Joel Liu's Library tagged innovation →  View Popular

1) The student (and his/her parents) is increasingly going to take control of his/her education including choice of schools, teachers, classes, and even curriculum. That's what the web does. It transfers control from institutions to individuals and its going to do that to education too.

2) Alternative forms of education (home schooling, charter schools, online learning, adult education/lifelong learning) are on the rise and we are just at the start of that trend.

3) Students will increasingly find themselves teaching as well. Peer production will move from just producing content to producing learning as well.

4) Look for technologies and approaches that reduce the marginal cost of an incremental student. Imagine that it will go to zero at some point and get on that curve.

5) The education system we currently have was built to train the industrial worker. As we move to an information driven society it is high time to question everything about the process by which we educate our society. That process and the systems that underlie it will look very different by the time our children's children are in school.

6) Investment opportunities that work around our current institutions will be more attractive but we cannot ignore disruptive approaches that will work inside the existing system. Open courseware, lesson sharing, social networks, and lightweight/public publishing tools are examples of disruptive approaches that will work inside the existing system.

7) Teachers are more important than ever but they will have to adapt and many will have to learn to work outside the system. It was suggested at hacking education that teachers are like bank tellers in the 1970s. I don't agree but I do think they are like newspaper reporters in the 1990s.

8) Credentialing and accreditation in the traditional sense (diplomas) will become less important as the student's work product becomes more available to be sampled and measured online.

9) Testing and assessment will play more of a role in adapting the teaching process. A good example of this is how video games constantly adapt to the skill level of the player to create the perfect amount of creative tenstion. Adaptive learning systems will soon be able to do the same for students.

10) Spaces for learning (schools and libraries) will be re-evaluated. It was suggested that Starbucks is the new library. I don't think that will be the case but the value of dedicated physical spaces for learning will decline. It has already happened in the world of professional education.

11) Learning is bottom up and education is top down. We'll have more learning and less education in the future

为什么分众传媒的股票能有这种威力呢？第一，分众传媒作为上市公司，其股票具有充分的流动性，所以就更值钱；相比之下，虽然各地的自来水公司的未来收入流也很可靠、很可观，但它们即使想用其股票作为收购支付的手段，也不会有太多人愿意接收。换句话说，即使其它的传媒公司的前景也跟分众传媒差不多，只要它们没有上市，它们的股权就不具备代表未来收入流的折现总值的效果，它们的股权就不具有现金的效果，因此，它们就不能在同一平台上与分众传媒竞争。

第二，虽然在上交所、深交所上市的公司也有近1400家，但它们无法像分众传媒那样利用自己公司的股票做并购扩展，因为他们增发股票的行为受到证监会的管制，而分众传媒因为是在纳斯达克上市所以就没有这种限制。因此，过多管制的效果是消弱了公司上市的好处，改变了股票的含义。

第三，尽管分众传媒和中海油都是在美国上市，但在看待分众传媒的股票时，美国和其它国家的投资者会像看待其它股票一样，都会喜欢得到分众传媒股权。可是，中海油在2005年努力并购美国尤尼科石油公司的时候，它只能用现金，而没有以其股票去收购尤尼科，原因是中海油的国有企业背景，这种背景改变了中海油股票的性质，使它无法跟没有国有性质的分众传媒股票一样。正因为这种国有背景，多数在国内交易所上市的公司股票作为收购货币的价值有限。

并不是在任何地方上市即可使公司的股票具备流通货币的素质，公司的背景性质与它所在的行业都有着决定性作用，所上市的股票交易市场是否活跃、定价机制是否具有公信力，这些都至关重要。