform: Why the Reid Bill is Unconstitutional

"Right now, the Senate is anxiously considering HR-SA 3590, the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act—a.k.a. the Reid Bill—which builds on earlier efforts in the Senate and House to reach a new consensus on health-care reform.[1] Many legislative uncertainties remain, but its key characteristics seem fixed in stone, and they highlight the radical nature of this legislation. "

www.medicalprogresstoday.com/...spotlight.php - Preview

Health Care

Still Nervous, Many Businesses Are Hiring Temporary Workers - NYTimes.com

"The hiring of temporary workers has surged, suggesting that the nation’s employers might soon take the next step, bringing on permanent workers, if they can just convince themselves that the upturn in the economy will be sustained. "

www.nytimes.com/...21temps.html - Preview

Recession Employment

20 Dec 09

Joblessness Across the U.S.: Unemployment Rates by State - Real Time Economics - WSJ

Follow the change in unemployment from the beginning of the current recession. Below, the state-by-state unemployment rate from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, seasonally adjusted.

blogs.wsj.com/...-unemployment-rates-by-state-2 - Preview

Recession Unemployment

Economics in Action : Issue 1 : December 8, 2009 : What Went Wrong and How Can We Fix It?

"As the unemployment rate climbed to the highest levels in a generation and the nation’s output fell in an eighteen-month dive, it became clear that this was no ordinary recession. Why did the economy get so badly off track? What needs to be done to return to solid growth?"

economics.ucsd.edu/...what-went-wrong.php - Preview

Financial Crisis Recession

How the Tricks That Crashed Wall Street Can Save the World | Foreign Policy

"Suppose you are woken up in the middle of the night by a police officer telling you that your teenage son is at the hospital in an alcohol-induced coma. You are shocked and search for reasons. You blame his friends and their wild parties. You blame the bartender who broke the law and served alcohol to a minor. You blame the latest sweet cocktails. You blame your spouse. You even blame the media for making alcohol seem attractive. "

www.foreignpolicy.com/...wall_street_can_save_the_world - Preview

Financial Crisis Regulation

18 Dec 09

Harvard Swaps Are So Toxic Even Summers Won’t Explain (Update2) - Bloomberg.com

"Dec. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Anne Phillips Ogilby, a bond attorney at one of Boston’s oldest law firms, on Oct. 31 last year relayed an urgent message from Harvard University, her client and alma mater, to the head of a Massachusetts state agency that sells bonds. The oldest and richest academic institution in America needed help getting a loan right away. "

www.bloomberg.com/...news - Preview

Harvard

Iran Forces Occupy Iraqi Oil Well, Border Guard Says (Update1) - Bloomberg.com

"Dec. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Iranian forces yesterday entered Iraqi territory at dawn, and occupied well number 4 in the East Maysan oil field, Border Guard General Zafer Nazmi said."

www.bloomberg.com/...news - Preview

oil

How to assess the renminbi’s undervaluation | vox - Research-based policy analysis and commentary from leading economists

"Must China let its exchange rate appreciate to reduce global imbalances? This column says the appropriate yardstick to measure currency undervaluation is based on the Balassa-Samuelson effect. That measure says the renminbi is undervalued by only 12%. A gradual renminbi appreciation will be sustained only if Chinese corporate and public savings are lowered."

www.voxeu.org/index.php - Preview

International Finance International Trade

Reimporting American Drugs From Canada - Economix Blog - NYTimes.com

"Just as American business has outsourced the manufacture of electronics to China and computer programming to India, so have a series of bipartisan coalitions in Congress sought to outsource the control of prescription-drug prices to governments abroad. "

economix.blogs.nytimes.com/...ing-american-drugs-from-canada - Preview

Health Care

Paul Samuelson: "Proof That Properly Anticipated Prices Fluctuate Randomly" (PDF)

"In competitive markets, there is a buyer for every seller. If one could be sure that price will rise, it would already have risen." Arguments like this are used to deduce that competitive prices must display price changes over time that perform like a random walk with no predictable bias.

www.ifa.com/...Samuelson-Proof.pdf - Preview

Efficient-Markets Hypothesis Economists

EconoSpeak: Samuelson And Academic Anti-Semitism

"Paul Samuelson was probably the last of the major economists to experience serious academic anti-Semitism, having experienced Harvard refusing to hire him in 1940 despite his prominence at the time, as well as probably the last one to personally know Keynes, Schumpeter, and Hayek."

econospeak.blogspot.com/...nd-academic-anti-semitism.html - Preview

Economists

PA 974 Section 001 (Fall 2009) Policy Responses to the Great Recession

"This course will examine the hypotheses underlying the origins and propagation of the Great Recession of 2007, and the policy responses that have occurred along a variety of dimensions. The candidate causes include lax monetary policy, the “saving glut”, deregulation, securitization and the widespread use of derivatives, the activities of the Government Sponsored Enterprises (“Fannie Mae” and “Freddie Mac”), among others. The discussion of responses will include the conduct of monetary policy and fiscal policy, the appropriateness of financial regulatory policy, the harmonization of international financial policy and trade policy. Other policies not typically thought to be related to the workings of the macro economy (housing, energy, sectoral/industrial policy, e.g., automobiles) will also be examined. "

www.ssc.wisc.edu/...web974_f09.html - Preview

Financial Crisis Recession

Climategate goes SERIAL: now the Russians confirm that UK climate scientists manipulated data to exaggerate global warming – Telegraph Blogs

"Climategate just got much, much bigger. And all thanks to the Russians who, with perfect timing, dropped this bombshell just as the world’s leaders are gathering in Copenhagen to discuss ways of carbon-taxing us all back to the dark ages."

blogs.telegraph.co.uk/...a-to-exaggerate-global-warming - Preview

Green Issues

17 Dec 09

New chief rocks Minneapolis Fed | StarTribune.com

"Narayana Kocherlakota leaves academia behind in order to put his theories to work as president of the Minneapolis Fed."

www.startribune.com/...79092972.html - Preview

Financial Crisis Monetary Policy Economists

Sen. Vitter Presents End-of-Term Exam For Bernanke - Real Time Economics - WSJ

"Earlier this month, Real Time Economics presented questions from several economists for the confirmation hearing of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. Many of the questions were addressed at the hearing, though not always directly. Sen. David Vitter (R., La.) submitted them in writing and received the responses from Bernanke, along with his own other questions. We offer them here."

blogs.wsj.com/...-end-of-term-exam-for-bernanke - Preview

Monetary Policy Financial Crisis Recession Congressional Oversight

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