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Traueranzeige für Robert Enke: "Hoffnung ist die Gewissheit, dass etwas Sinn hat" - SPIEGEL ONLINE - Nachrichten - Panorama on 2009-11-20
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Zitat des tschechischen Schriftstellers Václav Havel
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"Hoffnung ist nicht die Überzeugung, dass etwas gut ausgeht, sondern die Gewissheit, dass etwas Sinn hat, egal wie es ausgeht"
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Oxford Analytica - PROSPECTS 2010: Pakistan on 2009-11-17
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SIGNIFICANCE:
The country's political crisis may come to a head next year, with implications for both domestic and international security
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Strategic summary
- The Zardari government is highly unlikely to survive 2010.
- Civil-military rifts will intensify as the departure of army chief General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani approaches.
- The opposition, which seeks a more independent line vis-a-vis the United States, will call for mid-term elections.
- Inflation and power shortages will strain livelihoods, but macroeconomic consolidation will continue.
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ANALYSIS: In what may be a crucial year for its long-term future, Pakistan faces extensive terrorist attacks, a likely change of government, and turbulent relations with its neighbours.
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There is a high chance that Zardari will be removed from office:
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The most likely scenario is that the Supreme Court under Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammed Chaudhury will force him to step down through invalidation of the National Reconciliation Ordinance (NRO)
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behind-the-scenes pressure from the army, as well as shifting public opinion, may push him in this direction
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In a less likely scenario, the army leadership could also press him to resign. This will be more likely if Zardari sticks with his refusal to dismiss a number of close allies, as demanded by the army
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Zardari might retain his position longer if he decides to cede major constitutional powers to Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani.
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could also look to replace Gilani with another figure from his Pakistan Peoples' Party (PPP), such as popular lawyer Aitzaz Ahsan
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The Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz, led by former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, is highly likely to emerge as successor to the PPP government
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Militant groups in Punjab, such as Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammad, are likely to increase their activities on the Indian side of the Kashmir border.
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State Bank of Pakistan expects a 3.3% expansion in the fiscal year ending June 2010.
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The economy is on a path of macroeconomic stabilisation and gradual renewal of growth
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Sectarian violence may escalate. Many militants operating in southern Punjab have entrenched links with sectarian terrorist groups.
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Army succession. Kayani will complete his three-year term as army chief in November 2010. His successor will be decided by Zardari, as commander in chief, unless that power is transferred to the prime minister
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Any extension for Kayani appears unlikely. In these circumstances, the choice of successor will be closely watched
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If precedent were followed, the default choice would be one of the most senior officers below Kayani:
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Lieutenant General Khalid Shamim Wayen, currently Corps Commander in Quetta, is widely considered the favourite.
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CONCLUSION:
Politics will be shaped by a continued decline in popular support for the government and increased civil-military tension as Kayani's term comes to an end.
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The challenge from terrorists based in Punjab province will increase.
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A change of government is highly likely, with the new leadership likely to prioritise a tougher line vis-a-vis the United States.
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Favorit des Tages: DAX kann sich nicht entscheiden - Favorit des Tages Zertifikate - BÖRSE ONLINE on 2009-11-04
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Ein Beispiel ist das Bonuszertifikat der
Commerzbank mit einer Sicherheitsschwelle bei 4750 Punkten und Laufzeit bis Juni 2010.
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Die Bonusrendite liegt auf das Jahr gerechnet bei 18,8 Prozent, der Kurs beträgt 56,32 Euro bei einem DAX-Stand von 5595 Punkten. Die Bonuszahlung ist bei 63 Euro oder 6300 Punkten gekappt.
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PTHPasteboard Pro provides multiple Clipboards and much more Review | Utilities | Mac Gems | Macworld on 2009-11-01
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I’ve previously reviewed
Jumpcut, PopCopy, and
CuteClips, three multiple-Clipboard utilities that focus on simplicity and ease of use
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Jumpcut remains one of my favorite OS X add-ons.
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But if you’re willing to forego some of that simplicity,
PTH Pasteboard Pro offers a whole lot more functionality.
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filters are one of the standout features of PTHPasteboard Pro.
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PTHPasteboard lets you set up keyboard shortcuts for various actions
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you’re not limited to a single pasteboard; PTHPasteboard lets you create as many different pasteboards as you need
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you can have PTHPasteboard Pro ignore content copied or cut from within particular programs, such as Keychain Access and 1Password.
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Because it provides so many features—more than I could cover here—PTHPasteboard isn’t nearly as simple to use as something like Jumpcut, but the added functionality gives it an impressive amount of potential for improving your workflow.
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Oxford Analytica - TURKMENISTAN: Gazprom export monopoly comes to an end on 2009-10-26
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On October 12, President Gurbanguly Berdymuhammedov replaced most senior officials in the oil and gas sectors, citing their "irresponsible" attitude, the slow pace of gas development and their failure to expand hydrocarbons production.
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ambitious plans to increase annual gas output
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may depend on the outcome of competition between the EU-backed Nabucco and Russian South Stream pipelines.
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ANALYSIS: The exploitation of Turkmenistan's natural resources began shortly after the Russian Empire conquered Turkmen territory in the 19th century.
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primary aim of Moscow's natural resources policy was to extract raw materials for the benefit of other Soviet republics.
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Since Turkmenistan declared independence in October 1991, Moscow has taken a tough stance, perceiving Ashgabat as a potential competitor.
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Russia sought to ensure that its own gas would flow to lucrative European markets, while at the same time funnelling Turkmen gas to other CIS countries
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Leading Western firms have provided recent, promising estimates of Turkmenistan's potential:
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Russian officials and some media outlets have sought to portray these estimates as inaccurate and incompetently executed.
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Moscow's real aim is to maintain its flagging monopoly on Turkmen gas exports, and the Russian authorities in fact remain highly interested in cooperation with Turkmenistan.
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although the CAC has been repaired by the Turkmen side, gas supplies to Russia have not resumed.
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by early 2010, Ashgabat will be able to export gas to China (at volumes of up to 40 bcm per year) and Iran (up to 20 bcm per year, thanks to an export pipeline expansion)
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This will mark the end of Gazprom's monopoly over Central Asian energy exports, and Russia will find itself with less leverage
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would require the construction of a pipeline under the Caspian Sea.
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Over the longer term, the EU hopes that Turkmen gas can partly supply the Nabucco pipeline project
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tensions between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan
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unresolved demarcation of the sea and parallel disputes over deposit ownership
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CONCLUSION:
Turkmenistan, like its Central Asian neighbours, is pursuing a more independent and diversified export and foreign policy strategy.
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opening ceremony for the new pipeline to China is expected to take place on December
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mark the end of Gazprom's dominance of Central Asian gas exports.
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days later, the expanded pipeline to Iran is likely to begin operations.
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For the time being, Ashgabat is keeping its options open. Its long-term ambitions include not only Europe, but also the development of infrastructure to export gas to India via Afghanistan and Pakistan.
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StuffIt Deluxe 2010 Eases Large Archive Sharing || TidBITS Business Apps - Review on 2009-10-02
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WB, WEF reports provide food for thought on 2009-09-10
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Two reports on global business rankings released on the same day, one by the World Bank and the other by the World Economic Forum has provided food for thought for the economic planners
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The World Bank released its Doing Business 2010 in New York on Tuesday ranking Pakistan at 85 among the 183 economies in cost of doing business.
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he World Economic Forum released its Global Competitiveness Report the same day from Switzerland in which Pakistan was placed at number 101 out of 133 economies.
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World Bank report does point out that the rules and regulations in Pakistan are superior to that of India but as the WEF report indicates the problem is in transparent implementation of these rules.
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DAX-Chartanalyse: Gewinne werden weiter verdaut - Dax-Analyse - BÖRSE ONLINE on 2009-09-01
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leichtes Verkaufsinteresse zwischen 5550 und 5575
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Charttechnik: DAX - Verschleißerscheinung? | Nachricht | finanzen.net on 2009-09-01
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teht ein Test der horizontalen Unterstützung bei 5160 Zählern bevor.
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Am übergeordneten Aufwärtsszenario hat sich indess nichts geändert, denn der justierte Aufwärtstrendkanal zeigt sich weiterhin intakt.
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Erst mit dem signifikanten Sprung über den Widerstand beim 5481 Punkten und einem dynamischen Anstieg über das Jahreshoch bekommt der DAX eine neue Chance auf die Fortsetzung der Rally.
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Der nächste massive Widerstand erwartet den Index dann bei rund 5780 Punkte
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Amazon.com: Customer Reviews: Buffalo Technology DriveStation 1 TB USB 2.0/FireWire 400 Desktop External Hard Drive on 2009-08-21
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