Recent Bookmarks and Annotations
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Meet Joe Lewis, the Handshake Billionaire - Tavistock - - from Florida Trend, Florida's Source For Business News on 2009-10-14
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TraderFeed: How To Change Yourself on 2009-07-30
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TraderFeed: The Devon Principle on 2009-07-30
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What I pointed out, however, was that she was no longer a "lazy" person who procrastinated and did mediocre work when she pursued something that was meaningful to her. As a student in a math class, she struggles to get work done; the work doesn't speak to her. But acting and modeling? She's never missed a class or assignment.
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Everything we do in life--our work, recreation, relationships--is a mirror. It reflects an image of ourselves back to us. If we're doing the wrong things in life, the mirror reflects a distorted image. Over time, we begin to mistake that image for reality. We really do think of ourselves as lazy or incompetent.
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When we do the work we're meant to do, however, the mirror reflects the best of who we are. Over time, we internalize that image and the pride and confidence that go with it.
People who are successful--in life and in markets--find positive mirrors. They have found markets and ways of trading that reflect back to them unique skills and talents. They enjoy relationships that reflect love, caring, and respect and, as a result, they feel those things for themselves. "You are what you eat," is an old saying. The Devon Principle says that we're always eating life experience. We're always internalizing what our activities reflect to us. And we will always live up to the image of that reflection.
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So I say to you what I said to Devon: There is some sphere of life in which you already are the person you want to be. The key is to find those activities and relationships and organize your time around them. Find the trading where you're at your best and make that your specialty. Or maybe trading isn't where you're at your best; perhaps a far better mirror awaits you.
The Devon Principle points out that how you feel about yourself is not simply the result of something inside you. It is a function of the relationship you have with your activities: what you actually are doing in your life.
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Do the right things, and you will be the hero of your own life story.
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Good point; by playing with different ways of doing things, we can sometimes find our niche. A person might want to be a doctor, but will not like being a surgeon, then will love being a family physician.
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TraderFeed: The Power of a Single Premise on 2009-07-29
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TraderFeed on 2009-07-29
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One fundamental fact keeps psychologists busy in the world of finance: the emotions associated with performance pressures--that legendary fear and greed that traders and investors know well--are stronger than the emotional cues from our gut hunches. When we are frustrated or overconfident, we unwittingly override the more subtle signals from our body's pattern recognition of danger or opportunity.
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So much of pattern recognition simply boils down to seeing many variations on particular patterns. With enough exposure, you can learn to identify patterns relatively quickly in the market day, giving you the framework to either trade market moves or fade them.
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Brain Power - In Battle, Hunches Prove to Be Valuable - Series - NYTimes.com on 2009-07-29
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TraderFeed: Three Pervasive Myths of Trading Psychology on 2009-07-28
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Myth #1: Emotions are at the root of trading problems. Yes, emotions can interfere with concentration and performance, but that doesn’t mean that they are a primary cause. Indeed, emotional distress is as often the result of poor trading as the cause. When traders fail to manage risk properly, trading size that is too large for their accounts, they invite outsized emotional responses to their swings in P/L. Similarly, when traders trade untested patterns that possess no objective edge in the marketplace, they are going to lose money over time and experience an understandable degree of emotional frustration. I know many successful traders who are fiercely competitive and highly emotional. I also know many successful traders who are highly analytical and not at all emotional. Trading is a performance field, no less than athletics or the performing arts. Success is a function of talents (inborn abilities) and skills (acquired competencies). No amount of emotional self-control can turn a person into a successful musician, football player, or trader. Once individuals possess the requisite talents and skills for success, however, then psychological factors become important. Psychology dictates how consistent you are with the skills and talents you have; it cannot replace those skills and talents.
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Across the many traders I’ve met in various settings, from home-based, independent traders to professional ones in firms, the best predictors of trading success have been the size of the trader’s account and the resources available to the trader
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If a person were to make 30% per year on their accounts year after year, they would be among the world’s most successful money managers. Most money managers of mutual funds, hedge funds, and pension funds cannot sustain such performance. If, however, a trader begins with $60,000 of capital, he or she may not be content with $18,000 of profit. This leads the trader to accept huge leverage and court a risk of ruin when an inevitable string of losing trades occurs. Indeed, such excess leverage is a main cause of emotional distress in trading. Take a look at how the Turtles made their money: they learned a trading method, learned to be consistent with that method, and were given enough money by Richard Dennis that they could trade multiple markets with enough size to scale into positions in each. Even with those resources, not all of the Turtle students could succeed. Talent, skill, and opportunity are the ingredients of success, and these are relatively normally distributed in the trading population, just as they are relatively normally distributed in the population at large.
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The main cause of trading failure is a lack of an objective edge in the marketplace, trading random patterns that have never been tested out for success.
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. When you place a trade on a major exchange, you are up against the pros from day one. No wonder it is so difficult to succeed! Discipline is necessary for trading success, but there is much more to success than discipline. It takes concerted practice and the cultivation of skills at reading and acting upon market patterns.
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n an ideal world, I wouldn’t have to challenge these myths. You’d be able to obtain very realistic messages about trading success from brokerage firms, vendors, trading gurus, books, and magazines. The reality, however, is that most of these commercial entities have a vested interest in perpetuating a dream that is, in reality, a cruel fantasy: that, without real, sustained effort, anyone can make it big as a trader.
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Enhancing Trader Performance, was to show that there is a common process beneath the development of elite performance in any field. That process involves several components:
Finding a Niche – Identifying a performance field that takes maximum advantage of your skills, talents, and interests;
Deliberative Practice – Rehearsing skills in increasingly realistic settings to prepare for the challenges of actual performance;
Constant Feedback – Intensive review of performance to identify strengths and weaknesses, so that you can capitalize on the former and address the latter.
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The successful traders I’ve known have found a market (or set of markets) and a trading style that capitalizes on their abilities. They have been relentless in working on their skills, using videotaping to review markets and performance and using simulators to rehearse under different market conditions. To sustain such effort requires a love of the markets
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hemselves, something not all traders have. Some traders love the action, some love the dream of making money, some love the opportunity to work for themselves—but many don’t love the work itself: the effort of mastering patterns in demand and supply.
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Success is possible in trading as it is in any performance field. If anyone tells you, however, that the path to trading success is different than it is for the surgeon or Olympian, you know that you’re hearing a myth
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The goal is to develop the best within you, whether that is as a trader or as something else. Your life deserves nothing less.
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Hi Bruce,
Thanks for your note. You raise a very legitimate point, and it's probably one I should address: how long does it typically take for people to make lasting changes in their behavior? It turns out in the research literature that it's much easier to initiate changes than to sustain them!
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Hi Michele,
I like that analogy with "virtuosic" music. You hit the nail exactly: people see a person recognizing patterns and profiting from them and think, "If he can do it, why can't I?" Of course, they don't say the same thing when they see Tiger Woods or Garry Kasparov compete.
I've had the good fortune to actually watch successful traders trade *as they are trading*. That enables me to see what they see and hear what they're thinking. I could no more replicate their trades than I could duplicate a ballet dancer after careful observation. These traders have unusual gifts that are not well appreciated or understood.
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Hi MagickMystik,
I'm following convention by referring to skills as acquired competencies and talents as inborn abilities. Examples of talents would be artistic, athletic, or mathematical ability that show up very early in life. It is certainly possible to develop skills in these areas even when lacking a high degree of inborn talent, but the research tells us that very high levels of performance occur when skills build upon talents. Among traders, talents include analytical ability, speed of mental processing, and capacity of working memory. Thanks for the excellent question and the opportunity to clarify--
Brett
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TraderFeed: The Role of Somatic Markers in Trading Decisions on 2009-07-28
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Thanks for the comment, David. It's interesting to see how traders can become wedded to opinions, blinding them to a sensitivity to what's actually happening in the market: A malady I've encountered a few times in my career! Coordinating our explicit knowledge of probabilities with our implicit reading of patterns is a major challenge for traders.
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TraderFeed: Controlling Emotions Is NOT The Goal Of Trading Psychology on 2009-07-28
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The important ingredient in success is not emotional dampening per se, but the enhancement of concentration and focus. That is what enables people to act with sustained purpose and stay rooted in their goals.
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The goal of trading psychology is to build consciousness, not reduce emotion. The goal is to create regular access to the flow state of heightened learning and focus. Talking to a trading coach, in itself, won't accomplish that; nor will well-intentioned efforts to calm oneself or take breaks from trading.
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These methods don't eliminate emotion; they build minds. If we can exercise for 30 min./day and build our cardiac fitness and our physiques, maybe--just maybe--a similar commitment could strengthen our abilities to operate within life's "zone". I'll be posting more re: my personal experiments with mind training in the near future.
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TraderFeed: Gurdjieff, Turtles, and Trading on 2009-07-26
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Quite simply, people lack intentionality: the ability to sustain directed activity. They cannot do.
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Gurdjieff's insight was that we lack intentionality because we fail to remember ourselves. In a state of self-awareness, we vow to do the right things. Once we exit that self-awareness, the right things vanish with it.
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The Turtles varied significantly in their trading performance. Some followed the rules Faithfully and made significant money. Others did not and could not follow the rules and were dropouts from the experiment. Intentionality, not the system rules (which were the same for all traders), predicted trading success.
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he Turtle Trading System is a system for losing money.
It makes losing money scientific and details precisely how it should be done.
Most traders want lies: how to make money easily, without the constraint of rules or the demands of research. They do not want an education in how to lose money, because they do not want to lose money.
And that is why they never make money.
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Gurdjieff taught, "If we do what we like doing, we are immediately rewarded by the pleasure of doing it. If we do what we don’t like doing the reward must come later. It is a mathematical law and all life is mathematics."
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