This link has been bookmarked by 19 people . It was first bookmarked on 11 Jun 2008, by someone privately.
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20 Nov 08
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07 Sep 08
Emanuele QuintarelliNew tech markets go through fairly well-defined but overlapping phases:
1. The talking phase. This is when the money to be made is in seminars, workshops, conferences and consulting.
2. The experimentation phase. This is when lots of inexpensive or even free experiments are done. Nobody makes any money, but lots of people learn a lot.
3. The pioneer phase. This is when a few companies, led by visionary IT or business people, adopt the new technology in a serious way and have a big impact on their bottom line. They usually want to be quiet about this, protecting their intellectual edge as long as possible.
4. The breakout phase. This is when word leaks out, the winning vendors raise more money or get bought and it starts to look obvious.
5. The "tornado" (hat tip to Crossing the Chasm). This is when new vendors do their IPO and legacy vendors who have the head buried deepest in the sand suffer the worst that creative destruction can dish out.
My assessment is that we are currently somewhere between 2 and 3. -
08 Jul 08
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11 Jun 08
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