This link has been bookmarked by 25 people . It was first bookmarked on 15 Mar 2007, by eyal matsliah.
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Paul Terry WalhusTwitter will flame-out before the end of 2007, in one of the most awe-inspiring lessons in irrational exuberance we’ve seen since the turn of the millennium.
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18 Mar 07
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15 Mar 07
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eyalnow
Although I’m not using Twitter nor “following” anyone who Twits, I can certainly understand why many people use it and cherish it and will continue to.
It’s for the same reason that people blog about what they had for breakfast, and post photos of their pets, and for the same reason that others read and interact with them about it.
People like to express themselves, and to share these expressions, be it blurbs or snapshots, with others. And people also like to get a glimpse into other people’s lives, activities and whereabouts.
The explosion in the blogosphere is not due to professionals or companies who want to interact with their customers, but rather due to your neighbour who blogs about his stamp collection, and his teenage daughter who blogs at *her space* about her boring family.Deep value is not the only criterion to judge a service or application. Tetris and minesweeper aren’t that “deep” either, but still very popular.
Busy professionals are just a small segment of potential customers. They are certainly not a representation of the average Myspace, YouTube or Flickr user.
In the same time, there are already professionals who *are* finding ways to harness commercial benefits or twitting.My prediction: The hype will subside, but Twitter will not close.
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1. Where’s the Value? > There is no substance to the house of cards that is Twitter. No deep content, nothing to learn, no reason to keep coming back to the trough, other than the thrill/obsession of pre-adolescent voyeurism > - which is simply not reason enough for busy professionals.
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Non-existent before the end of 2007, I predict.
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3. Key Users Will Bail
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2. Too Much Effort
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I’ve not seen a single legitimate, value-generating use of Twitter explained or demonstrated.
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I make no bones about my disdain for Twitter. I’ve commented far and wide about the inanity and potential danger of the tool, and even discussed some of the associated social repercussions on this blog. But I’d like to now go one step further, and predict its imminent supernova-like implosion.
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Rather, I’m calling it now: Twitter will flame-out before the end of 2007, in one of the most awe-inspiring lessons in irrational exuberance we’ve seen since the turn of the millennium. Why? The possible reasons are legion, but let me name a few:
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http://web1979.wordpress.com/2007/03/14/rip-twitter-2007-2007/
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TRI can't say for sure, but this blogger might have to eat their words.. They could be right, but they haven't accounted for the potential of users from all over the world adapting Twitter to their own needs. It ain't over 'till the fat lady Twitters "I'm a
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