concludes with crazy. or not so crazy, idea that the Web will become an intelligent computer
This link has been bookmarked by 123 people . It was first bookmarked on 16 Apr 2006, by Matt Schneider.
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18 Jan 14
Mel ZArticolo di Kevin Kelly sulla nascita del World Wide Web e i suoi sviluppi.
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09 Sep 12
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10 May 11
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12 Apr 11
Esther Tomsic-PavlisWeek 6 reading
"We are the web",Wired Magazine Vol. 13, no.8 -
11 Apr 11
Altism MsitlaArticle by Kevin Kelly editor of "Wired" about the emergence of the web and it's theoretical future. Has links to other articles by him I want to read
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Computing pioneer Vannevar Bush outlined the Web's core idea - hyperlinked pages - in 1945, but the first person to try to build out the concept was a freethinker named Ted Nelson who envisioned his own scheme in 1965. However, he had little success connecting digital bits on a useful scale, and his efforts were known only to an isolated group of disciples. Few of the hackers writing code for the emerging Web in the 1990s knew about Nelson or his hyperlinked dream machine
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For instance, hyperlinks made it much easier to create a seamless, scrolling street map of every town. They made it easier for people to refer to those maps. And hyperlinks made it possible for almost anyone to annotate, amend, and improve any map embedded in the Web. Cartography has gone from spectator art to participatory democracy
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Each biological neuron sprouts synaptic links to thousands of other neurons, while each Web page branches into dozens of hyperlinks
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Over time, a Wikipedia article becomes totally underlined in blue as ideas are cross-referenced
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09 Apr 11
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Think of the 100 billion times per day humans click on a Web page as a way of teaching the Machine what we think is important. Each time we forge a link between words, we teach it an idea.
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We think we are merely wasting time when we surf mindlessly or blog an item, but each time we click a link we strengthen a node somewhere in the Web OS, thereby programming the Machine by using it.
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We already find it easier to Google something a second or third time rather than remember it ourselves. The more we teach this megacomputer, the more it will assume responsibility for our knowing. It will become our memory. Then it will become our identity. In 2015 many people, when divorced from the Machine, won't feel like themselves - as if they'd had a lobotomy.
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Three thousand years from now, when keen minds review the past, I believe that our ancient time, here at the cusp of the third millennium, will be seen as another such era. In the years roughly coincidental with the Netscape IPO, humans began animating inert objects with tiny slivers of intelligence, connecting them into a global field, and linking their own minds into a single thing. This will be recognized as the largest, most complex, and most surprising event on the planet
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26 Sep 10
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10 Aug 10
max_ritscherDespite a boom and bust, many of the promises made by early Internet boosters have come true: the web *has* changed how business, politics, education, and entertainment is done. All that, however, is merely the warm-up to much bigger benefits. The web wil
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05 Aug 10
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18 Jul 10
kiilo orgWe Are the Web
The Netscape IPO wasn't really about dot-commerce. At its heart was a new cultural force based on mass collaboration. Blogs, Wikipedia, open source, peer-to-peer - behold the power of the people.
By Kevin Kellyweb2.0 internet technology history wired future article web culture social community collaboration for:@twitter
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12 Apr 10
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What we all failed to see was how much of this new world would be manufactured by users, not corporate interests.
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high-quality customer support for new buyers.
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These user-created channels make no sense economically. Where are the time, energy, and resources coming from?
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promotes consumers into producers
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what folks actually use the Internet for is inverted
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prosumers produce and consume at once
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Anticipation Machine
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The Machine is an unbounded thing that will take a billion windows to glimpse even part of. It is what you'll see on the other side of any screen
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What will most surprise us is how dependent we will be on what the Machine knows - about us and about what we want to know. We already find it easier to Google something a second or third time rather than remember it ourselves. The more we teach this megacomputer, the more it will assume responsibility for our knowing. It will become our memory. Then it will become our identity. In 2015 many people, when divorced from the Machine, won't feel like themselves - as if they'd had a lobotomy.
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08 Apr 10
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25 Dec 09
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12 Jul 09
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the Machine
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the Machine
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the Machine
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the Machine
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the Machine
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the Machine
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the Machine
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the Machine
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02 Jun 09
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27 Nov 08
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14 Sep 08
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100 billion times per day humans click on a Web page
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100 billion times per day humans click on a Web page
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100 billion times per day humans click on a Web page
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100 billion times per day humans click on a Web page
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100 billion times per day humans click on a Web page
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26 Aug 08
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25 May 08
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Today, the Machine acts like a very large computer with top-level functions that operate at approximately the clock speed of an early PC. It processes 1 million emails each second, which essentially means network email runs at 1�megahertz. Same with Web searches. Instant messaging runs at 100�kilohertz, SMS at 1�kilohertz. The Machine's total external RAM is about 200 terabytes. In any one second, 10 terabits can be coursing through its backbone, and each year it generates nearly 20 exabytes of data. Its distributed "chip" spans 1 billion active PCs, which is approximately the number of transistors in one PC.
This planet-sized computer is comparable in complexity to a human brain. Both the brain and the Web have hundreds of billions of neurons (or Web pages). Each biological neuron sprouts synaptic links to thousands of other neurons, while each Web page branches into dozens of hyperlinks. That adds up to a trillion "synapses" between the static pages on the Web. The human brain has about 100 times that number - but brains are not doubling in size every few years. The Machine is.
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One great advantage the Machine holds in this regard: It's always on. It is very hard to learn if you keep getting turned off, which is the fate of most computers. AI researchers rejoice when an adaptive learning program runs for days without crashing. The fetal Machine has been running continuously for at least 10 years (30 if you want to be picky). I am aware of no other machine - of any type - that has run that long with zero downtime. While portions may spin down due to power outages or cascading infections, the entire thing is unlikely to go quiet in the coming decade. It will be the most reliable gadget we have.
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nd who will write the software that makes this contraption useful and productive? We will. In fact, we're already doing it, each of us, every day. When we post and then tag pictures on the community photo album Flickr, we are teaching the Machine to give names to images. The thickening links between caption and picture form a neural net that can learn. Think of the 100 billion times per day humans click on a Web page as a way of teaching the Machine what we think is important. Each time we forge a link between words, we teach it an idea. Wikipedia encourages its citizen authors to link each fact in an article to a reference citation. Over time, a Wikipedia article becomes totally underlined in blue as ideas are cross-referenced. That massive cross-referencing is how brains think and remember. It is how neural nets answer questions. It is how our global skin of neurons will adapt autonomously and acquire a higher level of knowledge.
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07 May 08
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21 Mar 08
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06 Mar 08
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Go down to your basement, find your most technical computer guy, and have him register abc.com immediately. Don't even think about it. It will be a good thing to do."
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What could be a better mark of irreversible acceptance than adoption by the Amish?
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In 2015 many people, when divorced from the Machine, won't feel like themselves - as if they'd had a lobotomy.
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marvel
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It was hard to use
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The domain was still unregistered.
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The open source software movement is another example
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Our Machine is born
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Vannevar Bush's vision
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online culture is the culture
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1991, commercial enterprise on the Internet was strictly prohibited. Even then, the rules favored public institutions and forbade "extensive use for private or personal business."
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05 Mar 08
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IPO
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gift economy
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What matters is the network of social creation, the community of collaborative interaction that futurist Alvin Toffler called prosumption. As with blogging and BitTorrent, prosumers produce and consume at once. The producers are the audience, the act of making is the act of watching, and every link is both a point of departure and a destination.
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every two seconds
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02 Mar 08
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But that was just the beginning! Scribbling on index cards, he sketched out complicated notions of transferring authorship back to creators and tracking payments as readers hopped along networks of documents, what he called the docuverse.
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The revolution launched by Netscape's IPO was only marginally about hypertext and human knowledge. #6 At its heart was a new kind of participation that has since developed into an emerging culture based on sharing. And the ways of participating unleashed by hyperlinks are creating a new type of thinking - part human and part machine - found nowhere else on the planet or in history.
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Stephen Weiswasser, a senior VP, delivered the ultimate putdown: "The Internet will be the CB radio of the '90s," he told me, a charge he later repeated to the press. Weiswasser summed up ABC's argument for ignoring the new medium: "You aren't going to turn passive consumers into active trollers on the Internet."
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This view is spookily godlike. You can switch your gaze of a spot in the world from map to satellite to 3-D just by clicking. Recall the past? It's there. Or listen to the daily complaints and travails of almost anyone who blogs (and doesn't everyone?). I doubt angels have a better view of humanity.
Why aren't we more amazed by this fullness? Kings of old would have gone to war to win such abilities. Only small children would have dreamed such a magic window could be real. I have reviewed the expectations of waking adults and wise experts, and I can affirm that this comprehensive wealth of material, available on demand and free of charge, was not in anyone's scenario. Ten years ago, anyone silly enough to trumpet the above list as a vision of the near future would have been confronted by the evidence: There wasn't enough money in all the investment firms in the entire world to fund such a cornucopia. The success of the Web at this scale was impossible.
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When a company opens its databases to users, as Amazon, Google, and eBay have done with their Web services, it is encouraging participation at new levels. The corporation's data becomes part of the commons and an invitation to participate. People who take advantage of these capabilities are no longer customers; they're the company's developers, vendors, skunk works, and fan base.
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What happens when the data flow is asymmetrical - but in favor of creators? What happens when everyone is uploading far more than they download? If everyone is busy making, altering, mixing, and mashing, who will have time to sit back and veg out? Who will be a consumer?
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What happens when the data flow is asymmetrical - but in favor of creators? What happens when everyone is uploading far more than they download? If everyone is busy making, altering, mixing, and mashing, who will have time to sit back and veg out? Who will be a consumer?
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23 Feb 08
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11 Feb 08
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Add Sticky NoteThe memories of an early enthusiast like myself can be unreliable, so I recently spent a few weeks reading stacks of old magazines and newspapers. Any promising new invention will have its naysayers, and the bigger the promises, the louder the nays. It's not hard to find smart people saying stupid things about the Internet on the morning of its birth. In late 1994, Time magazine explained why the Internet would never go mainstream: "It was not designed for doing commerce, and it does not gracefully accommodate new arrivals." Newsweek put the doubts more bluntly in a February 1995 headline: "THE INTERNET? BAH!" The article was written by astrophysicist and Net maven Cliff Stoll, who captured the prevailing skepticism of virtual communities and online shopping with one word: "baloney."
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Who would have guessed that the internet would be what it is today, and there are still skeptics.
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One great advantage the Machine holds in this regard: It's always on.
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Before the Netscape browser illuminated the Web, the Internet did not exist for most people. If it was acknowledged at all, it was mischaracterized as either corporate email (as exciting as a necktie) or a clubhouse for adolescent males (read: pimply nerds). It was hard to use. On the Internet, even dogs had to type. Who wanted to waste time on something so boring?
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The Web continues to evolve from a world ruled by mass media and mass audiences to one ruled by messy media and messy participation
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Add Sticky Note
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This is the year 2008 and I still have difficulty understanding the web
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Add Sticky NoteBefore the Netscape browser illuminated the Web, the Internet did not exist for most people
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It is 2008 and I still am not computer smart.
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Add Sticky Note
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Wow. I am such an infant when it comes to this stuff.
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Add Sticky Noteexceeds 600 billi
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Wow!!!!!
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Add Sticky NoteHe was certain that every document in the world should be a footnote to some other document, and computers could make the links between them visible and permanent.
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Every computer system - every webpage - can and should work like a database. The precursor? The written index which by its typeface is a dead document and no longer a dynamic, living text.
Every text can be alive!
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Add Sticky NoteWhat we all failed to see was how much of this new world would be manufactured by users, not corporate interests.
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Are you kidding me? Everyone looks for user ratings. We used to rate professors online. Movies, music, YouTube, books, blogs, etc. Everything is rated. Consumer reports are online. Everything is rated or has a poll. What do users think? Tell people you care...even in the vastness of cyberspace...and they will flock to your site. Polls, comments, guestbooks, etc. all bring people right where you want them - on your site.
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video, craft a weblog, and code a program. This idea is less outrageous than the notion 150 years ago that someday everyone would write a letter or take a photograph.
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Before the Netscape browser illuminated the Web, the Internet did not exist for most people.
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Wired
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Computing pioneer Vannevar Bush outlined the Web's core idea - hyperlinked pages - in 1945, but the first person to try to build out the concept was a freethinker named Ted Nelson who envisioned his own scheme in 1965.
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phenomenon is more confounding than blogging. Everything media experts knew about audiences - and they knew a lot - confirmed the focus group belief that audiences would never get off their butts and start making their own entertainment. Everyone knew writing and reading were dead; music was too much trouble to make when you could sit back and listen; video production was simply out of reach of amateurs
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08 Feb 08
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22 Nov 07
Judy O'ConnellNot only did we fail to imagine what the Web would become, we still don't see it today! We are blind to the miracle it has blossomed into. And as a result of ignoring what the Web really is, we are likely to miss what it will grow into over the next 10 ye
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11 Oct 07
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04 Oct 07
paul reidHow could we create so much, so fast, so well? In fewer than 4,000 days, we have encoded half a trillion versions of our collective story and put them in front of 1 billion people.That remarkable achievement was not in anyone's 10-year plan.
article blog business collaboration web2.0 history technology ICT digitalchalkie learning
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28 Aug 07
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The fear of commercialization was strongest among hardcore programmers: the coders, Unix weenies, TCP/IP fans, and selfless volunteer IT folk who kept the ad hoc network running. The major administrators thought of their work as noble, a gift to humanity. They saw the Internet as an open commons, not to be undone by greed or commercialization. It's hard to believe now, but until 1991, commercial enterprise on the Internet was strictly prohibited. Even then, the rules favored public institutions and forbade "extensive use for private or personal business."
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But if
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Since each of its "transistors" is itself a personal computer with a billion transistors running lower functions, the Machine is fractal. In total, it harnesses a quintillion transistors, expanding its complexity beyond that of a biological brain. It has already surpassed the 20-petahertz threshold for potential intelligence as calculated by Ray Kurzweil. For this reason some researchers pursuing artificial intelligence have switched their bets to the Net as the computer most likely to think first.
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The fetal Machine has been running continuously for at least 10 years (30 if you want to be picky). I am aware of no other machine - of any type - that has run that long with zero downtime. While portions may spin down due to power outages or cascading infections, the entire thing is unlikely to go quiet in the coming decade. It will be the most reliable gadget we have.
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In the years roughly coincidental with the Netscape IPO, humans began animating inert objects with tiny slivers of intelligence, connecting them into a global field, and linking their own minds into a single thing. This will be recognized as the largest, most complex, and most surprising event on the planet. Weaving nerves out of glass and radio waves, our species began wiring up all regions, all processes, all facts and notions into a grand network. From this embryonic neural net was born a collaborative interface for our civilization, a sensing, cognitive device with power that exceeded any previous invention. The Machine provided a new way of thinking (perfect search, total recall) and a new mind for an old species. It was the Beginning.
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And the most universal. By 2015, desktop operating systems will be largely irrelevant. The Web will be the only OS worth coding for. It won't matter what device you use, as long as it runs on the Web OS. You will reach the same distributed computer whether you log on via phone, PDA, laptop, or HDTV.
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Senior maverick Kevin Kelly (kk@kk.org) wrote about the universe as a computer in issue 10.12.
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Think of the 100 billion times per day humans click on a Web page as a way of teaching the Machine what we think is important. Each time we forge a link between words, we teach it an idea.
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Wikipedia encourages its citizen authors to link each fact in an article to a reference citation. Over time, a Wikipedia article becomes totally underlined in blue as ideas are cross-referenced. That massive cross-referencing is how brains think and remember. It is how neural nets answer questions. It is how our global skin of neurons will adapt autonomously and acquire a higher level of knowledge.
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The more we teach this megacomputer, the more it will assume responsibility for our knowing. It will become our memory. Then it will become our identity.
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There is only one time in the history of each planet when its inhabitants first wire up its innumerable parts to make one large Machine. Later that Machine may run faster, but there is only one time when it is born. >
You and I are alive at this moment. >
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22 Aug 07
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There is only one time in the history of each planet when its inhabitants first wire up its innumerable parts to make one large Machine. Later that Machine may run faster, but there is only one time when it is born.
You and I are alive at this moment.
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t's hard to believe now, but until 1991, commercial enterprise on the Internet was strictly prohibited. Even then, the rules favored public institutions and forbade "extensive use for private or personal business."
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Why aren't we more amazed by this fullness? Kings of old would have gone to war to win such abilities. Only small children would have dreamed such a magic window could be real.
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These user-created channels make no sense economically
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And anyone could rustle up a link - which, it turns out, is the most powerful invention of the decade.
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Everyone missed the party celebrating the 2002 flip-point when women online first outnumbered men. Today, 52 percent of netizens are female. And, of course, the Internet is not and has never been a teenage realm. In 2005, the average user is a bone-creaking 41 years old.
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The real transformation under way is more akin to what Sun's John Gage had in mind in 1988 when he famously said, "The network > is > the computer." >
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In the 1990s, the big players called that convergence. They peddled the image of multiple kinds of signals entering our lives through one box - a box they hoped to control. By 2015 this image will be turned inside out. In reality, each device is a differently shaped window that peers into the global computer. Nothing converges. The Machine is an unbounded thing that will take a billion windows to glimpse even part of. It is what you'll see on the other side of any screen.
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nd who will write the software that makes this contraption useful and productive? We will. In fact, we're already doing it, each of us, every day. When we post and then tag pictures on the community photo album Flickr, we are teaching the Machine to give names to images. The thickening links between caption and picture form a neural net that can learn. Think of the 100 billion times per day humans click on a Web page as a way of teaching the Machine what we think is important. Each time we forge a link between words, we teach it an idea. Wikipedia encourages its citizen authors to link each fact in an article to a reference citation. Over time, a Wikipedia article becomes totally underlined in blue as ideas are cross-referenced. That massive cross-referencing is how brains think and remember. It is how neural nets answer questions. It is how our global skin of neurons will adapt autonomously and acquire a higher level of knowledge.
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A nd who will write the software that makes this contraption useful and productive? We will. In fact, we're already doing it, each of us, every day. When we post and then tag pictures on the community photo album Flickr, we are teaching the Machine to give names to images. The thickening links between caption and picture form a neural net that can learn. Think of the 100 billion times > per day > humans click on a Web page as a way of teaching the Machine what we think is important. Each time we forge a link between words, we teach it an idea. Wikipedia encourages its citizen authors to link each fact in an article to a reference citation. Over time, a Wikipedia article becomes totally underlined in blue as ideas are cross-referenced. That massive cross-referencing is how brains think and remember. It is how neural nets answer questions. It is how our global skin of neurons will adapt autonomously and acquire a higher level of knowledge. >
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19 Jul 07
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25 Apr 07
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04 Mar 07
Richard KendallThe Netscape IPO wasn't really about dot-commerce. At its heart was a new cultural force based on mass collaboration. Blogs, Wikipedia, open source, peer-to-peer - behold the power of the people.
web internet web2.0 history wired future read social economics trends technology media community culture
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02 Mar 07
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Machine acts like a very large computer >
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And who will write the software that makes this contraption useful and > productive? We will. In fact, we're already doing it, each of us, every > day. When we post and then tag pictures on the community photo album > Flickr, we are teaching the Machine to give names to images. The > thickening links between caption and picture form a neural net that can > learn. Think of the 100 billion times > per day > humans click on > a Web page as a way of teaching the Machine what we think is important. > Each time we forge a link between words, we teach it an idea. Wikipedia > encourages its citizen authors to link each fact in an article to a > reference citation. Over time, a Wikipedia article becomes totally > underlined in blue as ideas are cross-referenced. That massive > cross-referencing is how brains think and remember. It is how neural > nets answer questions. It is how our global skin of neurons will adapt > autonomously and acquire a higher level of knowledge. >
>
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Problem was, content was expensive to produce, and 5,000 channels of it would be 5,000 times as costly. No company was rich enough, no industry large enough, to carry off such an enterprise. The great telecom companies, which were supposed to wire up the digital revolution, were paralyzed by the uncertainties of funding the Net. In June 1994, David Quinn of British Telecom admitted to a conference of software publishers, "I'm not sure how you'd make money out of it."
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14 Feb 07
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07 Feb 07
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25 Jan 07
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Ted Nelson
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24 Jan 07
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Add Sticky NoteThe human brain has no department full of programming cells that configure the mind. Rather, brain cells program themselves simply by being used. Likewise, our questions program the Machine to answer questions. We think we are merely wasting time when we surf mindlessly or blog an item, but each time we click a link we strengthen a node somewhere in the Web OS, thereby programming the Machine by using it.
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This reminds me of when Dr. Wesch explained that as each person contributes to this system, the value of the system increases far more than that person's contributions. It is like a logarithmic value scale of the internet.<br>
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Some of my students would be excited to hear that surfing the web is not a waste of time.
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Add Sticky Noteit is the plausibility of the impossible
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Something that should not be forgotten, something beyond the imaginary lines of impossibilties that we draw ourselves.<br>
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Add Sticky NoteAmish Web sites?
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The Amish making websites would be something worth seeing! - Seiji
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That is funny that even the Amish know how to use the web. I think it is funny that they go to the local library and use technology.
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Vannevar Bush
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Add Sticky NoteIt's on.
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Damn right =)<br>
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It's nice to see that another educational framework is using Diigo in the way that I think it can/should be used. I'll be sure to show "my people" that others are doing this.<br>
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thanks for letting me view the start of your discussion on this article. I look forward to seeing it continue.<br>
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Add Sticky Note"The network is the computer."
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Reminds me of what you said Wesch, "am I using the web or is the web using me?"<br>
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When responding, does anyone else get "Warning!" after it says "My Sticky Note"?<br>
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Add Sticky NoteAt its heart was a new kind of participation that has since developed into an emerging culture based on sharing. And the ways of participating unleashed by hyperlinks are creating a new type of thinking - part human and part machine - found nowhere else on the planet or in history.
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I find this truly amazing. What will the consequences of this kind of synthesis be?<br>
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I agree, this is amazing; scary, but amazing! The "part human and part machine" is no longer a foreign concept and that opens doors to a lot of questions.<br>
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Netscape IPO
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In late 1994, Time magazine explained why the Internet would never go mainstream: "It was not designed for doing commerce, and it does not gracefully accommodate new arrivals." Newsweek put the doubts more bluntly in a February 1995 headline: "THE INTERNET? BAH!" The article was written by astrophysicist and Net maven Cliff Stoll, who captured the prevailing skepticism of virtual communities and online shopping with one word: "baloney."
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Stephen Weiswasser, a senior VP, delivered the ultimate putdown: "The Internet will be the CB radio of the '90s," he told me, a charge he later repeated to the press. Weiswasser summed up ABC's argument for ignoring the new medium: "You aren't going to turn passive consumers into active trollers on the Internet."
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n the eyes of the NSF, the Internet was funded for research, not commerce
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The scope of the Web today is hard to fathom. The total number of Web pages, including those that are dynamically created upon request and document files available through links, exceeds 600 billion. That's 100�pages per person alive.
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This view is spookily godlike. You can switch your gaze of a spot in the world from map to satellite to 3-D just by clicking. Recall the past? It's there. Or listen to the daily complaints and travails of almost anyone who blogs (and doesn't everyone?). I doubt angels have a better view of humanity.
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Ten years ago I heard skeptics swear nobody would ever buy a car on the Web. Last year eBay Motors sold $11 billion worth of vehicles. EBay's 2001 auction of a $4.9 million private jet would have shocked anyone in 1995 - and still smells implausible today.
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No Web phenomenon is more confounding than blogging. Everything media experts knew about audiences - and they knew a lot - confirmed the focus group belief that audiences would never get off their butts and start making their own entertainment. Everyone knew writing and reading were dead; music was too much trouble to make when you could sit back and listen; video production was simply out of reach of amateurs. Blogs and other participant media would never happen, or if they happened they would not draw an audience, or if they drew an audience they would not matter. What a shock, then, to witness the near-instantaneous rise of 50�million blogs, with a new one appearing every two seconds. There - another new blog! One more person doing what AOL and ABC - and almost everyone else - expected only AOL and ABC to be doing. These user-created channels make no sense economically. Where are the time, energy, and resources coming from?
The audience.
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It permits easy modification and reuse, and thus promotes consumers into producers.
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We should marvel, but people alive at such times usually don't.
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The public's fantasy, revealed in that 1994 survey, began reasonably with the conventional notions of a downloadable world. These assumptions were wired into the infrastructure. The bandwidth on cable and phone lines was asymmetrical: Download rates far exceeded upload rates. The dogma of the age held that ordinary people had no need to upload; they were consumers, not producers. Fast-forward to today, and the poster child of the new Internet regime is BitTorrent. The brilliance of BitTorrent is in its exploitation of near-symmetrical communication rates. Users upload stuff while they are downloading. It assumes participation, not mere consumption. Our communication infrastructure has taken only the first steps in this great shift from audience to participants, but that is where it will go in the next decade.
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The Web continues to evolve from a world ruled by mass media and mass audiences to one ruled by messy media and messy participation. How far can this frenzy of creativity go? Encouraged by Web-enabled sales, 175,000 books were published and more than 30,000 music albums were released in the US last year. At the same time, 14�million blogs launched worldwide. All these numbers are escalating. A simple extrapolation suggests that in the near future, everyone alive will (on average) write a song, author a book, make a video, craft a weblog, and code a program. This idea is less outrageous than the notion 150 years ago that someday everyone would write a letter or take a photograph.
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prosumers produce and consume at once
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The producers are the audience, the act of making is the act of watching, and every link is both a point of departure and a destination.
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This gargantuan Machine already exists in a primitive form. In the coming decade, it will evolve into an integral extension not only of our senses and bodies but our minds.
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This planet-sized computer is comparable in complexity to a human brain. Both the brain and the Web have hundreds of billions of neurons (or Web pages). Each biological neuron sprouts synaptic links to thousands of other neurons, while each Web page branches into dozens of hyperlinks. That adds up to a trillion "synapses" between the static pages on the Web. The human brain has about 100 times that number - but brains are not doubling in size every few years. The Machine is.
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In 10 years, the system will contain hundreds of millions of miles of fiber-optic neurons linking the billions of ant-smart chips embedded into manufactured products, buried in environmental sensors, staring out from satellite cameras, guiding cars, and saturating our world with enough complexity to begin to learn. We will live inside this thing.
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The patterns of the Machine's internal workings will be so complex they won't be repeatable; you won't always get the same answer to a given question. It will take intuition to maximize what the global network has to offer. The most obvious development birthed by this platform will be the absorption of routine. The Machine will take on anything we do more than twice. It will be the Anticipation Machine.
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the most powerful invention of the decade.
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Ten years ago, Netscape's explosive IPO ignited huge piles of money. The brilliant flash revealed what had been invisible only a moment before: the World Wide Web. As Eric Schmidt (then at Sun, now at Google) noted, the day before the IPO, nothing about the Web; the day after, everything.
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Although Nelson was polite, charming, and smooth, I was too slow for his fast talk. But I got an aha! from his marvelous notion of hypertext. He was certain that every document in the world should be a footnote to some other document, and computers could make the links between them visible and permanent. But that was just the beginning! Scribbling on index cards, he sketched out complicated notions of transferring authorship back to creators and tracking payments as readers hopped along networks of documents, what he called the docuverse. He spoke of "transclusion" and "intertwingularity" as he described the grand utopian benefits of his embedded structure. It was going to save the world from stupidity.
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It was going to save the world from stupidity.
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cyburbia
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"Ideally, individuals and small businesses would use the information highway to communicate, but it is more likely that the information highway will be controlled by Fortune 500 companies in 10 years." The impact would be more than commercial
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audiences would never get off their butts and start making their own entertainment.
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gift economy,
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> a visible underground of valuable creations - text, music, film, software, tools, and services - all given away for free. This gift economy fuels an abundance of choices. It spurs the grateful to reciprocate. It permits easy modification and reuse, and thus promotes consumers into producers.
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Lazarus move
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prosumption
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In the coming decade, it will evolve into an integral extension not only of our senses and bodies but our minds.
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What will most surprise us is how dependent we will be on what the Machine knows - about us and about what we want to know.
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The more we teach this megacomputer, the more it will assume responsibility for our knowing. It will become our memory.
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Then it will become our identity. In 2015 many people, when divorced from the Machine, won't feel like themselves - as if they'd had a lobotomy.
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there is only one Machine
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Our Machine is born. It's on.
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new mind for an old species. It was the Beginning.
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ent before: the World Wide Web. As Eric Schmidt (then at Sun, now at Google) noted, the day before the IPO, noth
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23 Jan 07
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so I recently spent a few weeks reading stacks of old magazines and newspapers
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basically, TV that worked
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consumer involvement
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Add Sticky Notesupercomputers in part to advance us in that direction. He now believes the first real AI will emerge not in a stand-alone supercomputer like IBM's proposed 23-teraflop Blue Brain, but in the vast digital tangle of the global Machine.
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This is interesting.
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I'm responding to you.
- 2 more sticky notes...
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checking to see if I can respond to your response...<br>
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Awesome <br>
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the Machine
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the Machine
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Linking unleashes involvement and interactivity at levels once thought unfashionable or impossible. It transforms reading into navigating and enlarges small actions into powerful forces. For instance, hyperlinks made it much easier to create a seamless, scrolling street map of every town. They made it easier for people to refer to those maps. And hyperlinks made it possible for almost anyone to annotate, amend, and improve any map embedded in the Web. Cartography has gone from spectator art to participatory democracy.
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This impulse for participation has upended the economy and is steadily turning the sphere of social networking - smart mobs, hive minds, and collaborative action - into the main event.
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In part because of the ease of creation and dissemination, online culture is the culture.
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All these numbers are escalating. A simple extrapolation suggests that in the near future, everyone alive will (on average) write a song, author a book, make a video, craft a weblog, and code a program. This idea is less outrageous than the notion 150 years ago that someday everyone would write a letter or take a photograph.
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prosumption. As with blogging and BitTorrent, prosumers produce and consume at once. The producers are the audience, the act of making is the act of watching, and every link is both a point of departure and a destination.
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planet-sized computer is comparable in complexity to a human brain.
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In 10 years, the system will contain hundreds of millions of miles of fiber-optic neurons linking the billions of ant-smart chips embedded into manufactured products, buried in environmental sensors, staring out from satellite cameras, guiding cars, and saturating our world with enough complexity to begin to learn. We will live inside this thing.
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The Web will be the only OS worth coding for.
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via phone, PDA, laptop, or HDTV
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The Machine is an unbounded thing that will take a billion windows to glimpse even part of. It is what you'll see on the other side of any screen.
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Think of the 100 billion times per day humans click on a Web page as a way of teaching the Machine what we think is important. Each time we forge a link between words, we teach it an idea.
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a machine that subsumes all other machines so that in effect there is only one Machine, which penetrates our lives to such a degree that it becomes essential to our identity - this will be full of surprises. Especially since it is only the beginning.
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29 Nov 06
Seb PaquetIt is very hard to learn if you keep getting turned off, which is the fate of most computers. AI researchers rejoice when an adaptive learning program runs for days without crashing. The fetal Machine has been running continuously for at least 10 years (3
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19 Aug 06
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14 Jul 06
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14 Jun 06
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03 Mar 06
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08 Feb 06
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The accretion of tiny marvels can numb us to the arrival of the stupendous.
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The accretion of tiny marvels can numb us to the arrival of the stupendous.
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The accretion of tiny marvels can numb us to the arrival of the stupendous.
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13 Dec 05
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05 Dec 05
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22 Oct 05
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17 Oct 05
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13 Sep 05
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29 Aug 05
Wytze KoopalArticle with a nice overview of how we thought the web would develop an how it really develops itself: every two seconds a weblog is created!
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18 Aug 05
BB BarrenAlthough Nelson was polite, charming, and smooth, I was too slow for his fast talk. But I got an aha! from his marvelous notion of hypertext. He was certain that every document in the world should be a footnote to some other document, and computers could
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17 Aug 05
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14 Aug 05
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started to come together
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The domain was still unregistered
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12 Aug 05
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10 Aug 05
ken .Kevin Kelly on failed predictions, implausibility etc. "In late 1994, Time magazine explained why the Internet would never go mainstream", "Not only did we fail to imagine what the Web would become, we still don't see it today! We are blind to the miracle
blogging business economics history internet knowledge quotes technology web
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04 Aug 05
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03 Aug 05
Leigh Blackallhistory of the development of the net
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01 Aug 05
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The Netscape IPO wasn't really about dot-commerce. At its heart was a new cultural force based on mass collaboration. Blogs, Wikipedia, open source, peer-to-peer - behold the power of the people.
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31 Jul 05
tho masWas das Web einst wollte, wo es hinkam, wie es weitergeht.
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Ekkehard KnörerNetter, nicht weiter aufregender Artikel über das Internet, das wurde, was keiner erwartet hat.
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"Amish Web sites?" I asked. "For advertising our family business. We weld barbecue grills in our shop." "Yes, but " "Oh, we use the Internet terminal at the public library. And Yahoo!"
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30 Jul 05
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29 Jul 05
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The Netscape IPO wasn't really about dot-commerce. At its heart was a new cultural force based on mass collaboration. Blogs, Wikipedia, open source, peer-to-peer - behold the power of the people. ... looking back now, after 10 years of living online, what surprises me about the genesis of the Web is how much was missing from Vannevar Bush's vision, Nelson's docuverse, and my own expectations. We all missed the big story. The revolution launched by Netscape's IPO was only marginally about hypertext and human knowledge. At its heart was a new kind of participation that has since developed into an emerging culture based on sharing. And the ways of participating unleashed by hyperlinks are creating a new type of thinking - part human and part machine - found nowhere else on the planet or in history. ... Nowhere in Ted Nelson's convoluted sketches of hypertext transclusion did the fantasy of a global flea market appear. Especially as the ultimate business model! He hoped to franchise his Xanadu hypertext systems in the physical world at the scale of a copy shop or café - you would go to a store to do your hypertexting. Xanadu would take a cut of the action. Instead, we have an open global flea market that handles 1.4 billion auctions every year and operates from your bedroom. Users do most of the work; they photograph, catalog, post, and manage their own auctions. And they police themselves; while eBay and other auction sites do call in the authorities to arrest serial abusers, the chief method of ensuring fairness is a system of user-generated ratings. Three billion feedback comments can work wonders. What we all failed to see was how much of this new world would be manufactured by users, not corporate interests. Amazon.com customers rushed with surprising speed and intelligence to write the reviews that made the site's long-tail selection usable. Owners of Adobe, Apple, and most major software products offer help and advice on the developer's forum Web pag
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The Netscape IPO wasn't really about dot-commerce. At its heart was a new cultural force based on mass collaboration. Blogs, Wikipedia, open source, peer-to-peer - behold the power of the people. ... looking back now, after 10 years of living online, what surprises me about the genesis of the Web is how much was missing from Vannevar Bush's vision, Nelson's docuverse, and my own expectations. We all missed the big story. The revolution launched by Netscape's IPO was only marginally about hypertext and human knowledge. At its heart was a new kind of participation that has since developed into an emerging culture based on sharing. And the ways of participating unleashed by hyperlinks are creating a new type of thinking - part human and part machine - found nowhere else on the planet or in history. ... Nowhere in Ted Nelson's convoluted sketches of hypertext transclusion did the fantasy of a global flea market appear. Especially as the ultimate business model! He hoped to franchise his Xanadu hypertext systems in the physical world at the scale of a copy shop or café - you would go to a store to do your hypertexting. Xanadu would take a cut of the action. Instead, we have an open global flea market that handles 1.4 billion auctions every year and operates from your bedroom. Users do most of the work; they photograph, catalog, post, and manage their own auctions. And they police themselves; while eBay and other auction sites do call in the authorities to arrest serial abusers, the chief method of ensuring fairness is a system of user-generated ratings. Three billion feedback comments can work wonders. What we all failed to see was how much of this new world would be manufactured by users, not corporate interests. Amazon.com customers rushed with surprising speed and intelligence to write the reviews that made the site's long-tail selection usable. Owners of Adobe, Apple, and most major software products offer help and advice on the developer's forum Web page
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Public Stiky Notes
Every text can be alive!
Page Comments
BTW, the "The Machine is Us/ing Us" video is wonderful. Great job!!
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