Long Bets - The Arena for Accountable Predictions - The Diigo Meta page

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  Really long-term bets.

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• 13 Oct 10
  

  Thierry Blancpain

  @stephenfry finally watched QI episode on hoaxes. see http://www.longbets.org / the people making huge bets today are professional gamblers.

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      The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The Long Now Foundation furnishes the continuity to see even the longest bets through to public resolution. This website provides a forum for discussion about what may be learned from the bets and their eventual outcomes.
• 22 Apr 10
  

  Joan Weytze

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• 15 Mar 10
  

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• 20 Jan 10
  

  Dan Dascalescu

  “Over a ten-year period commencing on January 1, 2008, and ending on December 31, 2017, the S & P 500 will outperform a portfolio of funds of hedge funds, when performance is measured on a basis net of fees, costs and expenses.”
  -- Warren Buffett
  
  “By 20

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• 18 Dec 09
  

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• 09 Dec 09
  

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• 03 Dec 09
  

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  I have been thinking about this idea for as long as i didn't know that it existed.

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• 02 Dec 09
  

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• 10 Nov 09
  

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  Kinda like gambling, more like forecasting.

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• 29 Sep 09
  

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• 14 Apr 09
  

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  Mike Stenhouse

  The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The Long Now Foundation furnishes the continuity to see even the longe

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• 03 Apr 09
  

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• 20 Mar 09
  

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• 19 Mar 09
  

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• 25 Feb 09
  

  ESA ACT

  May be helpful for technology forecasting inspiration

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  May be helpful for technology forecasting inspiration

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• 25 Jan 09
  

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• 12 Jan 09
  

  jvcleave

  The Arena for Accountable Predictions
  
  The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The Long Now Foundation furnish

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• 03 Dec 08
  

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• 26 Nov 08
  

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• 08 Nov 08
  

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• 06 Nov 08
  

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• 30 Sep 08
  

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• 16 Sep 08
  

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• 22 Aug 08
  

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• 11 Jun 08
  

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• 10 Jun 08
  

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  mandarine

  The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake.
  

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• 22 May 08
  

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• 22 Mar 08
  

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• 08 Mar 08
  

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• 06 Mar 08
  

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  What a fascinating idea... A public forum for long-term, competitive, shared predictions about the future. Could be total B.S., but interesting anyhow.

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• 02 Mar 08
  

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• 08 Jan 08
  

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• 27 Dec 07
  

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• 26 Oct 07
  

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• 08 Aug 07
  

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• 17 Jul 07
  

  Julia Lesage

  a site where people, often scientists, make predictions about the future and wager money on it; discussions follow; for screenwriters and novelists, good source for future scenarios

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• 09 Jul 07
  

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• 31 May 06
  

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• 05 May 06
  

  ideath

  Brian Eno's user name is poptimist. Cute. Anyway - post a
  serious prediction, someone might make it into a bet. But you have to
  be serious about it. (Eno bet against a dem winning in 2004.)

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• 03 May 06
  

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• 04 Mar 06
  

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• 31 Jan 06
  

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  Bet site set up to help people focus on long term thinkng.

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• 04 Jan 06
  

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• 23 Dec 05
  

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• 10 Dec 05
  

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• 14 Oct 05
  

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• 06 Oct 05
  

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• 30 Jul 05
  

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• 28 Jun 05
  

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• 17 May 05
  

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• 01 Nov 02
  

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• 11 Oct 99
  

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• 05 Jan 89
  

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Page Comments

• 
  Colton Telford on 2007-01-30
  Bet on everything from when the world will end to when hell will freeze over. Proceeds go to charity...
  

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