This link has been bookmarked by 8 people . It was first bookmarked on 17 Apr 2008, by Sowilo Kenaz Coffee.
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13 Nov 14
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29 May 08
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17 Apr 08
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"our blindness with respect to randomness, particularly large deviations
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advice on how to approach the world in the face of uncertainty and still enjoy life.
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history as opaque, essentially a black box of cause and effect
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The Triplet of Opacity[4
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Extremistan and Mediocristan
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In Extremistan environments a Gaussian distribution is used at your peril.
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improbable
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improbable.
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Extreme events do happen and have a big effect.
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Taleb argues that the proposition "we know" is in many cases an illusion—the human mind tends to think it knows, but it does not always have a solid basis for this delusion of "I know". This notion that we do not know is very old, dated as far back at least as Socrates.
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Socrates' dictum "the only thing I know is that I do not know"
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